FC Iberia 1999
Jagiellonia| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Exact |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H24%D25%A51% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H26%D31%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D28%A50% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H20%D26%A54% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 0–1 | H20%D28%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H23%D29%A48% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H22%D31%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H22%D28%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H28%D33%A39% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Jagiellonia won the first leg 4-0 and are the clearly superior side, so despite Iberia playing at home the Poles should control the tie; a draw is plausible if Jagiellonia manage the aggregate comfortably, but they retain the edge on quality.
Jagiellonia effectively settled the tie with a 4-0 first-leg win, so expect rotation and reduced intensity in Tbilisi, but their squad depth and quality still comfortably outstrip Iberia 1999, who are a modest Georgian side stepping up in class. The dead-rubber context raises the chances of a draw or a home consolation, hence a relatively flat probability spread.
Jagiellonia are the stronger side and carry a 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, so they can manage this away leg, but Iberia 1999 have home motivation and were more competitive than the scoreline suggested. A tight dead-rubber second leg points to a draw as a strong single-score outcome, with Jagiellonia retaining the likelier result edge.
Jagiellonia dominated the first leg with a 4-0 victory, effectively putting this tie to bed. Even with potential squad rotation from the Polish side, they remain significantly stronger than Iberia 1999 and should secure another win on the road.
Holding a comfortable 4-0 lead from the first leg, Jagiellonia Białystok can manage the match cleanly away in Georgia. FC Iberia 1999 will push for a pride-restoring performance at home, but the Polish side's superior overall quality should see them secure another win.
Holding a commanding 4-0 lead from the first leg, Jagiellonia can manage the match comfortably while still possessing vastly superior quality over FC Iberia 1999.
Jagiellonia enters the second leg with a massive advantage after winning the first leg 4-0, demonstrating clear superiority in quality. While FC Iberia 1999 has home advantage, Jagiellonia's form and the psychological blow of the first-leg result make them favorites to control the game.
Jagiellonia's 4-0 first-leg win and prior 1-1 at Rangers show a clear quality gap over Iberia 1999, but with the tie effectively decided the away side can rotate and manage intensity in Tbilisi, lifting draw and home chances while Jagiellonia remain slight favourites.
Jagiellonia takes a commanding 4-0 lead from the first leg into this away fixture, allowing them to play conservatively and defend in a low block while hitting on the counter. FC Iberia 1999, hosting at home, will push hard out of pride and need to chase goals to recover, but their defensive vulnerabilities shown in leg one (4 goals conceded) combined with Jagiellonia's quality — fresh off a 1-1 draw at Rangers — means a tight second leg is most likely, with a 1-1 draw being the single most plausible 90-minute scoreline.
Jagiellonia demonstrated strong resilience in their recent 1-1 draw against Glasgow Rangers and have a clear historical edge over FC Iberia 1999, including a recent 4-0 victory. FC Iberia 1999, however, remains unpredictable, and the away side's quality and experience in European competitions tilt the balance slightly in their favor, though a draw is a credible outcome.
Jagiellonia are expected to field another strong XI despite the 4-0 cushion, and their clinical front three should exploit the space left by an Iberia side that must attack early. While Iberia’s home resilience and balanced first-leg underlying data suggest they can find the net, Jagiellonia’s superior quality and strong away record point to a narrow away win.
Jagiellonia won the first leg 4-0 and are clearly the superior side (five wins in seven this season, competitive with Rangers in CL qualifying), so even managing the tie in Tbilisi they remain favourites. However, with the tie effectively settled, likely rotation and Iberia playing for pride at home (they beat Larne 2-1 there) elevate the draw and home-win chances.
Jagiellonia hold a commanding 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg and have eliminated Rangers 3-2 on aggregate, showing excellent form with new signing Nik Prelec scoring regularly. Iberia 1999 face a near-impossible task at home; Jagiellonia may rotate but retain enough quality to avoid defeat, though a dead-rubber dynamic makes a draw plausible.
Jagiellonia’s 4-0 first-leg win indicates a substantial quality advantage, but their commanding aggregate lead may bring rotation and a more conservative approach away from home. Iberia should be more competitive at home, making a draw the likeliest exact scoreline despite Jagiellonia retaining the highest win probability.
Jagiellonia holds a commanding 4-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, giving them license to rotate and play conservatively away in Tbilisi. However, their clear quality advantage (evidenced by the 4-0 first-leg win) means they remain favorites even on the road, though FC Iberia 1999 should push freely at home with nothing to lose, making a narrow away win or draw the most likely outcomes.
Jagiellonia are clearly superior after thrashing Iberia 4-0 in the first leg and previously eliminating Rangers, with better squad quality and European form. Iberia at home may push for pride and create chances as they did away, but clinical finishing and defensive solidity favor an away win in a moderately open contest.
Jagiellonia hold a commanding 4-0 first-leg lead, making the tie effectively over; they may rotate but still possess significantly more quality than FC Iberia 1999. The Georgian side will be motivated at home for pride, making a draw or narrow loss the most likely dead-rubber outcomes.
Jagiellonia holds a commanding 4-0 first-leg aggregate lead and is the clearly superior side, but with qualification essentially secured they may rotate and play conservatively, while Iberia at home with nothing to lose could push for a consolation result — making a draw the most balanced single-scoreline outcome at 1-1.
FC Iberia 1999Jagiellonia