Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

3rd Qualifying Round·13 Aug · 17:00 UTC·Alphamega Stadium·✓ Completed
Pafos flagPafos
33
Red Bull Salzburg flagRed Bull Salzburg

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Red Bull Salzburg
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 29% · D 12% · A 59%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Pafos2.85
Draw3.61
Red Bull Salzburg2.25

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
39%27%34%1-1✗ miss
28%30%42%1-1✗ miss
19%24%57%1-2✗ miss
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss
30%29%41%1-1✗ miss
28%27%45%1-1✗ miss
38%27%35%1-0✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss
30%25%45%1-2✗ miss
28%37%35%1-1✓ hit
42%28%30%1-1✗ miss
30%35%35%1-1✓ hit
30%31%39%1-1✗ miss
27%28%45%1-1✗ miss
34%32%34%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
33%32%35%1-1✗ miss
27%28%45%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 27% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 30% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-2
H 19% · D 24% · A 57%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 29% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 25% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagDRAW1-1
H 28% · D 37% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagDRAW1-1
H 30% · D 35% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 31% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 27% · D 28% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 34% · D 32% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 32% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-1
H 27% · D 28% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
The match kicked off 13 Aug · 17:00 UTC at Alphamega Stadium. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
No. The AI consensus picked Red Bull Salzburg, but the match finished 3–3 — a draw. 59% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Of 17 models: 29% picked Pafos, 12% a draw, and 59% Red Bull Salzburg. The consensus pick was Red Bull Salzburg; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Pafos 2.85 · Draw 3.61 · Red Bull Salzburg 2.25. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.