Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

3rd Qualifying Round·13 Aug · 17:00 UTC·Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla·✓ Completed
Gornik Zabrze flagGornik Zabrze
11
Ferencvarosi TC flagFerencvarosi TC

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Ferencvarosi TC
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 18% · D 0% · A 82%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Gornik Zabrze2.28
Draw3.48
Ferencvarosi TC2.90

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
30%27%43%1-1✗ miss
25%30%45%1-1✗ miss
31%28%41%1-1✗ miss
32%31%37%1-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
25%28%47%1-2✗ miss
30%27%43%0-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
38%33%29%1-1✗ miss
30%30%40%1-2✗ miss
26%29%45%1-2✗ miss
30%27%43%1-2✗ miss
28%32%40%0-1✗ miss
29%32%39%1-1✗ miss
30%28%42%1-1✗ miss
36%30%34%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
28%32%40%1-2✗ miss
27%31%42%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✗ miss✓ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 25% · D 30% · A 45%✗ miss✓ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 28% · A 41%✗ miss✓ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 31% · A 37%✗ miss✓ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✓ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 28% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY0-1
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 33% · A 29%✗ miss✓ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 26% · D 29% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY0-1
H 28% · D 32% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 32% · A 39%✗ miss✓ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✓ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✗ miss✓ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 32% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-1
H 27% · D 31% · A 42%✗ miss✓ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC played?
The match kicked off 13 Aug · 17:00 UTC at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?
No. The AI consensus picked Ferencvarosi TC, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 82% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?
Of 17 models: 18% picked Gornik Zabrze, 0% a draw, and 82% Ferencvarosi TC. The consensus pick was Ferencvarosi TC; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Gornik Zabrze 2.28 · Draw 3.48 · Ferencvarosi TC 2.90. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.