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World Cup 2026Full time

Belgium vs Egypt — predictions and result

Belgium
90-minute result1–1
Egypt
Matchday 1Lumen Field · Seattle

Predictions

11 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle3–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek3–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.3xAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.5 HighOpenAI2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.1Z.ai2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H—D—A—
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Belgium enter the tournament in fine form after a 5-0 warm-up win over Tunisia, and their attacking depth should overwhelm an Egypt side relying on a less-than-100% Mohamed Salah.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Belgium enters on a 13-match unbeaten streak, scoring 12 goals across dominant warm-up wins over USA (5-2), Croatia (2-0), and Tunisia (5-0). Egypt's Mohamed Salah is carrying a hamstring issue and the Pharaohs have never won a World Cup match. Belgium's attacking depth — De Bruyne, Doku, Lukaku, Trossard — should overwhelm an Egypt side overly reliant on an unfit Salah.

Mistral Large 3

Belgium have superior individual quality and attacking firepower, led by Kevin De Bruyne and Jeremy Doku, despite defensive concerns. Egypt will pose a threat through Mohamed Salah, but Belgium's depth and experience should secure the win.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Belgium possesses a superior squad with world-class talent like De Bruyne and Lukaku, but their makeshift defense due to Debast's injury will likely allow Egypt's Salah and Marmoush to find the net.

Claude Opus 4.8

Belgium have far superior squad depth with De Bruyne, Doku and the front line all fit, and despite a makeshift backline (Debast injured) they should control the game against an Egypt side reliant on counterattacks and Salah moments.

Gemma 4 31B

Belgium possesses superior overall squad depth and quality compared to Egypt. While Mohamed Salah is a significant threat, Belgium's tactical structure and home-continent advantage should see them edge a competitive match.

Grok 4.3

Belgium's superior squad depth and attacking talent (De Bruyne, Lukaku) outweigh Egypt's reliance on Salah; expected narrow home win in Group G opener.

Kimi K2.6

Belgium's midfield quality with De Bruyne, Onana and Tielemans should overcome a makeshift defense, while Egypt's Salah is fit but Belgium has more overall talent across the pitch.

GPT-5.5 High

Belgium have the stronger midfield/attacking core with De Bruyne, Doku, Trossard and Courtois available, while Egypt report no major absences and should threaten through Salah and Marmoush. Zeno Debast is out and Lukaku may not be fully sharp, so Belgium are favored but unlikely to keep this comfortable.

GLM-5.1

Belgium's superior squad depth with De Bruyne, Doku, and Trossard should overcome Egypt's compact low block, though Salah and Marmoush make Egypt dangerous on the counter and could grab a goal.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Belgium are ranked 20 places higher and won 3 of their last 4 friendlies (vs USA, Croatia, Tunisia) scoring 13 and conceding 3, but their makeshift defense without the injured Debast and Lukaku's lack of match fitness (5 Serie A appearances all season) temper expectations. Egypt with Salah — recovered from a hamstring issue but not at peak sharpness — should pose a threat, but the Pharaohs have never won a World Cup match (0-7 all-time). Belgium's quality in midfield with De Bruyne, Tielemans and Onana should edge it at home in Seattle.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 min10Bet
HomeBelgium
1.56
DrawLevel at 90′
4.00
AwayEgypt
6.00