Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

2nd Qualifying Round·30 Jul · 17:00 UTC·Alphamega Stadium·✓ Completed
Pafos flagPafos
20
HNK Hajduk Split flagHNK Hajduk Split

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Pafos
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 63% · D 13% · A 25%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Pafos1.75
Draw3.96
HNK Hajduk Split3.93

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
47%25%28%1-0✓ hit
32%36%32%1-1✗ miss
34%28%38%1-1✗ miss
40%32%28%1-1✓ hit
41%28%31%2-1✓ hit
32%28%40%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%28%30%1-1✓ hit
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
27%38%35%1-1✗ miss
42%27%31%2-1✓ hit
38%28%34%1-1✓ hit
43%28%29%1-1✓ hit
36%30%34%1-1✓ hit
41%29%30%2-1✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
30%32%38%1-1✗ miss
38%31%31%1-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-0
H 47% · D 25% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW1-1
H 32% · D 36% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 28% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 32% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 41% · D 28% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagDRAW1-1
H 27% · D 38% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 27% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 43% · D 28% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-1
H 41% · D 29% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 32% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 31% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
The match kicked off 30 Jul · 17:00 UTC at Alphamega Stadium. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Pafos, and the match finished 2–0. 63% of 16 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Of 16 models: 63% picked Pafos, 13% a draw, and 25% HNK Hajduk Split. The consensus pick was Pafos; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Pafos 1.75 · Draw 3.96 · HNK Hajduk Split 3.93. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.