KuPS
Universitatea Craiova| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H26%D29%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D29%A39% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H41%D30%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D31%A31% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H30%D31%A39% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D30%A43% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Even first-leg tie: KuPS in mid-season rhythm with home advantage offsets Craiova's superior overall quality and attacking threat, with Romanian side facing a difficult away environment. Cautious first legs tend to be low-scoring and often level.
Craiova carry more squad quality and European pedigree, but they travel to Finland in a first leg against a KuPS side in mid-season rhythm and comfortable at home, where these ties are typically tight and low-scoring. A cautious away performance protecting the second leg makes a draw a very live outcome.
Craiova's greater European pedigree and Steven Nsimba's red-hot form (5 goals in 7 games) give them a clear edge, but KuPS are dominant domestically (top of Veikkausliiga, only 1 league loss) and will be resilient at home on their artificial surface, keeping this first leg tight.
KuPS will benefit from their mid-season match fitness and the familiar artificial surface at home, making them tough opponents. However, Universitatea Craiova possesses superior individual quality and attacking firepower, which should be enough to secure a hard-fought draw in the first leg.
KuPS benefits from playing on their home artificial turf and being in full season flow, while Universitatea Craiova has struggled on the road early in their campaign, including away defeats to Levski Sofia and Dinamo Bucharest.
KuPS enter this first leg in peak mid-season match sharpness atop the Finnish Veikkausliiga and enjoy home-field advantage on artificial turf. However, Universitatea Craiova hold greater individual squad depth and attacking quality, pointing toward a tight, low-scoring draw.
Universitatea Craiova possesses superior individual quality and a strong attacking threat, evidenced by recent 4-0 wins, despite some defensive inconsistency. KuPS is competitive at home, but the Romanian side's overall pedigree in European qualifiers gives them the edge.
First leg of Europa League 3QR with KuPS holding home advantage in Kuopio, but Universitatea Craiova arrives from a stronger Romanian league with proven firepower (Steven Nsimba in form, recent 4-0 league wins) offset by defensive vulnerability (8 goals conceded in last 5). A cagey, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome given the first-leg context, cautious European qualifying tactics, and both teams' mixed recent form.
Both teams have shown attacking capability but also defensive vulnerabilities, with Universitatea Craiova's recent form being mixed and KuPS relying on key attackers like Nsimba. A draw is a realistic outcome given the balanced strengths and recent performances.
Universitatea Craiova’s superior attacking talent and recent goal-scoring form give them a slight edge, but their defensive inconsistency and KuPS’s mid-season sharpness at home make a tightly contested first leg the most likely outcome.
KuPS are mid-season and strong at home on artificial turf in Kuopio, while Craiova — despite a stronger squad on paper and Nsimba's scoring form — are early in their domestic campaign and defensively erratic (5-1 loss to Dinamo). First-leg caution keeps this close, with the draw a genuine threat.
First leg of Europa League qualifier; KuPS missing Al Hamlawi but Nsimba in form; Craiova mixed domestic form but scored 8 in last 5; evenly balanced tie likely to produce cautious, low-scoring draw.
Universitatea Craiova appear to have the stronger attacking squad, but their defensive volatility and KuPS's home advantage make a close first leg likely. A draw is the likeliest individual scoreline, with Craiova slightly more likely to win overall.
Universitatea Craiova enter as slight favorites given their stronger Romanian league pedigree and Super Cup win, but their erratic domestic form (a 5-1 loss to Dinamo alongside two 4-0 wins) and KuPS's home advantage in Finland make this a tightly contested first leg. A cautious, low-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome as both teams feel each other out in European qualifying.
Craiova enter with superior squad depth and recent high-scoring domestic wins despite mixed form, while home advantage and KuPS' solid start keep it competitive; a low-scoring draw is the most probable 90-minute outcome in this first-leg qualifier.
KuPS are in strong form, sitting 1st in the Veikkausliiga (11W 6D 1L from 18 matches) and at peak mid-season fitness, while Craiova have mixed early-season form (2W 1L in Liga I) but showed European quality by beating Vitebsk and drawing Levski Sofia in CL qualifying before dropping to this round; the matchup is very evenly balanced with KuPS's home advantage and superior current fitness offset by Craiova's slightly higher league quality and recent European pedigree.
Universitatea Craiova, from a stronger Romanian league, have shown potent attacking form (4-0 wins in two of their last three domestic matches) despite a heavy 5-1 loss to Dinamo. KuPS benefit from home advantage and mid-season fitness in Finland, making a draw plausible, but Craiova's superior squad depth should edge a tight first leg.
KuPSUniversitatea Craiova