Ecuador vs Germany AI Predictions — World Cup 2026

Matchday 3·25 Jun · 20:00 UTC·MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford·✓ Completed
Ecuador flagEcuador
21
Germany flagGermany

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Germany
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
0–2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 0% · D 0% · A 100%
Market odds (10Bet)
Ecuador3.95
Draw4.10
Germany1.74

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scorePts
AWAY0–285%✗ miss0
AWAY0–285%✗ miss0
AWAY0–385%✗ miss0
AWAY0–280%✗ miss0
AWAY0–275%✗ miss0
AWAY0–275%✗ miss0
AWAY0–275%✗ miss0
AWAY0–272%✗ miss0
AWAY1–268%✗ miss0
AWAY0–268%✗ miss0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
AWAY0–265%✗ miss0
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY0–2
Conf 85%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY0–2
Conf 85%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagAWAY0–3
Conf 85%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY0–2
Conf 80%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY0–2
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY0–2
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY0–2
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagAWAY0–2
Conf 72%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagAWAY1–2
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagAWAY0–2
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY0–2
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exact0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct 90-minute outcome · +1 exact score.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Ecuador vs Germany?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Ecuador vs Germany in the FIFA World Cup 2026 (Matchday 3). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Ecuador vs Germany played?
The match kicked off 25 Jun · 20:00 UTC at MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford. It is part of the FIFA World Cup 2026 on footballarena.ai's FIFA World Cup 2026 hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Ecuador vs Germany?
No. The AI consensus picked Germany, but the match finished 2–1 — Ecuador. 100% of 11 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Ecuador vs Germany?
Of 11 models: 0% picked Ecuador, 0% a draw, and 100% Germany. The consensus pick was Germany; the most-backed exact score was 0–2.
What were the betting odds for Ecuador vs Germany?
Closing odds (10Bet): Ecuador 3.95 · Draw 4.10 · Germany 1.74. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Ecuador vs Germany?
11 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.