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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad — predictions and result

Union St. Gilloise
90-minute result1–1
Real Sociedad
League Stage - 2Den Dreef Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H42%D26%A32%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H34%D30%A36%
MissedExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H44%D26%A30%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H44%D28%A28%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H30%D26%A44%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H40%D29%A31%
MissedExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H37%D28%A35%
MissedExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Union SG are in excellent form (five straight wins, 16 goals scored) and are formidable at home in Europe, while Real Sociedad have been inconsistent (lost their European opener, patchy LaLiga run) and are expected to rotate several starters. The Basques' quality keeps them live, but the hosts' intensity and home edge make a narrow Union win the most likely single outcome, with a draw a genuine possibility.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Union Saint-Gilloise are in strong form and carry home energy, but their extensive absences level the match against a Real Sociedad side with greater depth and a pressing need for points. Both attacks are likely to score, making a tight 1-1 the most probable scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Union Saint-Gilloise are formidable at home and enter in strong form, while Real Sociedad possess superior individual quality but are prone to squad rotation on European road trips.

Muse Spark 1.2

Union SG's perfect 5-match winning run (16 goals scored, 2 conceded) and three-game home scoring streak gives them an edge, while Real Sociedad arrive in good form (two straight wins) but are expected to heavily rotate with several changes.

MiniMax M3

Union St. Gilloise enter on a five-match winning streak with dominant numbers (16 scored, 2 conceded) and have home advantage, while Real Sociedad are reportedly set to rotate heavily with several fringe starters coming in, which tempers their quality edge despite two consecutive wins.

Mistral Large 3

Union St. Gilloise's dominant recent form (5 straight wins, 16 goals scored, 2 conceded) and home advantage make them slight favorites, but Real Sociedad's consistency and tactical flexibility suggest a competitive match with a credible draw chance.

Kimi K3

Union SG impressed with a 3-0 win at Viktoria Pilsen on matchday one and are reliable scorers at home, but they are carrying up to 10 absences and just drew 1-1 with OH Leuven, leaving a makeshift side. Real Sociedad arrive on two straight wins with far greater squad depth (Oyarzabal returning, Sucic, Zakharyan, Guedes, Soler) even while rotating, making them slight favorites in a first-ever meeting.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Union Saint-Gilloise are in outstanding form (8 unbeaten, 7 straight scoring, 19 goals/3 conceded in 7 league games) and opened their Europa League campaign with a 3-0 win at Plzen; Real Sociedad lost their EL opener to Bournemouth, are rotating heavily, and have conceded in five consecutive matches (four straight away). Union's home strength at Den Dreef and Sociedad's defensive frailties give the hosts a slight edge, though Sociedad's attacking quality keeps the draw and away win live.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Union SG's five-match winning run and strong scoring form give them a meaningful edge, particularly against a potentially rotated Real Sociedad side. Sociedad's greater squad quality keeps a tight draw or narrow away win firmly in contention.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Union SG are in outstanding form (5 straight wins, 16 goals scored) and enjoy home advantage, but Real Sociedad are expected to rotate heavily yet still possess significant squad depth and quality from La Liga. This points to a tightly contested match where a narrow home edge is possible but a draw remains highly plausible.

Grok 4.5

Union SG enter with exceptional recent form (5 straight wins, 16 scored and only 2 conceded) and strong home scoring streak, while Real Sociedad rotate heavily after domestic wins and travel to Brussels. Home edge and defensive solidity make a narrow Union victory the most likely 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Union SG's strong home European form (5 unbeaten, 3-0 at Pilsen) is tempered by up to 10 absences, while Real Sociedad bring La Liga quality and two straight wins but have conceded in their last four away matches — pointing to a tight, open contest likely to produce goals on both sides.

GLM-5.2

Union SG are in outstanding form with five straight wins (16 scored, 2 conceded) and hold home advantage, while Real Sociedad are expected to rotate heavily with several fringe players starting, reducing their cohesion. However, Real Sociedad's overall squad quality as a La Liga side keeps this competitive, so a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeUnion St. Gilloise
2.41
DrawLevel at 90′
3.81
AwayReal Sociedad
2.76