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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

FC Iberia 1999 vs Larne — predictions and result

FC Iberia 1999
90-minute result1–1
Larne
3rd Qualifying RoundMikheil Meskhi Stadium

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–0
H48%D30%A22%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H57%D25%A18%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H47%D30%A23%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–0
H54%D26%A20%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–0
H62%D24%A14%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–0
H58%D26%A16%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–0
H42%D30%A28%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedExact
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–0
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–0
H43%D28%A29%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H36%D32%A32%
MissedExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H44%D29%A27%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H44%D28%A28%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–0
H50%D26%A24%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–0
H50%D28%A22%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

After a 0-0 first leg, Saburtalo host at the Mikheil Meskhi with home advantage, superior domestic form and 65% possession in Larne last time; Larne have not scored in three matches, so a narrow Saburtalo win is most likely, though the tight tie keeps a low-scoring draw very much in play.

Claude Opus 5

After a goalless first leg at Inver Park where Saburtalo controlled possession (65%), the Georgian side are mid-season, domestically sharp and at home in Tbilisi, while Larne are pre-season, blanked in three straight matches and were hammered by Red Star in the previous round. A low-scoring, cagey tie points to a narrow Saburtalo win, with a stalemate into extra time a genuine alternative.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Saburtalo dominated possession (65%) even away in the goalless first leg and now enjoy home advantage; Larne have failed to score in three straight matches and face a side in mid-season rhythm, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Following a tense, goalless first leg where Saburtalo controlled 65% of possession away from home, the Georgian side holds a distinct advantage returning to Tbilisi. Larne failed to capitalize on their chances at Inver Park and will likely struggle against Saburtalo's home dominance.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

After controlling 65% of possession in a goalless first leg away from home, Saburtalo Tbilisi are strong favorites to progress on home soil against a Larne side that has failed to score in three consecutive European matches.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Saburtalo host Larne following a 0-0 draw in the first leg, giving the Georgian side a distinct home advantage alongside greater match sharpness. With Larne struggling for goals in recent European outings, Saburtalo should control the tempo in Tbilisi and secure a decisive victory.

Gemma 4 31B

Both teams are described as having average form in their respective home/away roles with no head-to-head history. Given the nature of qualifying rounds and the lack of a dominant side, a closely contested draw is a highly probable outcome.

MiniMax M3

Second leg in Tbilisi gives Saburtalo home advantage in Georgia, where the Erovnuli Liga side has a slight edge over Larne from Northern Ireland; both clubs profile as low-scoring in European qualifiers, so a narrow 1-0 home win is the most plausible single scoreline, with the draw kept honestly at ~30% given the tight margins typical of second-leg ties between closely-matched sides.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams lack prior head-to-head data, and their current form suggests average home and away performances, respectively. The absence of a clear favorite and the competitive nature of European qualifiers make a draw the most balanced single outcome, though either side could edge it.

Kimi K2.6

The first leg finished 0-0 with Saburtalo controlling possession while Larne extended their scoring drought to three games; Saburtalo’s stronger domestic form and home advantage tip a tight contest narrowly their way.

Kimi K3

Saburtalo play in the stronger domestic league (Georgia's Erovnuli Liga outranks the NIFL Premiership) and get home advantage in Tbilisi after a long trip for Larne, making them modest favourites in a typically tight, low-scoring qualifier. Larne's recent European experience and organisation keep the draw and away win very live, so the draw gets an honest ~28% share.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

No prior head-to-head exists and both sides show only average domestic form; the second leg in Tbilisi is finely balanced after an unknown first-leg result, making a low-scoring draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Saburtalo have a modest edge from hosting what appears to be an evenly matched tie, while the lack of strong form or head-to-head evidence warrants a substantial draw probability. A cautious, low-scoring contest is most likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

After a goalless first leg where Saburtalo dominated 65% possession away at Inver Park, the Georgian side return home to the Mikheil Meskhi Stadium as clear favorites. Larne's three-match scoring drought and their heavy Champions League exit to Red Star Belgrade (9-0 on aggregate) undermine their attacking threat, while Saburtalo's strong domestic form and full-strength squad give them the edge in what should be another tight, low-scoring affair.

Grok 4.5

Second leg of UEL Q3 after a likely tight first leg in Northern Ireland; both sides are modest domestically with limited European pedigree, so a low-scoring stalemate or narrow home edge is the most probable 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Saburtalo controlled the first leg with 65% possession and now have home advantage in Tbilisi against a Larne side goalless in three consecutive European matches with no domestic season rhythm to draw on. The 0-0 first leg keeps things tight, but Saburtalo's superior quality and home support make them clear favorites to edge this.

GLM-5.2

Saburtalo dominated 65% possession in a 0-0 first leg at Larne and now play at home in Tbilisi as two-time Georgian champions, while Larne have failed to score in three straight matches and lack competitive sharpness with their domestic season yet to start.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFC Iberia 1999
1.63
DrawLevel at 90′
3.80
AwayLarne
5.14