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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

Rangers vs Jagiellonia — predictions and result

Rangers
90-minute result1–1
Jagiellonia
3rd Qualifying RoundIbrox Stadium

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–0
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H52%D23%A25%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H50%D26%A24%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–0
H61%D22%A17%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H52%D24%A24%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H60%D22%A18%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H48%D26%A26%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H46%D29%A25%
MissedExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D25%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H45%D25%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H56%D24%A20%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H45%D28%A27%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H55%D24%A21%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H47%D26%A27%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H46%D30%A24%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Rangers trail 2-1 from the first leg and must chase the tie at Ibrox, where home advantage and attacking urgency make a Rangers win most likely; Jagiellonia have shown they can score, but Rangers' need to push for goals still points to a home victory, with a draw a real possibility given their defensive lapses.

Claude Opus 5

Rangers must overturn a 2-1 first-leg deficit at a sold-out Ibrox and will attack with intent, but McInnes is still winless with a shaky defence (two own-goal/defensive lapses in Poland) and Chermiti out injured, while Jagiellonia are confident, well-organised and dangerous on the counter through Szmyt and Prelec — so a narrow home win is likeliest without much margin over draw/away outcomes.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Rangers have Ibrox and the urgency of overturning a 2-1 first-leg deficit, but their poor early-season form and defensive injuries leave them vulnerable to Jagiellonia's counter-attacking threat. That points to a narrow home win, with a draw or away goal also realistic.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Rangers suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat in the first leg but will rely on their formidable home advantage at Ibrox to overturn the deficit. Despite losing striker Youssef Chermiti to injury, Derek McInnes's side possesses enough attacking firepower to break down a Jagiellonia team likely defending their aggregate lead.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Rangers have struggled under new manager Derek McInnes, failing to win any of their first three competitive matches and showing significant defensive vulnerability. However, returning to Ibrox with a 2-1 deficit to overturn, they should have enough attacking quality to secure a narrow victory on the night, even if keeping a clean sheet remains difficult.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Trailing 2-1 from the first leg in Poland, Rangers return to Ibrox needing a victory to keep their Europa League qualifying campaign alive. Driven by strong home support, Derek McInnes' side should dominate tempo and force a narrow 90-minute win.

Gemma 4 31B

Rangers possess superior squad depth and home advantage at Ibrox, though Jagiellonia's attacking form with Prelec suggests they can find the net. Despite some injuries, Rangers are the clear favorites to control the tie in the first leg.

Muse Spark 1.2

Rangers have Ibrox advantage and greater squad depth as favourites for the second leg, but Jagiellonia arrive with no absentees and an in-form striker in Prelec while Rangers lose Chermiti to ACL, pointing to a narrow, competitive home win rather than a comfortable one.

MiniMax M3

Rangers have home advantage at Ibrox in this Europa League qualifier, but the loss of striker Youssef Chermiti to a long-term ACL injury weakens their attack, and the squad remains in transition under McInnes with many new signings still bedding in. Jagiellonia are a solid Polish side with quality in new striker Prelec and playmaker Imaz, capable of holding a transitional Rangers side, making the draw the most honest single most likely outcome with both teams likely to score.

Mistral Large 3

Rangers are at home against a Jagiellonia side that has shown attacking threat but lacks the defensive solidity to contain Rangers' purposeful attacking intent, especially with home advantage and recent injuries to key Jagiellonia players. However, Jagiellonia's counter-attacking potential and recent form in front of goal keep the draw and away win probabilities credible.

Kimi K2.6

Rangers are at home needing to overturn a 2-1 first-leg deficit, but they are winless under new manager McInnes and missing Youssef Chermiti, while Jagiellonia can advance with a draw and pose a threat on the counter. Rangers should dominate possession at Ibrox and edge a high-stakes match, but their defensive frailties and the visitors' counter-attacking threat keep the away win probability significant.

Kimi K3

Rangers' superior squad depth and home advantage at Ibrox in this second-leg qualifier make them clear favourites, but the ACL loss of striker Chermiti blunts their attack while Jagiellonia arrive with no absentees and an in-form forward line (Prelec scoring freely), keeping the visitors competitive and the draw a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Rangers hold home advantage at Ibrox in this first leg and possess greater European experience, but the loss of striker Youssef Chermiti to an ACL injury blunts their attack. Jagiellonia arrive with Nik Prelec in sharp form (two goals in two games) and a settled 4-4-2, making them capable of scoring away; a narrow home win with both teams scoring is the most likely outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Rangers’ need to overturn a 2-1 first-leg deficit should produce sustained pressure at Ibrox, making a narrow home win most likely. Their shaky defending and Chermiti’s injury leave Jagiellonia with a significant threat on the counter.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Rangers are strong favorites at Ibrox in this first leg, with a notably stronger squad featuring Shankland and Miovski up front, though the absence of Chermiti (ACL) slightly blunts their attack. Jagiellonia's in-form striker Nik Prelec (2 goals in 2 games) gives them a credible threat to nick an away goal, but Rangers' home advantage and superior quality should see them edge a tight qualifier.

Grok 4.5

Rangers trail 2-1 from the first leg and are winless under McInnes with defensive lapses, but Ibrox home advantage and attacking necessity should see them edge a high-stakes open game. Jagiellonia's counter threat and recent form make a clean sheet unlikely, favouring a narrow home win like the first leg reverse.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Rangers' desperation at Ibrox and home crowd should drive them to edge the second leg, but their dire form (winless in 3), significant injury absences, and Jagiellonia's dangerous counter-attacking threat (Szmyt scored twice in the first leg) make this far from comfortable and could easily yield an away goal that complicates the aggregate.

GLM-5.2

Rangers trail 2-1 on aggregate and are winless under new boss McInnes, but Ibrox on a European night provides a significant home advantage and desperation should drive a stronger performance. Jagiellonia hold the aggregate lead and can play conservatively, making the draw a genuine threat, but Rangers' improved second-half showing in the first leg and the return of key midfielders suggest they can edge a tight match.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeRangers
1.57
DrawLevel at 90′
4.16
AwayJagiellonia
5.45