Lillestrom
Real Sociedad| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H26%D25%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H20%D28%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H19%D26%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H27%D27%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H21%D28%A51% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H25%D35%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H22%D28%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H24%D27%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H28%D34%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H19%D27%A54% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Real Sociedad carry clearly superior individual quality (Oyarzabal, Kubo, Barrenetxea) and are under pressure to convert their one point from six into a win, but Matarazzo's injury-hit squad travelling to a cold, compact Norwegian side that defends stubbornly at home keeps this closer than the gap in level suggests. A narrow Sociedad win is most likely, with a real chance of another frustrating draw.
Real Sociedad's superior squad and pressing need for a first Europa League win should edge a resilient Lillestrom side, though the hosts' scoring run and Sociedad's slow European start make a narrow away victory the likeliest outcome.
Real Sociedad possess significantly superior technical quality and attacking depth with the likes of Oyarzabal and Kubo, which should prove decisive despite Lillestrom's resilient home structure.
Lillestrom's recent home form is built on stubborn, low-scoring defending while Real Sociedad arrive needing a win after 1 point from 6 but short of Herrera, Odriozola and Aramburu; Sociedad's superior quality in Kubo/Oyarzabal/Soler should narrowly edge a scrappy, tight contest in Norway.
Real Sociedad's clear quality edge should tell at19:00 UTC on a cold, floodlit artificial pitch, and they travel to Norway under urgent pressure after taking only one point from their first two league-phase games. However, Lillestrøm's home record is built on stubborn, low-scoring defending, while Sociedad are short of midfielders and defenders (Yangel Herrera, Odriozola, Aramburu, Beitia missing), which argues for a tight, scrappy contest rather than a rout.
Real Sociedad's far superior squad and must-win situation (one point from two league-phase games) make them clear favourites despite the trip to Norway, but Lillestrom's stubborn, low-scoring home form (two draws and a 2-0 win in their last three) plus Sociedad's absentees (Herrera, Odriozola, Aramburu, Beitia) and late-October conditions keep the draw and an upset genuinely live. Expect a tight match that Sociedad's extra quality edges late.
Real Sociedad are the stronger side but miss four key players (Herrera, Odriozola, Aramburu, Beitia), weakening their defensive structure; Lillestrom are stubborn at home with two draws and a 2-0 win in their last three, while both teams sit on one point from two Europa League games and desperately need a result, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Real Sociedad’s superior squad quality and need for a victory give them the edge, despite defensive absences and a slow European start. Lillestrom’s disciplined home defending should keep the match tight and makes a draw a substantial possibility.
Real Sociedad possess significantly superior quality through players like Kubo, Oyarzabal, and Óskarsson, and are desperate for a win after taking just one point from two games. However, Lillestrom's stubborn home defending (two draws and a 2-0 win in their last three home games) and Sociedad's defensive injury absences (Herrera, Odriozola, Aramburu, Beitia) suggest a tight, low-scoring affair rather than a comfortable away victory.
Real Sociedad's superior squad quality and strong La Liga form make them favourites despite a slow EL start and some absences, while Lillestrom's stubborn home defending and shared need for points keep the contest tight and low-to-mid scoring.
Lillestrom's home form is built on stubborn defending (two draws and a 2-0 win in their last three) and they average 1.50 goals conceded at home in Europe, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game, while Real Sociedad arrive missing Herrera, Odriozola, Aramburu and Beitia and have taken just one point from six. Sociedad's superior squad depth makes them slight favourites, but their poor European form and Lillestrom's compact, counter-attacking setup make a score draw the most likely single outcome.
Real Sociedad's superior squad quality should prevail despite a slow Europa League start and several defensive absences, but Lillestrom's stubborn home defending and Norway conditions make a tight, low-scoring contest likely with the draw a genuine threat.
LillestromReal Sociedad