Vikingur Reykjavik
FC Thun| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H25%D24%A51% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D31%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H41%D27%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D29%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Vikingur host with an excellent home record (nine-game winning run) and will attack hard needing to overturn a 3-0 first-leg deficit, aided by prolific striker Omarsson. Thun holds a commanding aggregate lead and may defend/manage the game, but their poor recent form and away vulnerability give the hosts the edge on the night, with a live draw chance.
Thun dominated the first leg 3-0 (2.05 xG to 0.74, 10 chances to 2) and hold a decisive aggregate lead, with a clear quality edge as an in-season Swiss Super League side over the Icelandic hosts. Víkingur must chase the tie at Víkingsvöllur, which should leave space for Thun on the break, though rotation and a settled tie keep a draw very live.
Vikingur's strong home record and need to chase the 3-0 aggregate deficit make them marginal favourites, but Thun's first-leg superiority and counter-attacking threat keep a draw or away win live; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline.
FC Thun holds a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, allowing them to play conservatively and manage the tie. While Vikingur Reykjavik will push for a result at home, the Swiss side's superior quality should be enough to secure a draw and comfortably advance.
After securing a comfortable 3-0 victory in the first leg, FC Thun can afford to play defensively and manage the game. Vikingur Reykjavik are strong at home but will find it difficult to completely break down the Swiss side, likely resulting in a scored draw.
Holding a comfortable 3-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, FC Thun can afford to manage game tempo, while Víkingur Reykjavík will push for a positive home result. A tight 1-1 draw is the most likely 90-minute scoreline as the Swiss side safely controls their advantage to progress.
FC Thun dominated the first leg with a convincing 3-0 victory, demonstrating a clear tactical and quality advantage. While Vikingur Reykjavik will have home advantage and a need to attack, Thun's superior form and the cushion from the first leg make them favorites to control the game and secure another win.
Vikingur's nine-game home winning run on artificial turf gives them a 90-minute edge despite 0-3 first-leg deficit (2.05-0.74 xG to Thun), but Thun's Swiss Super League quality and ability to sit on the lead and counter keeps an away result and a low-scoring draw very live.
Vikingur Reykjavik trail 3-0 from the first leg in Thun and must attack at home on their artificial pitch, where Icelandic clubs are traditionally difficult to beat. However, FC Thun are a higher-quality Swiss Super League side and will be dangerous on the counter-attack against a committed home side, making a 1-1 draw the most plausible single scoreline while the 90-minute result is a marginal lean to the home side.
Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun are closely matched based on their recent head-to-head encounter (a 1-1 draw in the first leg), with both teams showing defensive solidity but limited attacking potency. Home advantage for Vikingur is slight, but FC Thun's away resilience makes a draw the most balanced single outcome.
Víkingur Reykjavík have won nine straight home matches and sit top of the Besta deild with a potent attack led by Elias Már Ómarsson, making them favourites to win the second leg despite the 3-0 deficit. FC Thun have shipped ten goals in their last three outings and are missing last season’s top scorers, so a home victory with both teams scoring is expected.
Thun won the first leg 3-0 (xG 2.05-0.74) and are the stronger side, but with the tie effectively settled they can manage the game away on Vikingsvöllur's artificial turf. Víkingur — runaway Icelandic leaders on a long home winning streak with Elías Már Ómarsson in prolific form — must chase a three-goal deficit and are slight favorites to win the 90 minutes while likely exiting the tie.
Thun holds a commanding 3-0 first-leg lead and will likely play conservatively; Vikingur Reykjavik boasts a nine-match home winning streak in domestic play and averages over three goals per game at Vikingsvöllur, making a home win the most likely 90-minute outcome, though the aggregate deficit makes a draw or even a Thun counter-attack win plausible.
Thun’s stronger domestic-league pedigree gives them the overall edge, but Víkingur’s home advantage and the demands of traveling to Iceland make a tight match likely. A low-scoring draw is the most plausible exact scoreline.
FC Thun demolished Vikingur 3-0 in the first leg (2.05 xG vs 0.74, 10 chances to 2), establishing a commanding aggregate lead that essentially kills the tie. While Thun may rotate, their squad quality remains superior, but Vikingur at home in Iceland with nothing to lose will push forward and likely find a consolation goal in an open, low-stakes match.
Thun's comprehensive 3-0 first-leg win and superior Swiss Super League quality outweigh their leaky recent domestic form; Vikingur are strong at home and must attack to overturn the deficit, creating an open game in which the better side should still edge a 1-2 away win.
FC Thun hold a commanding 3-0 first-leg lead (xG 2.05-0.74) as Swiss champions with clear quality superiority, but Vikingur Reykjavík have been formidable at Vikingsvöllur — unbeaten domestically at home (6W 1D) and 3-for-3 in European home wins this campaign — and will throw everything forward with nothing to lose; Thun's cushion may blunt their intensity, making a competitive draw the most probable outcome.
FC Thun, reigning Swiss Super League champions, cruised to a 3-0 first-leg win and hold a commanding aggregate lead, allowing them to counter-attack freely against a Vikingur side that must chase. Vikingur's strong home record in Iceland offers some hope, but the gulf in quality and Thun's tactical advantage make an away win the most likely 90-minute outcome.
Vikingur ReykjavikFC Thun