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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen — predictions and result

FK Crvena Zvezda
90-minute result3–0
Plzen
Play-offsStadium Rajko Mitić

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H55%D26%A19%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H44%D27%A29%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H30%D30%A40%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H53%D26%A21%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H43%D30%A27%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Crvena Zvezda are in strong form (10 goals in last 5) and hold a significant home advantage at a raucous Rajko Mitić stadium, while Plzen have shown defensive frailty (1-3 loss to Liberec); Red Star should edge a competitive first leg.

Claude Opus 5

Crvena Zvezda are in good form and enjoy a significant home advantage at a hostile Rajko Mitić in the first leg of the play-off, but Plzeň are a well-organised, European-seasoned side who defend well on the road, so a narrow home win with an away goal is the likeliest outcome and a draw remains a live possibility.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Crvena Zvezda's dominant domestic form (3W 0L, 10-1 GD) and intimidating 51,000-capacity home crowd give them a clear edge, but Plzeň's attack has been prolific (13 goals in last 5) and their porous defence (16 conceded in last 5) points to goals at both ends — making a 2-1 home win the most likely outcome in this first leg.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

FK Crvena Zvezda enter this match in strong form, having won three of their last five games while scoring 10 goals, and benefit from a formidable home advantage in Belgrade. In contrast, Viktoria Plzen have struggled defensively, conceding 13 goals in their last five winless matches, making a home victory the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

FK Crvena Zvezda hold a powerful home advantage at the intense Rajko Mitić Stadium, where they historically excel in European knockout matches. While Viktoria Plzeň feature a well-organized defensive setup, the Serbian hosts have the attacking power to carve out a narrow first-leg victory.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Crvena Zvezda boast formidable home strength at the Rajko Mitić Stadium and carry solid attacking form into this first leg. Viktoria Plzeň are disciplined defensively in Europe, but the intense Belgrade atmosphere gives the hosts the edge to secure a narrow advantage.

Gemma 4 31B

Crvena Zvezda enters the match in strong attacking form with a high goal-scoring rate and the significant advantage of playing at the Rajko Mitić stadium.

Muse Spark 1.2

Red Star's strong recent form (3 wins in 5, 10 goals scored) and formidable home advantage at Rajko Mitic makes them slight favourites in a tight Europa League play-off first leg, though Plzen's European experience keeps away threat and draw live.

MiniMax M3

Red Star Belgrade enters the first leg in strong form (3 wins in 5, 10 goals scored) and holds a significant home advantage at the Rajko Mitić stadium, which is one of the most intimidating venues in European football; this outweighs Plzeň's solid but generally lower-tier pedigree, though the playoff context and a competent Czech side keep the draw and away upset live.

Mistral Large 3

Crvena Zvezda's recent form and home advantage make them slight favorites, but Plzen's resilience in European competitions and Crvena Zvezda's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a competitive match with a tangible chance of a draw.

Kimi K2.6

FK Crvena Zvezda enter in strong form with 3 wins from their last 5 and a solid backline, whereas Viktoria Plzeň have won just once in that stretch while leaking 16 goals and missing two defenders, so a home victory with both sides scoring looks most probable.

Kimi K3

Crvena Zvezda's formidable home record at the Rajko Mitić and Viktoria Plzeň's shambolic early-season defending (a 5-5 draw with Teplice, a 1-3 loss to Slovan Liberec) tilt this toward the hosts, but Zvezda's failure to score across both Champions League qualifying legs against Hapoel Beer-Sheva (0-3 aggregate) exposes real attacking fragility that keeps the draw and an experienced Plzeň side very much in play.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Viktoria Plzeň (coeff. 50.500) enter as Champions League Q3 losers with a stronger European pedigree than Crvena Zvezda (coeff. 46.500), who were eliminated at home by Hapoel Beer Sheva. Red Star's domestic form is solid but their recent European home loss and Plzeň's superior squad depth make the Czech side slight favourites, though the first leg in Belgrade and typical playoff caution keep the draw probability high.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Crvena Zvezda’s strong recent scoring form and substantial home advantage in Belgrade give them the edge. Plzen’s European experience keeps the draw and a narrow away win firmly possible.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Red Star Belgrade have strong home advantage at the intimidating Rajko Mitić stadium, excellent domestic form (3 wins, 10-1 aggregate), and quality additions like Arnautovic, while Plzen have had a poor domestic start (1 win in 4), are missing key defenders through injury, and lack European match sharpness having bypassed four continental rounds. The new-manager bounce under Albert Riera should motivate Red Star to make amends after their Champions League exit.

Grok 4.5

Crvena Zvezda are perfect in the Super Liga and formidable at Rajko Mitić, while Plzeň sit mid-table with a leaky defence (16 conceded in five games). Home edge and superior current form make a narrow Zvezda win the most likely 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Crvena Zvezda hold significant home advantage at the Rajko Mitić and are match-fit from an active domestic season, while Plzeň have not yet played a Czech league fixture and were exposed defensively in their 3-0 loss to Rangers in CL qualifying. The Serbian side's attacking form (10 goals in last 5) should edge a competitive contest.

GLM-5.2

Crvena Zvezda's perfect domestic start and Marakana home advantage are offset by their recent 0-2 home loss to Hapoel Beer-Sheva in CL qualifying just 9 days ago, while Plzeň's excellent European defensive record from last season and knockout experience make them capable of securing a first-leg draw despite their poor domestic form and injury to Jemelka.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFK Crvena Zvezda
1.69
DrawLevel at 90′
4.20
AwayPlzen
4.10