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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

PAOK vs Anderlecht — predictions and result

PAOK
90-minute result0–1
Anderlecht
3rd Qualifying RoundToumba Stadium

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H48%D28%A24%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H50%D27%A23%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H47%D28%A25%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–0
H54%D26%A20%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H52%D26%A22%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H48%D28%A24%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–0
H50%D27%A23%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H49%D26%A25%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H52%D26%A22%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H51%D27%A22%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H53%D26%A21%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H48%D25%A27%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H47%D28%A25%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

PAOK enjoy a strong home advantage at Toumba and arrive in good form after eliminating Dynamo Kyiv, while Anderlecht have been underwhelming recently; a narrow home win is most likely though a tight tactical draw is a real possibility.

Claude Opus 5

PAOK are further into their competitive rhythm after comfortably eliminating Dynamo Kyiv and are formidable at a full Toumba, while Anderlecht have been inconsistent and typically start slowly in Europe. First-leg caution keeps the draw a live outcome, but a narrow home win is the most likely result.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

PAOK are formidable at Stadio Toumbas (unbeaten at home last season) and cruised past Dynamo Kyiv 5-2 on aggregate, while Anderlecht are in transition under new boss Vitor Bruno, missing key man Thorgan Hazard, and laboured to get past Hammarby — needing two late goals in the second leg.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

PAOK enters this tie with strong momentum after comfortably eliminating Dynamo Kyiv and will rely heavily on the intimidating atmosphere at Toumba Stadium. While Anderlecht possesses quality, their recent underwhelming seasons and PAOK's solid home form give the Greek side the edge in this first leg.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

PAOK are formidable at the Stadio Toumbas and enter this tie in strong form after a convincing 5-2 aggregate win over Dynamo Kyiv. Conversely, Anderlecht are in transition under a new manager and struggled away from home in the previous round, making a comfortable home victory the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

PAOK enter this tie in strong form having comfortably dispatched Dynamo Kyiv in the previous round, and they carry a formidable record at Stadio Toumbas. With Anderlecht undergoing transition and showing vulnerability away from home in European competition, the Greek hosts are well-positioned to take a narrow first-leg advantage.

Gemma 4 31B

PAOK enters the tie in strong form following a convincing aggregate win over Dynamo Kyiv and strong friendly results. However, Anderlecht's pedigree and the likelihood of a cautious first-leg approach suggest a tight contest where a draw is a highly probable outcome.

MiniMax M3

PAOK have strong home advantage at Stadio Toumbas, excellent preseason form (including a 4-0 thrashing of Belgian side Westerlo), and comfortably dispatched Dynamo Kyiv in the previous round (5-2 on aggregate), while Anderlecht's recent seasons have been underwhelming and they face a hostile away leg in a European qualifier where Greek sides tend to be well-drilled and physical.

Mistral Large 3

PAOK enters the match with strong recent form, home advantage, and tactical preparation, but Anderlecht's experience and quality in European competitions make them a formidable opponent. A tactical chess match is likely, with PAOK slightly favored but a draw highly probable.

Kimi K2.6

PAOK are unbeaten in 23 home matches and cruised past Dynamo Kyiv 5-2 on aggregate, while Anderlecht are under a new manager, integrating summer signings and needed late goals to edge Hammarby. The Toumba atmosphere and superior cohesion tilt the balance toward a PAOK win, but a cagey first-leg draw remains a realistic possibility.

Kimi K3

PAOK already have competitive rhythm after convincingly beating Dynamo Kyiv home and away in the previous round, and Toumba is one of Europe's tougher away venues with a fierce crowd behind them. Anderlecht carry the bigger name but have been underwhelming in recent seasons and are still early in their competitive build-up, so a narrow PAOK win is most likely, though a first-leg draw remains a live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

PAOK's convincing qualifying wins over Dynamo Kyiv and strong friendly form (4-0, 4-1 victories) combined with the intimidating Toumbas Stadium atmosphere give them a clear edge over an Anderlecht side that has underperformed domestically in recent seasons.

GPT-5.6 Sol

PAOK’s strong qualifying displays and home advantage at Toumba give them the edge. Anderlecht’s pedigree keeps the draw plausible, but PAOK look likelier to win a tight first leg.

Qwen3.7 Plus

PAOK holds a distinct edge with home advantage at the formidable Stadio Toumbas and superior match fitness after navigating two legs against Dynamo Kyiv. Anderlecht's recent underwhelming form makes them vulnerable, setting up a narrow home victory in a tightly contested tactical battle.

Grok 4.5

PAOK are strong at Toumba, unbeaten at home in the prior league season and fresh from a comfortable 5-2 aggregate win over Dynamo Kyiv, while Anderlecht are in transition under a new coach after a laboured 4-2 aggregate escape against Hammarby. Home advantage and superior current momentum make a controlled PAOK win the most likely 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

PAOK are strong at Toumbas and impressed beating Dynamo Kyiv 5-2 on aggregate, while Anderlecht are in transition under new manager Vitor Bruno and needed late goals to squeeze past Hammarby. Home advantage and PAOK's sharper qualifying form give them the edge in this first leg.

GLM-5.2

PAOK enter in strong form after comfortably dispatching Dynamo Kyiv and impressing in friendlies, while Anderlecht's recent seasons have been underwhelming. The passionate Toumba home crowd and PAOK's sharp competitive edge give them the edge, though a first-leg qualifying draw remains a realistic outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomePAOK
1.57
DrawLevel at 90′
3.36
AwayAnderlecht
4.44