Claude Opus 4.8
After a goalless first-leg draw, Qarabag's clear quality advantage as a perennial European campaigner outweighs CSKA Sofia's home edge, though such tense qualifying deciders often stay low-scoring and level in regulation.
UEFA Europa LeagueFull time
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag — predictions and result
CSKA Sofia90-minute result0–0
Qarabag2nd Qualifying RoundVasil Levski National Sports Academy
Predictions
17 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H40%D33%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H35%D31%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H40%D29%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H40%D33%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D31%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–0 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Qarabag are a considerably stronger, more experienced European side with a settled attacking core (Sawo, Kady, Jankovic) and consistent continental pedigree, while CSKA Sofia's edge is limited to a hostile Sofia crowd and an attritional, low-tempo game plan. That combination points to a tight second leg where Qarabag are favoured but a level scoreline is very much in play.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
The tie is deadlocked at 0-0 after a cagey first leg in Baku where Qarabag had a goal disallowed by VAR. CSKA Sofia's home advantage at Balgarska Armija, their defensive solidity (already proven against Qarabag), and the goalscoring form of Pittas (3 in the competition) give them a narrow edge in what is likely to be another tight, low-scoring affair.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Following a goalless first leg in Azerbaijan, this return fixture promises to be another tight, attritional battle. While CSKA Sofia benefits from home advantage, Qarabag's superior European pedigree and ability to control possession make a low-scoring draw or narrow away victory the most likely 90-minute outcomes.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Following a cagey goalless draw in the first leg, both teams are expected to approach this return fixture with caution. Given Qarabag's superior European pedigree and CSKA Sofia's home advantage, a highly competitive and balanced match is likely to end in a score draw.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
After holding Qarabag to a goalless draw in Baku in the first leg, CSKA Sofia return home with strong defensive confidence and key midfield experience. In another tight European second leg, home advantage should give the Bulgarian side the edge to claim a narrow victory.
Gemma 4 31B
Qarabag shows superior tactical control and high-pressing efficiency, while CSKA Sofia relies on home advantage and a balanced but less dominant form. A tight, attritional match is expected, making a draw or a narrow away win the most likely outcomes.
MiniMax M3
Second leg at home gives CSKA Sofia a meaningful edge in a tight, attritional tie between two evenly matched sides; Qarabag's high-pressing style and continental experience keeps this competitive, but the Bulgarian side's settled squad and home advantage in a low-scoring European qualifier tilts the balance toward a narrow home win or a draw.
Mistral Large 3
Both teams exhibit balanced defensive and attacking form, with Qarabag's recent high pressing and chance creation slightly offset by CSKA Sofia's home advantage and solid squad structure. A tight, attritional match is likely, with the draw a genuine possibility.
Kimi K2.6
CSKA Sofia's home advantage and settled squad give them a slight edge in what should be a tight second leg, though Qarabag's confident pressing and creative attacking midfield ensure the tie remains finely balanced.
Kimi K3
Qarabag bring superior European pedigree, confident possession play and an effective high press, but CSKA Sofia's home advantage, settled squad and balanced recent form (8 scored, 5 conceded in their last five) level the tie; previews on both sides frame this as a tight, attritional qualifier, so a low-scoring stalemate is the likeliest single scoreline with the sides nearly inseparable over 90 minutes.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
First leg ended 0-0, leaving the tie perfectly balanced; CSKA Sofia's home advantage and settled squad give them a slight edge, but Qarabağ's high-pressing control and creative midfield (Kady, Janković) make a low-scoring draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
CSKA Sofia’s home advantage and settled lineup give them a narrow edge, but Qarabag’s pressing, creativity, and European experience should keep the contest balanced. A tight, low-margin match is likely.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Qarabag are the stronger side in European competition with confident pressing and chance creation, but CSKA Sofia's home advantage and settled squad in a tight qualifying tie make this a closely contested, attritional affair. A narrow away edge is offset by the cautious nature of two-legged qualifiers, making a low-scoring draw the most probable individual scoreline.
Grok 4.5
Second leg of a tight Europa League qualifier; CSKA hold home advantage and solid recent balance (8 scored, 5 conceded in five), while Qarabag remain competitive with high pressing and chance creation despite squad changes. Expect a low-scoring, attritional draw as the most likely 90-minute outcome.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
The first leg ended 0-0 in Baku, and CSKA Sofia now host the return leg with home advantage and a settled lineup; research notes highlight their balanced recent form (8 scored, 5 conceded in five) and home edge in what should be another tight, attritional contest, though Qarabag's effective pressing and chance creation keep them dangerous.
GLM-5.2
The first leg's cagey 0-0 suggests two evenly matched sides, and while CSKA Sofia's home advantage and recent domestic match sharpness give them a slight edge, Qarabag's superior European experience and prolific recent form (14 goals in 5 matches) make them dangerous on the break. A tight 1-1 draw that sends the tie to extra time is the most likely 90-minute outcome.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeCSKA Sofia
- 2.46
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 3.28
- AwayQarabag
- 2.73