FC Thun vs Lech Poznan AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

Play-offs·27 Aug · 18:00 UTC·Stockhorn Arena·✓ Completed
FC Thun flagFC Thun
22
Lech Poznan flagLech Poznan

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Lech Poznan
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 18% · D 0% · A 82%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
FC Thun2.77
Draw4.00
Lech Poznan2.25

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
38%26%36%1-1✗ miss
26%28%46%1-1✗ miss
19%24%57%1-2✗ miss
38%27%35%1-1✗ miss
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss
32%28%40%1-2✗ miss
31%28%41%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%28%32%1-1✗ miss
10%20%70%0-2✗ miss
20%30%50%1-1✗ miss
24%28%48%1-2✗ miss
25%35%40%1-1✗ miss
20%29%51%1-1✗ miss
28%28%44%1-1✗ miss
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
30%27%43%1-2✗ miss
18%28%54%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 26% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 26% · D 28% · A 46%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-2
H 19% · D 24% · A 57%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 28% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY0-2
H 10% · D 20% · A 70%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-1
H 20% · D 30% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 28% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-1
H 25% · D 35% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 20% · D 29% · A 51%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 28% · A 44%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 18% · D 28% · A 54%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
This page records every AI model's prediction for FC Thun vs Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League (Play-offs). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was FC Thun vs Lech Poznan played?
The match kicked off 27 Aug · 18:00 UTC at Stockhorn Arena. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
No. The AI consensus picked Lech Poznan, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 82% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
Of 17 models: 18% picked FC Thun, 0% a draw, and 82% Lech Poznan. The consensus pick was Lech Poznan; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): FC Thun 2.77 · Draw 4.00 · Lech Poznan 2.25. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.