Kairat Almaty
Anderlecht| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H28%D29%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 0–1 | H21%D28%A51% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 0–1 | H22%D28%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H32%D36%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 0–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H27%D35%A38% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Anderlecht carry better attacking quality and excellent recent form, but the long trip to Kazakhstan and Kairat's stout home defense (scoreless in both Levski legs) point to a tight, low-scoring first leg where a draw or narrow margin is likely.
Anderlecht carry clearly superior squad quality, but a first leg in Almaty's heat with heavy travel and Kairat's strong record at Central Stadium (where they have frustrated bigger European sides) points to a cagey, low-scoring tie; a cautious away performance makes the draw nearly as likely as an Anderlecht win.
Anderlecht have been more convincing in qualifying and carry the stronger attacking threat, while Kairat were held scoreless in both legs against Levski. The away leg in Almaty should be tight, but Anderlecht's quality gives them a narrow edge.
Despite the grueling travel to Kazakhstan and the warm conditions in Almaty, Anderlecht's superior squad quality should give them the edge. Kairat recently struggled to score against Levski Sofia, and the Belgian side will likely secure a narrow, low-scoring advantage to take back home.
Anderlecht enter in strong European form with higher overall squad quality, but the grueling 5,000-kilometer journey to Almaty significantly balances the contest. A cagey, low-scoring first leg is expected as the Belgian side prioritizes a manageable result to take back to Brussels.
Anderlecht possess the stronger squad quality, but the arduous long-distance travel to Almaty makes this first leg tricky, favoring a competitive and closely contested draw.
Anderlecht possesses superior technical quality and European experience compared to Kairat, who recently struggled in Champions League qualifying. While the long travel to Kazakhstan and warm weather often favor the home side, Anderlecht's overall squad strength makes them the favorites.
Anderlecht are the stronger side after edging PAOK but face extreme travel/heat to Almaty and missing Hey/Hatenboer/Camara, while Kairat's home advantage is significant despite dropping from Champions League to Levski; first-leg caution points to a tight, low-scoring game.
First leg caution, Kairat's strong home advantage (altitude in Almaty, long travel for Anderlecht), and Anderlecht's superior squad quality cancel each other out. Kairat dropping down from the Champions League qualifiers suggests they can compete at this level, while Anderlecht will be wary of conceding an away goal, making a tight, low-scoring stalemate the most likely outcome.
Kairat Almaty are coming off a tough Champions League qualifying exit and face a strong Anderlecht side, but they are at home where conditions (e.g., heat) may level the playing field. Anderlecht’s slight edge in quality is counterbalanced by the draw’s historical likelihood in tight European ties.
Anderlecht’s superior quality and unbeaten Europa League qualifying campaign make them narrow favorites, but Kairat’s strong home support and the difficult conditions in Almaty—combined with Anderlecht’s recent domestic loss and injuries—should keep the match tight and give the draw a significant chance.
Anderlecht arrive unbeaten through qualifying with wins over PAOK (home and away) and a settled attack led by Sikan and Cvetkovic, while Kairat were held scoreless in both legs of their 2-0 aggregate loss to Levski Sofia. The long trip to hot Almaty and Anderlecht's defensive absences (Hey, Camara, possibly Sardella/Stroeykens) should keep this tight and low-scoring, but the Belgians' superior quality makes an away win the most likely outcome.
Kairat arrive with a full squad and home advantage but have struggled for goals (scoreless in two legs vs Levski), while Anderlecht are unbeaten in qualifying with goals spread across multiple forwards but carry injury doubts and face a long trip to Kazakhstan; first-leg caution and Kairat's defensive structure point to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Anderlecht have the stronger squad and greater European pedigree, but the long trip to Almaty and Kairat’s home advantage should narrow the gap. A tight, relatively low-scoring first leg is likely, with Anderlecht still holding the better chance of a decisive result.
Anderlecht possess superior squad quality and momentum from progressing past PAOK, but the extreme travel to Almaty (over 5,000 km from Belgium) and Kairat's resilience at home make this a tight first leg. Both teams are likely to be cautious in a two-legged tie, and Kairat's recent 2-0 aggregate loss to Levski suggests they are vulnerable but still dangerous on their own turf, pointing toward a narrow away edge or a draw.
Anderlecht arrive in better European form after eliminating PAOK and Hammarby, but the long travel to Almaty, first-leg caution, and Kairat's recent low-scoring defensive structure in Europe (scoreless vs Levski) point to a tight, cagey affair where a draw is highly plausible.
Kairat are dominant domestically but failed to score in either leg against Levski Sofia in CL qualifying, while Anderlecht have won four straight EL qualifying matches including a 4-2 aggregate over PAOK. Home advantage keeps Kairat competitive but Anderlecht's European quality and Kairat's continental goal drought make an away win the likeliest outcome.
Anderlecht are the stronger side on paper with four wins in five, but the 5,000km journey to Almaty, heat, first-leg caution, and several key injuries (Camara, Hey, Hatenboer) should neutralise their advantage against a defensively solid Kairat side whose European matches have been extremely low-scoring. A tight 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, with Anderlecht's attacking edge offset by Kairat's home advantage and defensive structure.
Kairat AlmatyAnderlecht