Claude Opus 4.8
Ferencváros are the stronger, more experienced European side with home advantage, but Górnik Zabrze are competitive and the H2H shows tight, high-scoring matches, so a narrow home win is most likely with a real draw chance.
UEFA Europa LeagueFull time
Ferencvarosi TC vs Gornik Zabrze — predictions and result
Ferencvarosi TC90-minute result1–0
Gornik Zabrze3rd Qualifying RoundGroupama Aréna
Predictions
17 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H55%D26%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H56%D24%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H42%D29%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H56%D25%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H54%D25%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D35%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H54%D27%A19% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Ferencváros are seasoned European campaigners with a strong home record at the Groupama Arena and a deeper, more expensively assembled squad than a mid-table Ekstraklasa Górnik side, though the Poles have shown they can travel and keep games tight, so a narrow home win is likeliest with a real chance of a draw.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Ferencvaros have strong European home form (WWWD in EL qualifiers, beating Twente 4-3 agg) with Lenny Joseph in fine scoring touch, but Gornik Zabrze showed real resilience against Fenerbahce and are coming off a league win; the hosts' missing duo Rommens and Keïta and their sluggish domestic start keep this first leg tight.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Ferencvaros boasts significantly more recent European experience and a formidable home advantage in Budapest. While Gornik Zabrze will be competitive, the Hungarian side's superior squad depth and pedigree in qualifying rounds make them the clear favorites.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Ferencvaros enters the tie with superior European pedigree and strong home form, having recently eliminated FC Twente. While Gornik Zabrze showed resilience in their narrow Champions League exit to Fenerbahce, the Hungarian champions' attacking quality, led by Lenny Joseph, should give them a narrow first-leg advantage in Budapest.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Ferencvaros hold a clear edge in European experience and carry solid momentum after eliminating FC Twente in the previous round. Playing the first leg at home in Budapest, the Hungarian side should secure a narrow advantage against Górnik Zabrze.
Gemma 4 31B
Ferencvarosi typically holds a strong home advantage in European qualifiers and has a slightly better historical head-to-head record against Gornik Zabrze.
MiniMax M3
Ferencváros holds a clear home-advantage edge in this Europa League 3rd qualifying round tie, drawing on substantially greater European competition experience than Gornik Zabrze, while the historical head-to-head (2W-2D-1L to Ferencváros in last 5 meetings) confirms a tight, competitive matchup where the hosts are slight favourites; a 2-1 home win is the most plausible single scoreline given Ferencváros's typical home European performances.
Mistral Large 3
The head-to-head record shows a balanced history with a slight edge to Ferencvarosi TC, but draws are frequent (40% in last 5 meetings). Gornik Zabrze's recent form and away resilience suggest a competitive match, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Kimi K2.6
Ferencvaros hold home advantage and attacking momentum after eliminating Twente, but Gornik are solid Polish runners-up with strong away resilience and will likely play for a tight first-leg result, making a draw highly plausible.
Kimi K3
Ferencvaros carry strong momentum at the Groupama Aréna, unbeaten through four UEL qualifiers (Vojvodina 5-1 agg, Twente 4-3 agg) with Lenny Joseph scoring four in five, though they concede regularly. Gornik are respectable — Polish runners-up who pushed Fenerbahce to 2-1 on aggregate — but arrive with mixed form and Kubicki injured, making the hosts clear but not overwhelming favourites in a first leg that should see both sides score.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Ferencváros (UEFA coeff. 51.25) have won four qualifying ties convincingly, including a 4-3 aggregate win over Twente where they played 50+ minutes with 10 men. Górnik Zabrze (coeff. 9.35) pushed Fenerbahçe close in the CL (2-1 agg.) but lost both legs. Ferencváros' home strength, higher quality, and momentum favor them, though Górnik's defensive shape keeps the draw plausible.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Ferencvarosi's stronger recent European pedigree and home advantage make them favorites against Gornik. With little reliable current-season form available, a tight match and draw remain meaningful possibilities.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Ferencvaros holds a clear edge in European experience and squad quality (featuring players like Naby Keita and Callum O'Dowda), and they have home advantage in Budapest for this first leg. Gornik Zabrze showed resilience in Champions League qualifying against Fenerbahçe (0-1, 1-1) and carry momentum from their Polish Cup win, but Ferencvaros's superior depth and continental pedigree should see them edge a competitive match.
Grok 4.5
Ferencvaros hold home advantage after progressing past Twente and Vojvodina, while Gornik dropped from CL vs Fenerbahce and are solid but unproven away in Europe; a tight first leg draw is the single most probable scoreline with home edge overall.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Ferencvaros have strong home European qualifying form (beating Vojvodina and FC Twente to reach this stage) and benefit from the Groupama Arena crowd, while Gornik Zabrze showed road resilience last season but arrive after a Champions League elimination to Fenerbahce. First-leg caution and Gornik's solid away record keep this close, but Ferencvaros's attacking depth (Lenny Joseph in fine form) should edge it.
GLM-5.2
Ferencvarosi are unbeaten in their last eight home European matches (W6 D2) and have far more continental experience, while Gornik Zabrze showed resilience against Fenerbahçe but ultimately exited Champions League qualifying and face a formidable Budapest fortress. The Hungarian side's home advantage and European pedigree give them the edge, though Gornik's competitiveness keeps this from being a rout.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeFerencvarosi TC
- 1.71
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 3.69
- AwayGornik Zabrze
- 4.50