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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica — predictions and result

Heart Of Midlothian
90-minute result1–1
Benfica
3rd Qualifying RoundTynecastle Park

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–2
H20%D22%A58%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H24%D25%A51%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H17%D24%A59%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–2
H16%D24%A60%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle1–3
H14%D21%A65%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–2
H17%D21%A62%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–2
H12%D22%A66%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H22%D24%A54%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H33%D30%A37%
MissedExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H20%D25%A55%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H24%D27%A49%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H20%D30%A50%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–2
H14%D22%A64%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H20%D24%A56%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI0–2
H12%D22%A66%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H27%D28%A45%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H18%D25%A57%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Benfica crushed Hearts 6-1 in the first leg and are among the Europa League favourites, with vastly superior quality even away from home; Hearts remain winless under their new manager. Benfica may rotate slightly with the tie already won, giving Hearts a modest chance of a consolation, but the visitors should still control the game.

Claude Opus 5

Benfica have far greater squad depth, European pedigree and individual quality than Hearts, and arrive off the back of a strong first leg in Lisbon, so they should control most of this tie even away from home. Tynecastle's atmosphere and Hearts' organised, physical approach make a tight, low-scoring game likely, which keeps the draw a genuine possibility.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Benfica's quality gap and 6-1 first-leg dominance make them clear favourites even with likely rotation, while Hearts' defensive frailties persist; Tynecastle and the dead-rubber context keep home/draw chances meaningful.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Benfica holds a massive 6-1 aggregate lead from the first leg, meaning the tie is effectively over. While the visitors will likely rotate their squad, their sheer depth and quality should still be too much for a Hearts side that was completely outclassed in Lisbon, though the hosts may keep the scoreline more respectable at Tynecastle.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Following a dominant 6-1 victory in the first leg, Benfica's superior squad depth and quality should see them secure another comfortable win at Tynecastle, especially with Hearts dealing with a defensive injury crisis.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Following a commanding 6-1 victory in the first leg, Benfica carry a massive aggregate advantage and vast squad depth into Edinburgh. While Hearts will fight for pride at Tynecastle, the Portuguese side's superior quality should earn them another win on the night.

Gemma 4 31B

Benfica possesses significantly higher technical quality and European experience compared to Hearts. While Tynecastle can be a difficult venue, the gap in squad depth and form suggests a comfortable away win.

Muse Spark 1.2

Benfica's clear squad-quality and European pedigree outweigh Hearts' Tynecastle home advantage, with Benfica in red-hot form entering the tie; Hearts can make it competitive at home but Benfica remain most likely to edge the 90 minutes.

MiniMax M3

Benfica carry a commanding 6-1 first-leg lead and may rotate, while Hearts under new manager Vrancken (0 wins in 4) are in poor form but have pride to play for at Tynecastle. The aggregate gap tilts the 90-minute result slightly toward Benfica on quality, but a settled tie and possible rotation make a draw the most plausible single scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Benfica are in significantly stronger form and possess superior squad depth and European experience, but Hearts' home advantage and resilience in European qualifiers make a draw plausible. Benfica's attacking quality is likely to prevail, albeit narrowly.

Kimi K2.6

Benfica hold a commanding 6-1 aggregate lead and are expected to rotate, but their squad depth and technical quality still far surpass a Hearts side that was thoroughly outclassed in Lisbon and recently lost at home to Sturm Graz in Europe; Hearts should offer more resistance at Tynecastle, yet Benfica’s superior firepower makes an away win the most likely outcome.

Kimi K3

Benfica won the first leg 6-1, so the tie is effectively decided and they may rotate at Tynecastle, which narrows the gap and makes a draw or pride-driven Hearts result live possibilities. Still, Benfica's second-string quality far exceeds a Hearts side that conceded 14 goals in five European games, so a narrow away win is the most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Benfica hold a commanding 6-1 aggregate lead and will rotate heavily, but their squad depth still outweighs an injury-hit Hearts side; Hearts' 4-0 domestic win and Tynecastle atmosphere give them a fighting chance, making a draw plausible, yet Benfica's quality should edge a dead-rubber second leg.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Benfica's substantial advantage in squad quality and European experience makes them clear favorites, even at Tynecastle. Hearts' home support raises the draw chance, but Benfica should create enough chances to win in regulation.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Benfica demolished Hearts 6-1 in the first leg and carry a commanding 5-goal aggregate lead, meaning they can rotate heavily with no urgency. However, even a rotated Benfica squad features players whose individual market values exceed the entire Hearts lineup, and Hearts' defensive frailties were ruthlessly exposed in Lisbon. Hearts may score at a passionate Tynecastle but Benfica's depth should still secure a narrow away win in an open, dead-rubber second leg.

Grok 4.5

Benfica demolished Hearts 6-1 in the first leg and are a far superior side with greater quality and European pedigree; even away they should control the tie, though a dead rubber second leg and home crowd give Hearts a modest chance of a respectable draw or narrow loss.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Benfica won the first leg 6-1 in Lisbon, making this a dead rubber where they may rotate heavily, but their squad depth still far exceeds Hearts'. Hearts showed resilience by beating Dundee United 4-0 domestically, and Tynecastle's atmosphere could spur a more competitive display, though Benfica's quality edge should still prevail narrowly.

GLM-5.2

Benfica hold a commanding 6-1 first-leg lead and will likely rotate, but their squad depth remains far superior to a Hearts side still finding its feet under new manager Vrancken. Hearts' recent 4-0 home win over Dundee United offers some confidence, but Benfica's quality should still prevail even with a weakened lineup in a dead-rubber second leg.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeHeart Of Midlothian
6.19
DrawLevel at 90′
5.03
AwayBenfica
1.42