Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

3rd Qualifying Round·13 Aug · 17:30 UTC·Víkingsvollur Stadium·✓ Completed
Vikingur Reykjavik flagVikingur Reykjavik
32
FC Thun flagFC Thun

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Vikingur Reykjavik
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 53% · D 0% · A 47%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Vikingur Reykjavik2.35
Draw3.75
FC Thun2.67

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
25%24%51%1-2✗ miss
48%26%26%2-1✓ hit
28%27%45%1-1✗ miss
34%31%35%1-1✗ miss
37%28%35%1-1✓ hit
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
40%27%33%1-1✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
44%28%28%1-1✓ hit
40%30%30%1-1✓ hit
55%25%20%2-1✓ hit
41%27%32%2-1✓ hit
40%30%30%2-1✓ hit
29%29%42%1-1✗ miss
27%26%47%1-2✗ miss
34%27%39%1-2✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
38%27%35%1-1✓ hit
31%27%42%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 24% · A 51%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 26% · A 26%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 31% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 28% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 44% · D 28% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 55% · D 25% · A 20%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 41% · D 27% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 29% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 26% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 34% · D 27% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 31% · D 27% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun played?
The match kicked off 13 Aug · 17:30 UTC at Víkingsvollur Stadium. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Vikingur Reykjavik, and the match finished 3–2. 53% of 17 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Of 17 models: 53% picked Vikingur Reykjavik, 0% a draw, and 47% FC Thun. The consensus pick was Vikingur Reykjavik; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Vikingur Reykjavik 2.35 · Draw 3.75 · FC Thun 2.67. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.