KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

3rd Qualifying Round·6 Aug · 15:00 UTC·Kuopion Keskuskentta·✓ Completed
KuPS flagKuPS
11
Universitatea Craiova flagUniversitatea Craiova

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Universitatea Craiova
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 44% · D 0% · A 56%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
KuPS3.37
Draw3.40
Universitatea Craiova2.05

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
31%28%41%1-1✗ miss
26%29%45%1-2✗ miss
32%29%39%1-1✗ miss
41%30%29%2-1✗ miss
38%31%31%1-1✗ miss
25%28%47%1-2✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
38%34%28%1-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
28%30%42%1-1✗ miss
39%27%34%2-1✗ miss
36%30%34%1-1✗ miss
30%31%39%1-1✗ miss
30%30%40%1-1✗ miss
32%28%40%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
27%30%43%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 28% · A 41%✗ miss✓ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 26% · D 29% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 29% · A 39%✗ miss✓ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 41% · D 30% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 31% · A 31%✗ miss✓ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 28% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 34% · A 28%✗ miss✓ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✓ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 30% · A 42%✗ miss✓ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 39% · D 27% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✗ miss✓ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 31% · A 39%✗ miss✓ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✗ miss✓ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✗ miss✓ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✓ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 30% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
This page records every AI model's prediction for KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova played?
The match kicked off 6 Aug · 15:00 UTC at Kuopion Keskuskentta. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
No. The AI consensus picked Universitatea Craiova, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 56% of 16 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
Of 16 models: 44% picked KuPS, 0% a draw, and 56% Universitatea Craiova. The consensus pick was Universitatea Craiova; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): KuPS 3.37 · Draw 3.40 · Universitatea Craiova 2.05. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.