Larne
FC Iberia 1999| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D38%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H29%D26%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H31%D30%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H35%D38%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H30%D36%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D33%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H31%D34%A35% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides arrive bruised from Champions League exits; Saburtalo/Iberia are Georgian champions in strong domestic form and slightly higher quality, but as first-leg visitors mindful of the return home tie they will likely be cautious, while Larne have home advantage at Inver Park. A tight, low-scoring goal draw is the most likely single outcome with a marginal edge to the Georgians.
Larne come in low on confidence after a heavy Champions League qualifying defeat and with their domestic season not yet underway, while Saburtalo are mid-season match-fit and technically the better side, though not a Georgian heavyweight. Inver Park and Larne's aerial/set-piece threat against Saburtalo's shaky defending of second balls keep this close, with a tight low-scoring first leg the likeliest shape.
Both sides arrive bruised from heavy Champions League exits and this first leg at Inver Park is likely to be tight and cautious. Larne have home advantage but are still reeling from a 9-0 aggregate loss to Red Star Belgrade, while Saburtalo arrive mid-season and top of the Georgian league with greater match sharpness — a score draw is the most realistic outcome.
Larne will look to leverage their home advantage and physicality from set-pieces, but Saburtalo's technical quality and possession-based approach make the Georgian side slight favorites to edge the first leg.
Both teams drop down from Champions League qualification after tough exits, but Saburtalo Tbilisi showed more competitive resilience in their tie against Slovan Bratislava compared to Larne's heavy defeat to Red Star Belgrade. While the Georgian side possesses superior technical quality, Larne's home advantage at Inver Park should help them secure a hard-fought draw.
Both teams enter this qualifying fixture looking to establish stability after exiting higher European rounds. With Saburtalo in full domestic match fitness and possessing technical quality on the counter, a cautious first leg in Northern Ireland is likely to result in a tight, low-scoring draw.
Larne has home advantage at Inver Park but is struggling defensively following a heavy defeat to Red Star Belgrade. Saburtalo possesses superior technical quality and ball retention, though they may struggle with Larne's physical approach on set pieces.
Larne have home advantage at Inver Park but showed major defensive frailties in their heavy loss to Red Star Belgrade in the previous round, while Saburtalo Tbilisi arrive with decent domestic form and consistent chance creation but are vulnerable to crosses and second balls. A cagey first leg between two relatively evenly matched smaller-league sides tilts toward a 1-1 draw as the most likely outcome.
Larne, playing at home, are under pressure to tighten their defense after recent struggles, while Saburtalo Tbilisi possess the quality to exploit defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams are likely to create chances, but Saburtalo's defensive frailties on set pieces and Larne's home advantage balance the probabilities, making a draw the most evenly weighted outcome.
Both teams are likely to adopt cautious, compact approaches after bruising Champions League exits, and with Saburtalo prioritizing the return leg in Tbilisi, Larne’s home advantage and the visitors’ set-piece vulnerability should produce a tight, low-scoring draw.
Both sides dropped out of Champions League qualifying, but Saburtalo (Iberia 1999) arrive mid-season, top of the Georgian league and back-to-back champions, giving them a fitness and slight quality edge over a Larne side just starting their domestic campaign and thrashed 9-0 on aggregate by Red Star. Larne's Inver Park home advantage and Saburtalo's likely caution with the second leg in Tbilisi to come keep this very tight, making a low-scoring draw highly live.
Larne's home advantage is offset by defensive frailties exposed in a heavy loss to Red Star Belgrade; Saburtalo arrive with strong domestic form and attacking threat but struggle defending crosses and set pieces, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Saburtalo's stronger domestic form and ability to exploit Larne's defensive issues give them the overall edge. Larne's home support and threat from crosses and set pieces make a draw a substantial possibility.
Saburtalo Tbilisi arrive with strong domestic form and a proven ability to create chances, giving them a slight edge, but Larne's home advantage at Inver Park and the tight nature of a first-leg qualifier keep this finely balanced. Saburtalo's vulnerability to crosses and second balls could be exploited by Larne, making a narrow, low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.
Larne at home in a tight Europa League qualifier against Georgian side Saburtalo; both sides are mid-tier domestically with limited European pedigree, favouring a low-scoring stalemate after Larne's recent defensive concerns and Saburtalo's solid but unspectacular away form.
Larne's home advantage at Inver Park is offset by their recent defensive fragility against Red Star Belgrade, while Saburtalo Tbilisi arrive with strong domestic form and enough attacking quality to find the net. This is a closely matched qualifying-round tie likely to end level, with 1-1 the most probable scoreline.
Larne's home advantage at Inver Park is offset by defensive vulnerabilities exposed against Red Star Belgrade, while Saburtalo arrive with strong domestic form and enough quality to threaten. As a first leg, both sides are likely to be cautious, making a tight draw the most probable outcome.
LarneFC Iberia 1999