Claude Opus 4.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv holds a squad-quality edge and better European pedigree, but Sheriff's strong home advantage in Tiraspol and typical first-leg caution keep this tight, making a narrow result or draw likely.
UEFA Europa LeagueFull time
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv — predictions and result
Sheriff Tiraspol90-minute result0–5
Maccabi Tel Aviv2nd Qualifying RoundSheriff Stadium
Predictions
16 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H22%D30%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 0–1 | H25%D35%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H29%D31%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 0–1 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H30%D31%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–1 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H25%D31%A44% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Maccabi carry superior European pedigree and attacking quality through Peretz, Shahar and the in-form Abu Farchi, while Sheriff's inability to score at home against Aluminij (0-0 despite 22 shots) raises major concerns about their cutting edge against stronger opposition.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Maccabi Tel Aviv enter with superior recent European experience and a potent attack led by Sayed Abu Farchi. While Sheriff Tiraspol will be difficult to break down on their home turf, the visitors' quality in the final third gives them the edge to secure a narrow first-leg advantage.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Maccabi Tel Aviv enters this tie with a stronger squad and superior continental pedigree, fresh off a 3-1 Super Cup victory. While Sheriff Tiraspol's defensive setup at home will make them difficult to break down, their recent struggles in front of goal suggest the visitors are well-positioned to secure a narrow first-leg advantage.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Maccabi Tel Aviv possess superior squad depth and arrive in high spirits after winning the Israeli Super Cup, but Sheriff Tiraspol's strong home record in European qualifying makes a cagey first-leg draw very plausible.
Gemma 4 31B
Maccabi Tel Aviv possesses a slightly higher individual quality in attack with players like Dor Peretz, while Sheriff Tiraspol is traditionally strong at home in European qualifiers.
MiniMax M3
Sheriff Tiraspol's home form in European qualifiers is strong at the difficult Sheriff Sports Complex, but Maccabi Tel Aviv under Kenny Miller is a quality Israeli side with Europa League pedigree, making a tight first leg likely. A 1-1 draw suits both teams tactically — Sheriff taking a positive result at home while Maccabi secures a valuable away goal heading into the second leg.
Mistral Large 3
Sheriff Tiraspol holds a slight home advantage in a tightly contested fixture, but Maccabi Tel Aviv's attacking threats, including Sayed Abu Farchi and Dor Peretz, make them capable of securing an away draw in a competitive Europa League qualifier.
Kimi K2.6
Maccabi Tel Aviv brings stronger continental pedigree and in-form attackers such as Abu Farchi and Dor Peretz, while Sheriff Tiraspol labored to a goalless home draw against Aluminij in the previous round and lacks decisive firepower. A narrow away win looks the most likely result in Moldova.
Kimi K3
Maccabi arrive with the stronger squad and sharper attacking form (Super Cup win with an Abu Farchi brace; Peretz and Shahar combined for 32 league goals last season), while Sheriff looked toothless at home in round one — 22 attempts and no goal against Aluminij — pointing to a narrow away win. That said, Tiraspol is a notoriously awkward away trip in early-season qualifiers and Sheriff's organized home setup keeps the draw very live.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Sheriff Tiraspol's formidable home record in European qualifiers and Maccabi Tel Aviv's inconsistent away form in early-round ties give the Moldovan side a narrow edge in the first leg.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Maccabi Tel Aviv appear to have the stronger attacking options, but Sheriff’s home advantage should make this first-leg qualifier tight. A cautious, low-scoring draw is the likeliest scoreline, with Maccabi slightly more likely to win overall.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Maccabi Tel Aviv possess significantly more attacking quality (Peretz's 19 and Shahar's 13 league goals last season) and stronger recent European pedigree, but Sheriff's formidable home record in Tiraspol and first-leg caution in qualifying ties keep this tight. Sheriff's inability to score at home against Aluminij in the previous round is concerning, yet Maccabi's early-season rust (only one competitive match) prevents a more decisive away prediction.
Grok 4.5
Maccabi hold a clear quality edge (squad value ~5x higher) with superior European pedigree and attacking options like Peretz, Shahar and Abu Farchi, while Sheriff laboured to a 1-0 aggregate over Aluminij and failed to score at home in that tie. Home advantage in Tiraspol keeps the hosts competitive and elevates the draw chance, but the visitors are the most likely 90-minute winners by a narrow margin.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Maccabi Tel Aviv possess far greater attacking quality with Peretz, Shahar, and Abu Farchi, and have recent competitive match sharpness from their Super Cup win, while Sheriff struggled to score at home in the first qualifying round and lack European pedigree in recent seasons.
GLM-5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv are the stronger side from a superior league with a deeper squad, but Sheriff's home advantage in Tiraspol and the cautious nature of a first leg make a tight, low-scoring affair likely. A 1-1 draw is the most probable single scoreline, though Maccabi's overall quality gives them the edge to win more often than not.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeSheriff Tiraspol
- 2.98
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 3.31
- AwayMaccabi Tel Aviv
- 2.14