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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş — predictions and result

Kauno Žalgiris
90-minute result1–0
Beşiktaş
Play-offsSteponas Darius and Stasys Girenas

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic0–2
H12%D21%A67%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic0–2
H20%D25%A55%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H22%D27%A51%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle0–2
H12%D22%A66%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle0–2
H13%D22%A65%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle0–2
H12%D21%A67%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–2
H10%D20%A70%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–2
H17%D24%A59%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H27%D33%A40%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral0–2
H15%D20%A65%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–2
H12%D28%A60%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H20%D25%A55%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H15%D25%A60%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–1
H12%D25%A63%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H20%D26%A54%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI0–2
H12%D22%A66%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H20%D27%A53%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H13%D22%A65%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Beşiktaş lead 3-0 from the first leg and are vastly superior in squad quality; even with a modestly rotated side away in Lithuania they should control the tie, though a comfortable aggregate lead can flatten intensity.

Claude Opus 5

Beşiktaş carry a 3-0 first-leg lead and have far greater squad depth, so even with likely rotation under Italiano they should control this second leg in Kaunas; Kauno Žalgiris are limited going forward and rely on set pieces, though a dead tie raises the chance of a low-scoring, tepid game or draw.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Beşiktaş are vastly stronger and already lead 3-0 on aggregate, but they are expected to rotate, which should keep the second leg more competitive. Kauno Žalgiris may nick a home goal, yet Beşiktaş's superior quality and counter-attacking depth should still secure the win.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Beşiktaş hold a commanding 3-0 lead from the first leg and boast a vastly superior squad under Vincenzo Italiano. While they may rotate and play a disciplined, possession-based game to manage risk, their quality should still comfortably overcome Kauno Žalgiris.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Holding a comfortable 3-0 lead from the first leg, Beşiktaş possess far superior quality and tactical discipline to control proceedings in Lithuania. Kauno Žalgiris lack the offensive firepower to break down Vincenzo Italiano's structured side, pointing to a professional away victory for the Turkish giants.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Beşiktaş hold a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead from the first leg and possess vastly superior quality across the pitch. Even in game-management mode away from home, the Turkish side should control proceedings and secure another comfortable victory.

Gemma 4 31B

Beşiktaş demonstrated overwhelming superiority in the first leg (winning 3-0) and possess a significantly higher quality squad, including Dušan Vlahović. Kauno Žalgiris struggled heavily in Champions League qualifiers and are unlikely to bridge the gap in quality.

Muse Spark 1.2

Besiktas won first leg 3-0 at home and have a heavily strengthened squad with no major absences, while Kauno Žalgiris were outclassed 5-0 by Dinamo Zagreb and rely on compact defence and set pieces; even with the tie virtually decided and a more managed away approach, the gulf in quality still makes a controlled Besiktas win most likely.

MiniMax M3

Beşiktaş holds a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead from the first leg in Istanbul and travels with a clearly superior squad (now including Vlahović), but Vincenzo Italiano's disciplined, control-oriented approach in a manage-the-game scenario is likely to keep the second leg tighter. Kauno Žalgiris, despite being outclassed in the first leg and previously thrashed by Dinamo Zagreb, will push at home with a compact defensive shape and set-piece threat, making a low-scoring draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Beşiktaş are significantly stronger in attack and defense, with superior squad depth and recent form, while Kauno Žalgiris struggled against far weaker opposition in Champions League qualifiers and rely on a cautious, counterattacking approach. The first leg saw Beşiktaş dominate and win 3-0, making them clear favorites for the second leg despite the away fixture.

Kimi K2.6

Beşiktaş hold a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead and can manage the match with a rotated squad that still features far more individual quality than Kauno Žalgiris, who were outclassed by Dinamo Zagreb and must take risks against a defense that had recorded six straight clean sheets prior to the weekend. This dynamic makes an away victory the most likely result.

Kimi K3

Beşiktaş won the first leg 3-0 in Istanbul and are vastly superior — a reinforced squad with Vlahović available under Italiano, while Kauno Žalgiris were outclassed even by Dinamo Zagreb earlier this summer. With the tie effectively settled Beşiktaş may rotate and manage the game away from home, which keeps the draw live, but their quality edge should still tell against a Lithuanian side forced to chase the tie.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Beşiktaş hold a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead and will likely rotate, but their squad depth and defensive organisation under Italiano still outweigh a Kauno Žalgiris side that managed 0.13 xG and zero shots on target in the first leg. Kauno will attack at home with little to lose, creating chances for Beşiktaş on the break.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Beşiktaş hold a 3-0 first-leg advantage and have substantially greater squad quality, though their comfortable position may encourage a controlled, low-risk approach. Kauno Žalgiris are likely to remain compact, making a narrow away win the likeliest outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Beşiktaş hold a commanding 3-0 first-leg lead and possess a significantly stronger squad (Vlahović, Kökçü, Murillo all scoring in leg one), allowing them to absorb Kauno's inevitable pressure and exploit transitions. Kauno Žalgiris, who were dismantled 6-1 on aggregate by Dinamo Zagreb in the prior round, lack the attacking quality to overturn the deficit but may grab a consolation at home.

Grok 4.5

Beşiktaş already crushed Kauno 3-0 in the first leg and are a far superior, reinforced side under Italiano with Vlahović available; the Lithuanians were outclassed by Dinamo Zagreb and rely on compact defending plus counters that will struggle against sustained away pressure, making a controlled Beşiktaş win the clear expectation.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Beşiktaş hold a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead and boast far superior quality and European experience, though Italiano may rotate heavily which could allow Kauno Žalgiris to grab a consolation goal at home; the Lithuanians' dire European record (7-1 aggregate loss to Dinamo Zagreb, 3-0 first-leg defeat) makes a comeback virtually impossible, but Beşiktaş's relaxed approach and potential squad changes keep the draw and even a home goal in play.

GLM-5.2

Beşiktaş hold a commanding 3-0 first-leg lead and will rotate, but even a rotated side with Vlahović and Trossard is vastly superior to a Kauno Žalgiris side that lost 7-1 on aggregate to Dinamo Zagreb in CL qualifying. The Lithuanians may find a goal at home, but Beşiktaş's defensive organization and individual quality should secure a comfortable away win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeKauno Žalgiris
8.36
DrawLevel at 90′
4.88
AwayBeşiktaş
1.35