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Ferencvarosi TC vs Twente — predictions and result

Ferencvarosi TC
90-minute result2–2
Twente
2nd Qualifying RoundGroupama Aréna

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H47%D27%A26%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H46%D26%A28%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H42%D29%A29%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–1
H38%D27%A35%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle1–1
H44%D27%A29%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–1
H39%D28%A33%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H55%D24%A21%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H48%D25%A27%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H38%D31%A31%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H42%D29%A29%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H48%D27%A25%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H45%D28%A27%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Ferencváros hold a 2-1 first-leg advantage and play at home in Budapest, where their strong European record and greater match sharpness favor them; Twente must chase the tie, opening space that suits an open, moderate-scoring game.

Claude Opus 5

Ferencváros defend a 2-1 first-leg lead at a fortress-like Groupama Arena and are further into their competitive season, while Twente are only just emerging from pre-season and must chase the tie. Twente's attacking quality (Weghorst, Lammers) should keep it open, so a narrow home win with goals at both ends looks most likely, though a draw is very live.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Ferencváros are unbeaten in 11 European home games at Groupama Arena and hold a 2-1 aggregate lead from the first leg, while Twente have won just 2 of their last 13 European away matches and are likely without first-choice goalkeeper Unnerstall.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Ferencvaros holds a 2-1 aggregate lead from the first leg and can afford to play pragmatically at home. While Twente boasts attacking quality and will push for a win, the hosts' strong European form and counter-attacking threat make a draw a highly plausible outcome.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Ferencváros holds a 2-1 advantage from the first leg in Enschede, where they showed clinical efficiency despite Twente's dominance. At home in Budapest, Ferencváros can play more defensively and exploit the spaces left by a chasing Twente side, making a score draw highly likely.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Ferencváros hold a 2-1 lead from the first leg in Enschede and can adopt a cautious, counter-attacking gameplan on home soil. With Twente forced to push forward to save the tie, a competitive affair is likely to produce a score draw that secures the Hungarian side's advancement.

Gemma 4 31B

Ferencváros holds a slender 2-1 lead from the first leg and has strong home form in qualifying, but Twente possesses high individual quality (e.g., Weghorst) and will be pushed to attack to overturn the deficit.

MiniMax M3

Ferencváros carry a 2-1 first-leg lead into Budapest, where their home advantage and strong Europa League qualifying form (3-0 over Vojvodina at home in Round 1) make them favorites; however, Twente possess significant attacking quality with Weghorst and Lammers and will press to overturn the deficit, while missing key defender Mees Hilgers to an ACL injury slightly weakens the Dutch side's chances of getting a result away from home.

Mistral Large 3

Ferencváros hold a narrow 2-1 first-leg lead but Twente are strong at home and have shown resilience in European qualifiers. The second leg is finely balanced, with a draw the most likely outcome, though Ferencváros could edge it.

Kimi K2.6

Ferencváros take a 2-1 aggregate lead back to the Groupama Arena, where they are unbeaten in 11 straight home Europa League matches and have scored in each of their last 12 home continental fixtures. Twente must win but have won only two of their last 13 away European ties and are missing key defenders, making a home victory the most likely outcome.

Kimi K3

Ferencváros hold a 2-1 first-leg lead and return to their strong home ground with more competitive match rhythm from the earlier qualifying round, while Twente must chase the tie — which should open space for the hosts but keeps an away goal threat alive.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Ferencváros carries a 2-1 aggregate lead into a home leg where they are unbeaten in 11 European matches (three straight clean sheets), while Twente has won only two of their last 13 away European ties and misses starting goalkeeper Unnerstall and centre-back Hilgers.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Ferencváros have home advantage and enter with a 2-1 aggregate lead after three straight qualifying wins. Twente's need to attack raises their scoring chance, but it also suits a more cautious Ferencváros approach, making a draw the likeliest scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Ferencváros hold a 2-1 aggregate lead and return to a hostile home crowd with superior match fitness from Q1, but will likely sit deeper and manage the tie. Twente must push forward without key defender Hilgers, creating counter-attack opportunities for Ferencváros, yet their attacking quality (Weghorst, Lammers, Hlynsson) should produce at least one goal in a tightly contested 1-1 draw.

Grok 4.5

Ferencváros hold a 2-1 first-leg lead and strong recent EL qualifying form (wins over Vojvodina plus the away win in Enschede), giving them home advantage and motivation to control the tie; Twente must chase the deficit but face a solid Hungarian side, making a narrow home win the most likely 90-minute outcome while still allowing a realistic draw chance.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Ferencváros carry a 2-1 first-leg advantage into this home second leg, having already shown strong European form (beating Vojvodina and winning away in Enschede), while Twente must chase the game without injured defender Hilgers; a tight draw or narrow Ferencváros win is the most likely outcome as the hosts can manage the tie pragmatically.

GLM-5.2

Ferencváros hold a 2-1 first-leg lead and are at home, but Twente — an Eredivisie side with Weghorst and Lammers — must chase the tie and are capable of scoring, while the absence of key defender Hilgers weakens them at the back. A closely contested match with both teams finding the net is the most likely scenario.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFerencvarosi TC
2.64
DrawLevel at 90′
3.74
AwayTwente
2.18