Pafos
Red Bull Salzburg| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H19%D24%A57% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H30%D29%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D25%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H28%D37%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H30%D31%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D32%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D32%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Pafos must overturn a 1-0 first-leg deficit at their strong Cyprus venue (8 wins in last 12 European home games), which should motivate an open attacking game, but Salzburg's greater quality and away goals threat make this finely balanced with a real draw likelihood.
Pafos trail 1-0 and must chase at home in Limassol, where they have been excellent in Europe (eight wins in their last 12 home continental games), but pushing forward leaves them exposed to Salzburg's counter-attacking pace and superior squad depth. A tight, low-scoring leg is likely, with a draw a very live outcome given Salzburg's cushion and cautious away approach.
Salzburg carry a 1-0 aggregate lead and are the stronger side, so they can defend and strike in transition, but Pafos have a strong recent European home record in Cyprus and must chase the tie, making a tight draw the likeliest exact scoreline with Salzburg still the more probable result winner overall.
Pafos must chase the game after a late first-leg defeat, which will leave them vulnerable to Salzburg's superior attacking quality on the counter. Furthermore, playing away from their usual home stadium and missing the suspended Ken Sema diminishes the hosts' chances of an upset.
After a narrow 1-0 win in the first leg, Red Bull Salzburg hold the advantage and can exploit the spaces left by Pafos as the Cypriot side is forced to chase the game. Salzburg's superior quality and transition threat should see them secure a narrow away victory.
Holding a 1-0 advantage from the first leg, Red Bull Salzburg have the quality to control the tie, though their European away record urges some caution. Pafos are strong on home soil but missing several key players through injury and suspension, making a score draw that secures Salzburg's progression the most likely 90-minute result.
Salzburg holds a 1-0 lead from the first leg and possesses superior overall quality, but Pafos has a strong home record in Europe, losing only once in their last 12 home continental games.
Pafos must chase a 1-0 deficit but are strong in Cyprus (8 wins in last 12 European home games, D3 L1 vs only Bayern) at the Alphamega Stadium, while Salzburg won the first leg late and have kept it tight defensively - points to a narrow, low-scoring home win rather than an away control.
Pafos host in Limassol (Alphamega Stadium) with an excellent recent home European record (8W-3D-1L in last 12, lone loss to Bayern Munich), but they need to overturn a 1-0 deficit, forcing them to attack against a Salzburg side showing strong defensive form (clean sheets in 2 of last 5, restricting opponents to one goal in last two). The combination of Pafos's home resilience and Salzburg's disciplined defending points to a tight, low-scoring draw as the single most likely scoreline.
Pafos FC showed resilience in European home games but Red Bull Salzburg's quality and away goal advantage from the first leg make them slight favorites. However, Pafos' home form in Europe and the need to attack could lead to an open game with a probable away win or draw.
Salzburg will look to protect their 1-0 aggregate lead and have struggled in European away matches, while Pafos are weakened by the absences of key attackers Quina, Jaja and Sema, making a cagey 1-1 draw the most likely outcome.
Pafos are slight favourites thanks to a formidable home European record (8 wins in their last 12 in Cyprus) and must-win urgency trailing 1-0 from the first leg, but Salzburg are unbeaten this season, defensively solid, and only need a draw — while Pafos lose Quina (injury) and Sema (suspended), pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is very live.
Salzburg lead 1-0 on aggregate and are unbeaten this season (W3 D1), but have lost 8 of their last 10 European away games; Pafos have a strong home European record (W8 D3 L1 in last 12) but miss key players Quina, Sema and Jaja. The tie dynamics favour a cautious Salzburg side content with a draw, while Pafos must attack, making 1-1 the most probable scoreline.
Salzburg hold a narrow first-leg advantage and have the greater European pedigree, allowing them to play pragmatically and exploit space as Pafos push forward. Pafos' strong recent European record in Cyprus makes a competitive draw the likeliest scoreline.
Salzburg enter with a 1-0 aggregate lead from the first leg and have shown defensive solidity, allowing them to sit deep and counter against a Pafos side forced to chase the tie. However, Pafos have won 8 of their last 12 European home games in Cyprus, suggesting they can find the net, while Salzburg's attacking output may be limited by their cautious approach — making a narrow 1-1 draw the most likely individual scoreline.
Pafos boast a strong recent European home record in Cyprus and overturned a deficit vs Hajduk, while Salzburg are unbeaten but have lost 8 of their last 10 European away games and protect a slender 1-0 lead. A tight, cagey second leg with shared spoils is the most probable 90-minute outcome.
Pafos have an excellent European home record in Cyprus (W8 D3 L1 in their last 12) and have a history of overturning first-leg deficits, but Salzburg's defensive solidity and 1-0 aggregate cushion allow them to play pragmatically. Salzburg's poor European away record (8 losses in 10) suggests they won't dominate, making a draw the likeliest outcome that sends Salzburg through on aggregate.
Salzburg hold a 1-0 first-leg lead and are the clearly stronger side, but Pafos boast an excellent home European record in Cyprus (8W-3D-1L in their last 12), making them capable of scoring. With Salzburg able to play conservatively, a tight, drawn affair where Pafos level on the night but Salzburg advance on aggregate is the most likely 90-minute outcome.
PafosRed Bull Salzburg