Jagiellonia
Anderlecht| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D34%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Anderlecht carry more squad quality and European pedigree but arrive in poor form (two league-phase defeats, a cup loss to Beerschot) and are missing Biancone, Sardella and Camara, while Jagiellonia are a tough, well-drilled home side in Bialystok despite their own patchy domestic results. That makes this close to a coin-flip with an elevated draw chance.
Jagiellonia's home advantage offsets Anderlecht's stronger squad and both sides are out of form, with key defenders missing on each side, so a low-scoring stalemate looks the likeliest scoreline.
Both teams enter this encounter needing points after mixed form, with Jagiellonia leveraging home advantage while Anderlecht possess superior European pedigree despite a sluggish start to the league phase.
Jagiellonia's home advantage and stronger league-phase position (17th vs Anderlecht 28th after defeats to Lyon and Dinamo Zagreb) give a narrow edge, tempered by Anderlecht's better recent overall form (3 wins in 5 vs 33% for Jagiellonia) and historical success against Polish sides, with both missing multiple squad players pointing to a tight one-goal home win.
Jagiellonia arrive with home momentum (3-1 vs Ararat-Armenia) while Anderlecht are on zero points after two Europa League defeats (Lyon, Dinamo Zagreb) and are missing Biancone, Sardella and Camara, so the hosts' technical edge plus strong Polish home crowd edge them ahead. With Anderlecht's away attack subdued (no goals in Zagreb) and both sides in poor form, though, a tight, low-scoring contest level at 90 minutes is the single likeliest exact outcome.
Both teams are struggling in the Europa League standings and have recent poor form, with Anderlecht’s historical advantage against Polish sides balanced by Jagiellonia’s home advantage and key attacking threats like Ousmane Sow. A draw is a credible outcome, though either side could edge it.
A finely balanced tie: Jagiellonia hold home advantage and sit higher in the league phase (17th vs 28th), while Anderlecht arrive in poor form after losses to Lyon, Dinamo Zagreb and a cup upset at Beerschot, yet still carry the stronger squad pedigree and a good historical record against Polish sides. Both teams' recent low-scoring defeats point to a tight, cautious contest where a draw is very live.
Both sides sit in the Europa League chasing pack and enter on domestic defeats; Jagiellonia are without four squad players while Anderlecht miss three defenders, suggesting an open, evenly-matched game where a draw is the single most likely outcome.
Anderlecht have the stronger European pedigree, but defensive absences and poor recent results limit their edge. Jagiellonia’s home advantage makes a tight, low-scoring draw the likeliest scoreline.
Both teams are in poor form and missing key players, with Anderlecht particularly weakened by defensive absences (Biancone, Sardella, Camara). Jagiellonia's home advantage is balanced by Anderlecht's superior European pedigree and historical success against Polish opposition, making this an evenly contested match where a draw is the most likely outcome.
Jagiellonia hold a slight edge from home advantage and better EL standing (17th vs 28th) despite absences, while Anderlecht's superior recent overall form and history vs Polish sides make them competitive; both sides' recent domestic losses and mutual need for points point to a tight, low-scoring draw as most likely.
Jagiellonia sit higher (17th) than a struggling Anderlecht (28th, beaten by Lyon and Dinamo Zagreb) and carry home advantage in Bialystok, but the Belgian side's deeper squad and European pedigree — plus their strong historical record against Polish clubs — keep this very tight, especially with both teams missing several players. A low-scoring draw is the single most likely scoreline given Jagiellonia's modest recent scoring form and Anderlecht's weakened defence.
Anderlecht, from a stronger league with greater European pedigree, are desperate for points sitting 28th and should edge a tight contest, but Jagiellonia's home advantage and slightly better EL standing (17th) make a draw the most likely single scoreline outcome.
JagielloniaAnderlecht