Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H29%D26%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H31%D29%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H41%D26%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D25%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Egnatia are at home on strong European form (only one defeat in six summer ties, 6-4 aggregate over Shamrock) while Lillestrom, a second-tier cup winner, have lost three of their last four; both defenses leak goals, so an entertaining home win is most likely, though Egnatia's lack of clean sheets keeps the away/draw outcomes live.
Egnatia are Albanian champions with a potent home European record (nine goals in two home ties, including 5-1 over Shamrock Rovers), but they have kept no clean sheets this summer; Lillestrom are a solid top-four Eliteserien side yet arrive in poor form (0-4 Bodo/Glimt, 0-2 Rosenborg, 1-1 KFUM) and without full fitness for key men, so a tight, open first leg with goals at both ends looks likeliest.
Egnatia have been high-scoring at home in Europe and Lillestrom arrive in poor away form, though Egnatia's lack of clean sheets should keep the visitors in the game.
Lillestrøm boasts a stronger squad overall as a competitive Norwegian side, but Egnatia's impressive home form and high-scoring European qualifiers should make this a tight first leg. Despite recent domestic struggles, the visitors' attacking quality should be enough to edge a narrow victory in Albania.
Egnatia have been remarkably potent at home in European qualifiers this summer, delivering high-scoring performances despite consistently conceding goals. With Lillestrøm struggling for form in recent domestic matches and playing away in the first leg, the Albanian hosts have a narrow advantage to claim a slight advantage before heading to Norway.
Lillestrøm possess greater overall squad quality and match rhythm from their domestic campaign, but Egnatia's strong home presence should make this a tightly contested first leg.
Lillestrom generally possesses higher technical quality and European experience compared to the Albanian side. While Egnatia has home advantage, Lillestrom's attacking options like Felix Va make them the favorites to edge this play-off encounter.
Egnatia have been prolific at Arena Egnatia (9 goals in 2 home qualifiers, 29 goals in 6 European games with no clean sheet) and face a Lillestrom side that lost 3 of last 4 and is without key midfielder Kitolano except as a sub, giving the Albanian champions a narrow home edge in a likely high-scoring, both-teams-to-score game.
Lillestrom are the stronger side from a higher-quality Norwegian league but are playing away in a Europa League play-off first leg, where away teams typically prioritize not losing. Egnatia have home advantage and recent scoring form, while Lillestrom are weakened by Kitolano's return from injury, making a cagey 1-1 draw the most plausible single outcome.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë are motivated by their historic opportunity to advance in European competition, but Lillestrøm’s resilience (evidenced by their recent form and key player contributions) makes them a tough opponent. A draw is a highly plausible outcome given the balanced dynamics and recent goal trends in their encounters.
Egnatia's explosive home form in Europe (5-1 vs Shamrock) and Lillestrom's recent struggles (three defeats in four) give the Albanian champions a narrow edge in what should be an open, high-scoring first leg where both teams find the net.
Egnatia arrive with strong European momentum (one defeat in six, a 5-1 home win over Shamrock) and home advantage in Albanian heat, though their games are wide-open with no clean sheets all summer. Lillestrøm are from the stronger league and sit 5th in the Eliteserien, but have lost three of their last four and key man Kitolano is only fit for the bench, tilting a tight, goal-friendly tie slightly toward the hosts.
First leg of a Europa League play-off; Egnatia at home in a tiny stadium but already assured of European group-stage football, while Lillestrøm have more continental experience and attacking form (Va 4G/5A) but miss key midfielder Kitolano (broken leg, bench only). First legs often produce cautious, low-margin draws.
Lillestrom have the stronger squad, but their uneven recent form and Kitolano's limited availability reduce their edge. Egnatia's home advantage and attacking confidence make a close, scoring draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Lillestrøm possess significant individual quality with experienced attackers that should exploit Egnatia's leaky defense, which has yet to keep a clean sheet in Europe this summer. However, the visitors' poor recent form and Egnatia's home advantage in a high-stakes tie make this a highly contested match, with a narrow away win being the most probable outcome.
Two-legged Europa League playoff between Albanian hosts Egnatia and Norwegian side Lillestrom; limited quality gap and recent high-scoring history favour a tight contest, with draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome and 1-1 the modal scoreline amid Lillestrom's key absences and Egnatia's home edge.
Lillestrøm hail from the stronger Norwegian Eliteserien and, despite a recent wobble in form, have more quality across the pitch; Egnatia's tiny home ground and European inexperience make a clean sheet unlikely, but a raucous Albanian crowd and Lillestrøm's fragile confidence should keep this tight.
Egnatia's formidable home European record (11 goals in their last two home ties) and greater European match sharpness this summer give them a slight edge, but their defensive frailty (no clean sheets in 6 European games, missing suspended Ndreca) against a Lillestrøm side from a stronger league keeps this closely contested.
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom