Maccabi Tel Aviv
CSKA Sofia| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H36%D32%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H44%D32%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H45%D33%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H35%D35%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H43%D31%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H44%D30%A26% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Maccabi Tel Aviv are the stronger side with more European pedigree and are effectively favored despite playing at a neutral venue (Batumi), but CSKA Sofia's structured defensive setup keeps this competitive, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
Maccabi Tel Aviv are the stronger, better-resourced side with more consistent recent European pedigree, though their 'home' tie is played at a neutral venue in Batumi, which dilutes the usual advantage; CSKA Sofia are likely to sit deep and counter, keeping the margin tight and giving the draw a healthy share.
Maccabi arrive with three straight wins (10 goals scored) and a dominant 6-0 aggregate over Sheriff, while CSKA needed penalties to survive Qarabag. However, the neutral Batumi venue erodes Maccabi's home edge, and CSKA's seven-match unbeaten run and five-man defensive block make a tight contest likely — a narrow Maccabi win edges a draw.
Maccabi Tel Aviv has been in stellar attacking form but loses all home advantage as this fixture will be played at a neutral venue in Georgia behind closed doors. CSKA Sofia has significantly upgraded their squad with high-profile signings like Stefano Sensi and Jean-Philippe Gbamin, and their defensive resilience—evidenced by shutting out Qarabag in the previous round—makes a tight, low-scoring draw highly likely.
With Maccabi Tel Aviv forced to play their home leg on neutral ground in Batumi behind closed doors, their home advantage is virtually non-existent. Given CSKA Sofia's defensive resilience—having kept consecutive clean sheets against Qarabag in the previous round—a tight, low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.
Playing this first leg at a neutral venue in Batumi deprives Maccabi Tel Aviv of true home advantage against a resilient CSKA Sofia side. While Maccabi hold a slight edge in overall quality, a tight and cautious opening leg makes a low-scoring draw a very likely result.
Maccabi Tel Aviv generally possesses a stronger squad and home advantage, while CSKA Sofia is expected to employ a defensive five-man back line to limit transitions.
Maccabi Tel Aviv's superior European form (6-0 aggregate over Sheriff) and attacking quality give them the edge, but CSKA Sofia's defensive solidity and the first-leg caution at neutral Batumi Stadium make the draw a genuine possibility. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest where Maccabi's offensive edge just edges it.
Maccabi Tel Aviv play with an attacking 1-4-3-3 formation but face a disciplined CSKA Sofia side likely to defend deep and exploit set-pieces and transitions. Both teams are evenly matched, making a draw the most balanced outcome, though Maccabi's home advantage provides a slight edge.
Maccabi Tel Aviv holds a significant UEFA coefficient edge and arrives in strong form after sweeping Sheriff Tiraspol 6-0 on aggregate, while CSKA Sofia needed penalties to survive Qarabag and is expected to defend deep at the neutral Batumi venue, making a narrow low-scoring win for the Israeli side the most likely outcome.
Maccabi Tel Aviv carry the stronger pedigree and form (6-0 aggregate over Sheriff, Super Cup win, Abu Farchi with 4 goals in 3 games), but with the tie staged at a neutral venue in Batumi due to UEFA sanctions they get no real home advantage. CSKA Sofia are unbeaten this season and extremely hard to break down (two 0-0s vs Qarabag, likely five-man back line), which keeps the draw and an away upset live, though Maccabi's superior attacking quality makes a narrow first-leg win the most likely outcome.
Neutral venue in Batumi removes home advantage; both sides in strong form (Maccabi 6-0 agg vs Sheriff, CSKA 7 pts from 9 in Parva Liga + penalty shootout resilience). First-leg caution and CSKA's defensive solidity (two 0-0s vs Qarabag) point to a low-scoring draw, though Maccabi's superior European dominance gives them a slight win edge.
Maccabi Tel Aviv appear slightly stronger overall, but playing in Batumi reduces their normal home advantage. CSKA Sofia’s compact defensive approach should keep this first-leg qualifier tight and relatively low-scoring.
This first-leg qualifier is played at a neutral venue in Batumi, stripping Maccabi of home advantage and leveling the tie. CSKA Sofia's organized five-man defensive setup—evidenced by two 0-0s against Qarabag—makes them extremely difficult to break down, while Maccabi's superior European experience (three consecutive seasons, Conference League last 16 in 2024) and strong attacking form (6-0 vs Sheriff, Super Cup win) give them a marginal edge. A cagey, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome in a cautious opening leg.
Neutral Batumi venue erases Maccabi's usual home edge; they arrive in better attacking form after a 6-0 aggregate win over Sheriff, yet CSKA are extremely hard to break down after two goalless legs and penalties versus Qarabag and an unbeaten domestic start, making a tight low-scoring draw the most probable 90-minute outcome.
Maccabi Tel Aviv are in superb form with Abu Farchi firing (4 goals in 3 games) and demolished Sheriff 6-0 on aggregate, while CSKA Sofia have been defensively stubborn in Europe (two 0-0 draws vs Qarabağ) but less attacking; the neutral venue in Batumi slightly narrows Maccabi's edge but their quality should prevail in a tight first leg.
Maccabi are the stronger side with superior European experience and attacking form, but the neutral Batumi venue negates their home advantage while CSKA's defensive solidity and unbeaten start make them hard to break down in a cagey first leg.
Maccabi Tel AvivCSKA Sofia