Claude Opus 4.8
Jagiellonia are strong at home against a defensive, lower-tier Saburtalo side that struggles for goals away; the Poles should control the tie, though Saburtalo's cautious style keeps the margin modest.
UEFA Europa LeagueFull time
Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999 — predictions and result
Jagiellonia90-minute result4–0
FC Iberia 1999Play-offsChorten Arena
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–0 | H68%D21%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H69%D20%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H61%D24%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–0 | H68%D21%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H73%D18%A9% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–0 | H62%D23%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H58%D25%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–0 | H50%D28%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H65%D22%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–0 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H67%D21%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H55%D24%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–0 | H57%D25%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H60%D24%A16% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Jagiellonia are a considerably stronger side operating at a higher level and are at home in the first leg, coming off a creditable 1-1 draw at Rangers, while Saburtalo are a low-scoring, defensively-minded Georgian side that has struggled on the road. A cautious away setup makes a modest but clear home win the likeliest outcome.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Jagiellonia are the stronger side with home advantage and better European qualifying form, while Saburtalo have travelled poorly in UEFA ties and often fail to score away; a cautious first leg points to a narrow home win.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Jagiellonia enters this tie with confidence after a strong showing in the previous round against Rangers, while Saburtalo has historically struggled offensively on the road. The Polish side's superior squad quality and home advantage should allow them to comfortably break down the visitors' defensive setup.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Jagiellonia Bialystok carry far superior quality and European pedigree into this tie, having recently eliminated Rangers in the previous round. Saburtalo Tbilisi tend to struggle for goals and consistency on their away travels in Europe, making a comfortable home victory the most likely outcome.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Jagiellonia enter this playoff tie with significant momentum and superior quality across the pitch, especially on home turf. Saburtalo traditionally struggle on European travels, lacking the attacking punch to breach Jagiellonia's structured backline.
Gemma 4 31B
Jagiellonia enters as favorites following a strong showing against Rangers, while Saburtalo has struggled defensively in away fixtures and tends to adopt a passive, defensive style that favors the home side's control.
Muse Spark 1.2
Jagiellonia held Rangers 1-1 away and fields a settled home XI at Chorten Arena, while Saburtalo's defensive away profile (failed to score in 4 of 8 aways, low-scoring prior round) suggests a controlled home win to nil.
MiniMax M3
Jagiellonia are the clear stronger side (Polish Ekstraklasa regulars who drew 1-1 with Rangers in the previous round) against a defensively-oriented Saburtalo side that failed to score in half of their 8 away fixtures and conceded 2+ goals in four of them. Saburtalo's low-scoring, cautious approach combined with their away offensive weakness makes a controlled Jagiellonia home win the most likely outcome, though a low-scoring affair is expected.
Mistral Large 3
Jagiellonia Bialystok enters the match with a stronger attacking lineup and home advantage, while Saburtalo Tbilisi's defensive style and struggles away from home suggest a tight, low-scoring affair. The likelihood of an early goal for Jagiellonia could force Saburtalo to push forward, creating opportunities for Jagiellonia to exploit on the counter.
Kimi K2.6
Jagiellonia have lost only two of their last 16 UEFA matches and are strong at home in qualifying, whereas Saburtalo have won just one of their last eight away European fixtures and failed to score in half of them, pointing to a narrow home victory.
Kimi K3
Jagiellonia are the stronger, more experienced European side at home, while Saburtalo's away record in qualifying is poor — scoreless in half their away fixtures and conceding 2+ goals four times. Saburtalo's deep defensive block keeps this low-scoring, so a controlled 2-0 home win is the likeliest outcome, with the draw a live possibility if the Georgians hold out.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Jagiellonia are in strong form after drawing 1-1 with Rangers in the previous round and enjoy home advantage. Saburtalo have a poor away record in Europe, failing to score in 50% of their last eight away fixtures and conceding two or more goals four times, while their defensive approach limits their own attacking threat.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Jagiellonia’s competitive showing against Rangers and home advantage point to a clear quality edge. Saburtalo’s limited away scoring record and defensive approach make a controlled home win the likeliest outcome.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Jagiellonia enters with strong momentum from holding Rangers to a 1-1 draw and fields a near-full-strength XI at home, while Saburtalo has a poor away scoring record (failing to find the net in half of their recent away fixtures) and relies on a low-block defensive approach that limits games to few chances. A narrow home win in a tightly contested first leg is the most probable outcome.
Grok 4.5
Jagiellonia are clear favourites at home after a solid showing vs Rangers, while Saburtalo's defensive away approach and low scoring output point to a controlled home win rather than a high-scoring affair.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Jagiellonia are strong at home in Europe (7 clean sheets in last 14 home European matches) and far superior in squad quality, while Saburtalo have a dismal away record in UEFA competition, failing to score in half their last eight away European fixtures. A disciplined Jagiellonia should control this first leg comfortably.
GLM-5.2
Jagiellonia just eliminated Rangers and are strong at home in Europe with 7 clean sheets in their last 14 home UEFA matches, while Saburtalo have won just 1 of 13 European fixtures in regulation and failed to score in half of their last 8 away European games, making a home win with a clean sheet the most likely outcome.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeJagiellonia
- 1.32
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 5.08
- AwayFC Iberia 1999
- 8.18