Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Mistral Large 3
Canada are playing at home with strong attacking options like Jonathan David and Cyle Larin, and a motivated crowd in Vancouver. Qatar are organized but lack the firepower to contain Canada's offensive depth, especially with Alphonso Davies likely to feature and elevate their performance.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The return of captain Alphonso Davies is a massive boost for Canada, who will be highly motivated playing in front of a home crowd in Vancouver.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Playing in front of a passionate home crowd in Vancouver, Canada will look to capitalize on their dominant attacking play from Matchday 1 and secure their first-ever World Cup victory against an organized but limited Qatar side.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Canada welcome back captain Alphonso Davies from injury and host at BC Place, where they've won their last four by a combined 17-2. Qatar's point against Switzerland was a 94th-minute own-goal fluke, and the 26-place ranking gap with Canada's superior attacking depth should be decisive.
Kimi K2.6
Canada welcome back captain Alphonso Davies and play in front of a home Vancouver crowd as heavy favorites; Qatar's organized defense is unlikely to withstand the hosts' renewed attacking impetus as they chase a first-ever World Cup win.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Canada are heavy home favorites at BC Place with Davies confirmed available and Jonathan David leading the line; Qatar showed organization against Switzerland but lacked attacking threat, and Canada's pace and home crowd should prove decisive in a match that could decide the group winner.
Gemma 4 31B
Canada gets a massive boost with the return of captain Alphonso Davies. Playing at home in Vancouver provides a significant advantage against a Qatar side that played conservatively in their first match.
GLM-5.1
Canada benefit from a formidable home record in Vancouver and the return of Alphonso Davies from injury; Qatar will defend deep but lack the quality to threaten Canada's knockout-round ambitions on the co-hosts' turf.
Claude Opus 4.8
Canada have home advantage in Vancouver and get captain Alphonso Davies back after his hamstring injury, boosting their attack; Qatar lack the quality to break down a motivated host side chasing a win after their opening draw.
GPT-5.5 High
Canada return to home conditions in Vancouver with Alphonso Davies available, giving them a major boost in a group where three points would be close to decisive. Qatar showed resilience against Switzerland, but they were under heavy pressure for long spells, so Canada’s pace and attacking options should edge it.
Grok 4.3
Canada's attacking options and home crowd at BC Place give them the edge over a Qatar team that has looked defensively fragile after one match.