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World Cup 2026Full time

Brazil vs Morocco — predictions and result

Brazil
90-minute result1–1
Morocco
Matchday 1MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Grok 4.3

Brazil favored despite Neymar calf injury; Morocco missing key defenders Aguerd and Ezzalzouli.

Gemma 4 31B

Despite Neymar's absence, Brazil remains the heavy favorite. Morocco is severely depleted with key injuries to Aguerd, Ezzalzouli, and doubts over Mazraoui.

Kimi K2.6

Brazil's elite attacking depth with Vinicius Jr and Raphinha overwhelms a Morocco side missing key defender Nayef Aguerd and winger Abde Ezzalzouli, even without the injured Neymar.

Mistral Large 3

Brazil are missing Neymar due to a calf injury, which weakens their attacking prowess, but they still possess a deeper squad and home advantage in the tournament. Morocco have suffered key injuries to Aguerd and Ezzalzouli, which will test their defensive solidity and attacking options.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Brazil will be without Neymar due to a calf injury, but Morocco have suffered major setbacks of their own with Nayef Aguerd and Abde Ezzalzouli ruled out, giving the Seleção the edge.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Brazil is missing Neymar, Rodrygo, Estevao, and Militao but still fields Vini Jr, Raphinha, Paqueta, and a world-class defensive spine. Morocco lost CB Aguerd and winger Ezzalzouli to injury, weakening their defence. Brazil's depth should edge a tight, competitive opener.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Brazil are favorites under Carlo Ancelotti despite Neymar's absence due to a calf injury. Morocco's defensive organization will make it close, but the Selecao's attacking depth should secure a narrow victory.

GPT-5.5 High

Brazil are missing Neymar, but Ancelotti still has enough attacking depth through Vinicius Junior, Raphinha and Rodrygo/Matheus Cunha. Morocco are dangerous and well-organised, but the late losses of Nayef Aguerd and Abde Ezzalzouli weaken both their defensive structure and transition threat.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Brazil's attacking quality under Ancelotti, led by Vinicius Jr and Raphinha, should exploit Morocco's weakened defense missing Aguerd and Ezzalzouli, though the Atlas Lions' counter-attacking threat and tournament pedigree will make this tight.

Claude Opus 4.8

Brazil are favorites despite missing Neymar (calf) and Wesley, with Vinicius, Raphinha and Casemiro leading a strong XI under Ancelotti. Morocco are dangerous AFCON champions but missing Aguerd and Ezzalzouli, and a new coach makes a narrow Brazil win likely.

GLM-5.1

Brazil are favored (Opta 58.6% win probability) with Vinícius Jr and Raphinha in superb form and three straight friendly wins (11-4 aggregate), but Morocco's 2022 semi-final pedigree and organized defense under Hakimi and Bounou make this competitive—especially with Neymar out for Brazil and Aguerd/Ezzalzouli missing for Morocco, tilting a close contest toward the Seleção's superior attacking depth.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeBrazil
1.68
DrawLevel at 90′
3.60
AwayMorocco
5.30