Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Mistral Large 3
Türkiye's squad is brimming with young talent and top-level experience, particularly in midfield with Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz. Australia is missing key defender Hayden Matthews, and Türkiye's attacking prowess and form in qualifying make them clear favorites.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Turkey are on an 8-game unbeaten run with 7 wins, boast elite attacking talent in Arda Guler, Kenan Yildiz, and Hakan Calhanoglu under Montella's 4-2-3-1 system. Australia are defensively solid but were outclassed in warm-ups (lost 1-0 to Mexico, drew 1-1 with Switzerland) and lack the creative firepower to break down a superior Turkish side.
Kimi K2.6
Türkiye fields a young, talented squad led by Arda Güler and Kenan Yildiz and is ranked No. 22 in the world, while Australia is missing creative playmaker Riley McGree to injury and lacks the attacking quality to match the Crescent Stars.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Türkiye will likely be without key attacker Kenan Yildiz due to a calf issue, leveling the playing field against a resilient Australian side in Vancouver.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Turkey enters the tournament on an impressive unbeaten run and possesses superior individual quality, which should help them break down a compact Australian defense.
Gemma 4 31B
Türkiye possesses higher individual technical quality in midfield and attack. Australia is disciplined, but Türkiye's offensive creativity should give them the edge in a close contest.
GLM-5.1
Turkey enter in superb form (7 wins in 8, unbeaten in 8) with Arda Guler fit and Calhanoglu pulling the strings; Yildiz's calf issue is a concern but Turkey's superior individual quality and recent dominant friendly displays (4-0 vs North Macedonia) should overwhelm an Australia side with mixed form and less star power.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Turkey possess superior technical quality with Güler and Çalhanoğlu, and despite Yildiz's calf doubt they have enough firepower to exploit Australia's defensive vulnerabilities. Souttar's recent Achilles recovery and Toure's illness add further risk for the Socceroos against a motivated Turkish side returning to the World Cup after 24 years.
Claude Opus 4.8
Turkey's young, talented squad (Güler, Yıldız, Aktürkoğlu, Çalhanoğlu) carries superior technical quality and qualifying momentum, while Australia went winless in their pre-tournament friendlies; Turkey are clear favorites despite the Socceroos' defensive organization.
GPT-5.5 High
Türkiye arrive in strong form with a high-upside midfield led by Arda Güler, while Australia have concerns around Mohamed Toure's fitness. Kenan Yildiz being doubtful and Türkiye's defensive volatility keep this close, but their attacking quality gives them the edge.
Grok 4.3
Türkiye boast higher individual quality (Guler fit) and recent momentum; Australia competitive but likely outclassed in open Group D contest.