Olympiakos Piraeus
Jagiellonia| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H66%D21%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H63%D23%A14% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H54%D26%A20% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H58%D23%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Olympiakos are a significantly stronger side with deep European pedigree and a fortress-like home record at Karaiskakis, while Jagiellonia travel as clear outsiders reliant on compact defending and transitions; a controlled home win is the most likely outcome, though Jagiellonia's organisation keeps a low-scoring draw live.
Olympiakos are the stronger side at home and have been in good domestic form, while Jagiellonia are likely to sit compact and try to hit on the break. A controlled home win is most likely, but the draw remains a real risk.
Olympiakos hold a significant quality advantage and are formidable at the Karaiskakis Stadium under José Luis Mendilibar, giving them the edge over a Jagiellonia side with limited top-tier European away experience.
Olympiakos' strong home advantage at Karaiskakis and superior European experience under Mendilibar outweigh Jagiellonia's compact defensive approach, with the hosts' control of tempo and recent domestic wins pointing to a home victory despite Jagiellonia's transition threat.
Olympiakos Piraeus enjoy strong home advantage in this Greek fortress, have superior European pedigree, and arrive in good domestic form (recent wins over Larissa, Asteras Tripolis, Atromitos) under Mendilibar, who favors controlling tempo and possession. Jagiellonia Białystok's best path is defensive compactness and counter-attacks, but as a Polish club on the road in their first Europa League league-phase outing, they are clear underdogs against a side that won a prior meeting 5-0.
Olympiakos Piraeus demonstrates superior recent form and tactical control in possession, while Jagiellonia Białystok relies on defensive compactness and counter-attacks, making a home win the most likely outcome. However, draws are a realistic possibility given both teams' recent struggles to secure victories.
Olympiakos arrive in strong domestic form (wins over Larissa, Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos) and are traditionally formidable at the Karaiskakis in Europe, with clear pedigree as recent continental trophy winners; Jagiellonia are a capable, compact Polish side dangerous in transition but lack Olympiakos' European experience and squad depth. The home side should control possession and edge it, though Jagiellonia's counter-attacking threat makes a draw or a goal for the visitors plausible.
Olympiakos' home advantage at Karaiskakis Stadium, superior European pedigree (2023-24 Conference League winners), and stronger domestic league context outweigh Jagiellonia's credible qualifying win over Rangers; Olympiakos' recent 0-1 loss to OFI suggests vulnerability but their 3-2 win over Volos shows attacking threat.
Olympiakos have the stronger squad, greater European experience and home advantage, with the supplied notes also indicating positive recent domestic form. Jagiellonia's counterattacking threat gives them some upset potential, but Olympiakos should control possession and create the better chances.
Olympiakos, managed by Europa Conference League-winning coach Luis Mendilibar, hold a significant quality and European experience advantage over Jagiellonia Białystok, and play at home in the Karaiskakis Stadium. Jagiellonia's game plan of defensive compactness and counters may keep the scoreline tight, but Olympiakos' superior squad depth and possession control should see them through with a comfortable home win.
Olympiakos hold clear quality and home advantage as Greek champions under Mendilibar, controlling tempo against a compact but less experienced Jagiellonia side; recent domestic wins and historical dominance support a controlled home victory while respecting the typical ~24% draw rate.
Olympiakos have home advantage and superior European pedigree, but recent coaching instability (Mendilibar sacked Sept 9, replaced by Alguacil just days ago) and poor form (0 wins in last 5) temper expectations against a Jagiellonia side that finished 3rd in Ekstraklasa and are defensively compact; expect a tight, low-scoring affair decided by a single goal.
Olympiakos, under experienced European coach Mendilibar, are in strong domestic form and hold a clear quality edge over Polish side Jagiellonia, who lack depth at this level. Home advantage in Piraeus further tilts the tie toward the Greek champions.
Olympiakos PiraeusJagiellonia