FC Thun
Lech Poznan| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H26%D28%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H19%D24%A57% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 0–2 | H10%D20%A70% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H20%D30%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H25%D35%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H20%D29%A51% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D28%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H18%D28%A54% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
The tie is dead after Lech's 7-0 first-leg rout, so Lech will rotate heavily (missing several attackers) while Thun, already through to the Conference League, play at home for pride; in this low-stakes second leg the quality gap narrows, elevating the draw and giving Thun a real chance despite Lech's overall superiority.
A tight play-off second leg between two evenly matched sides: Thun's home advantage on their compact synthetic Stockhorn Arena pitch and their strong recent domestic level roughly cancel out Lech Poznan's deeper, more experienced squad and greater European pedigree. Low-scoring, cagey tie expected with a genuine chance of parity after 90 minutes.
Lech's 7-0 first-leg win has decided the tie, so rotation and lower away intensity are likely, but their superior depth and form still make them favourites. Thun's poor run limits their win chance, yet home pride keeps a low-scoring draw in play.
Lech Poznan holds a massive 7-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, highlighting a stark quality gap between the sides. Despite potential rotation from the visitors, FC Thun's abysmal recent defensive form makes another away victory the most likely outcome.
Following Lech Poznań's emphatic 7-0 victory in the first leg, the tie is effectively decided, likely prompting squad rotation and a controlled approach from the visitors. FC Thun will seek to restore pride at home, making a competitive 90 minutes likely to end in a low-intensity score draw.
Lech Poznan hold an insurmountable 7-0 aggregate cushion from the first leg and can comfortably manage game state and rotation, yet their superior squad depth should still be enough to secure a controlled away win in Thun.
Lech Poznan generally possesses a higher squad quality and more consistent European experience compared to FC Thun. While Thun has home advantage in this second leg, Poznan's technical superiority makes them slight favorites to edge the contest.
Lech's 7-0 first-leg win shows a huge quality gap, but with the tie over Lech will heavily rotate and lower intensity at Stockhorn Arena, allowing a motivated Thun to keep it much closer than the first leg in a low-stakes second leg.
Lech Poznan hold a commanding 7-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, so they will likely rotate and take their foot off the gas, while FC Thun — Swiss champions playing at home with pride to restore after that humiliation — should be motivated to at least avoid another heavy defeat, making a tight draw the most plausible single scoreline despite the disparity shown in leg one.
Lech Poznan demonstrated overwhelming superiority in their 7-0 victory over FC Thun in the first leg of this playoff, making them heavy favorites to progress. FC Thun's recent form (1 win, 2 losses in their last 3 Super League matches) and lack of competitive edge in this tie further support Lech Poznan's likelihood of securing a win, though an away victory by a narrower margin is the most probable outcome.
Lech Poznan carry a commanding 7-0 aggregate lead and are expected to rotate heavily, which should keep the match tight, but their far superior squad depth and Thun’s shaky, injury-hit defense still make an away win the most likely outcome; a 1-1 draw is the single most probable exact scoreline in a likely low-intensity dead rubber.
Lech Poznan demolished Thun 7-0 in the first leg, confirming a clear quality gulf, but with the tie dead and Thun already assured a Conference League league-phase place, Lech will likely rotate and play at reduced intensity. That combination makes a narrow Lech away win the modal outcome while leaving real room for a low-tempo draw or a pride-driven home result.
Tie effectively decided after Lech's 7-0 first-leg win; visitors will rotate but retain superior quality, while Thun play for pride at home with poor recent form (1 win in 5). Dead-rubber dynamics elevate draw probability.
Lech’s 7-0 first-leg win and strong defensive form underline a major quality advantage, while Thun have lost five of their last seven. However, the tie is effectively settled, so likely Lech rotation and reduced urgency make a low-scoring draw a plausible exact outcome.
Lech Poznan demolished Thun 7-0 in the first leg and are through, making this a dead rubber where they may rotate heavily. Thun, already guaranteed Conference League football, will play for pride at home, but the quality gap remains enormous; Lech's superior squad depth still makes them favorites, though the low-stakes context inflates the draw probability.
Lech demolished Thun 7-0 in the first leg and arrive on a five-win streak with dominant attack and defence, while Thun are in poor overall form and already eliminated. Even with possible rotation in a dead rubber, Lech's superior quality makes an away win the most probable 90-minute outcome, though a home consolation or draw remains plausible.
Lech Poznan hold a commanding 7-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, making this effectively a dead rubber where they may rotate heavily, but their superior quality and 5-match winning streak (18 scored, 1 conceded) still make them marginal favorites even away from home. Thun, the Swiss champions, will be motivated for pride at the Stockhorn Arena but have won just one of their last five home matches and were thoroughly outclassed in the first leg.
Lech Poznan are vastly superior (7-0 first-leg winners) and in excellent form, but with the tie already decided they will likely rotate heavily, opening the door for a more competitive match where Thun can score at home. Lech's squad depth and quality should still secure a narrow away win.
FC ThunLech Poznan