FC Midtjylland
Beşiktaş| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H41%D28%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D38%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H43%D26%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H40%D35%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Midtjylland must chase a 1-0 aggregate deficit at home and their attacking intent opens the game, but Beşiktaş are the more talented side under Italiano and won the first leg controlling possession, making a score-drawing goal from either side likely; the home need to push forward pushes this toward an open, higher-variance match.
Midtjylland trail 1-0 from Istanbul after playing over 70 minutes a man down, so they must attack at the MCH Arena where they are traditionally strong in Europe, while Beşiktaş under Italiano showed superior quality (3.04 xG to 0.67) and can play on the counter with a lead to protect. That points to an open, tight game with a modest home edge and a high draw chance.
Beşiktaş carry a 1-0 aggregate lead and only need a draw, allowing them to sit deep and counter through Kökçü and Cerny. Midtjylland must attack at home to overturn the deficit, but the first leg was distorted by their early red card — at 11v11 and with Dju and Cho leading the line, the Danes should score, yet committing forward will expose gaps that Beşiktaş's quality can exploit for a crucial away goal.
Midtjylland must push forward to overturn their first-leg deficit, which will inevitably leave spaces at the back. Beşiktaş boasts a highly talented squad under Vincenzo Italiano and should capitalize on these defensive gaps to secure another victory on the counter.
Midtjylland must attack to overturn their 1-0 first-leg deficit, which will leave defensive gaps for Beşiktaş's quality counter-attackers to exploit, likely resulting in a score draw.
Trailing from the first leg, Midtjylland will press aggressively at home where superior early-season match sharpness gives them an edge. While Beşiktaş's offensive quality makes them dangerous on the counter, the Danish side's urgency at MCH Arena should carry them to a narrow 90-minute win.
Midtjylland enters the second leg with strong pre-season form and the necessity to overturn a first-leg deficit, which will force an attacking approach. However, Beşiktaş possesses higher individual quality and is well-positioned to exploit the defensive gaps Midtjylland will leave while chasing the game.
Beşiktaş holds a 1-0 first-leg lead and the superior squad quality (Kökcü, Cerny, Oh, Nübel under Italiano) but is away, so they can defend and counter while multiple draw scorelines (0-0, 1-1, 2-2) all see them through — pushing the draw probability up. Midtjylland must attack at MCH Arena, which research notes flag as leaving defensive gaps exploitable by Beşiktaş, so a 1-1 draw (Beşiktaş advancing 2-1 on aggregate) is the most likely 90-minute outcome.
Midtjylland's attacking intent and recent strong form (4 wins, 1 draw in last 5) suggest they will push for goals, but Beşiktaş's quality and home-advantage in the first leg (1-0 win) indicate they are capable of exploiting defensive gaps. The match is likely to be open, with Midtjylland slightly favored but a draw or narrow Beşiktaş win remaining plausible.
Midtjylland’s first-leg 1-0 loss came after an early red card that skewed the contest, and their potent pre-season attack gives them a real chance to overturn the deficit at MCH Arena, but Beşiktaş’s disciplined shape and threat on the break under Vincenzo Italiano mean the visitors are well placed to secure at least a draw. That tension points to a 1-1 stalemate as the most likely exact scoreline.
Midtjylland trail by a goal from the first leg and must take the initiative at MCH Arena, where their strong unbeaten run and the Dju/Cho attacking axis give them the edge; however, Beşiktaş's superior individual quality (Kökcü, Cerny, Oh) is well suited to exploiting the defensive gaps Midtjylland will inevitably leave, keeping an away win or draw very live.
Midtjylland overturned a 1-0 deficit at home with 11 men after Etim's first-leg red card, and their strong pre-season form (4W-1D) plus a 3-2 league-opening win suggest they can score. Beşiktaş only need a draw but miss Ndidi, Uduokhai, Trossard, Uhre and Brumado, and struggled away late last season; a tight, cagey draw that sends the Turks through is the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
Midtjylland’s home advantage and need to overturn a one-goal deficit should drive an aggressive approach, but that may leave space for Beşiktaş’s higher-quality attack. An open, closely balanced match makes a scoring draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Midtjylland must overturn a 1-0 first-leg deficit at home and will push forward, but the early red card in leg one flattered Beşiktaş and the Turkish side remains dangerous on the counter through Kökcü and Oh. Midtjylland's strong attacking form (3-2 domestic win, prolific pre-season) should produce a goal, but Beşiktaş only need to avoid defeat to progress and are likely to snatch an away goal, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline.
Midtjylland host the return leg needing to overturn a narrow first-leg deficit and will attack with intent at MCH Arena, creating an open game; their strong pre-season form and home advantage edge them slightly over a quality Beşiktaş side that remains dangerous on the counter.
Midtjylland are at home and must attack to overturn the deficit, but they're significantly weakened by Etim's suspension and multiple injuries, limiting their attacking potency. Beşiktaş under Italiano will sit deep and counter with quality players like Kökçü and Cerny, likely finding a goal on the break to seal a draw and advance on aggregate.
Midtjylland must chase a first-leg deficit at home, which will force an attacking approach that exposes their defensive gaps against a Beşiktaş side boasting superior individual quality (Kökcü, Cerny, Nübel) and a dangerous counter-attacking setup under Vincenzo Italiano.
FC MidtjyllandBeşiktaş