CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

2nd Qualifying Round·30 Jul · 18:00 UTC·National Stadium Vasil Levski·✓ Completed
CSKA Sofia flagCSKA Sofia
00
Qarabag flagQarabag

AI consensus

Consensus pick
CSKA Sofia
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 75% · D 0% · A 25%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
CSKA Sofia2.46
Draw3.28
Qarabag2.73

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
28%27%45%1-1✗ miss
40%33%27%1-0✗ miss
32%30%38%1-1✗ miss
35%31%34%1-1✗ miss
40%29%31%1-0✗ miss
32%28%40%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%33%27%1-0✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss
37%28%35%1-1✗ miss
38%34%28%1-1✗ miss
37%31%32%1-1✗ miss
33%31%36%1-1✗ miss
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
40%28%32%1-0✗ miss
37%30%33%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 33% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 30% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 31% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 29% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 33% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 28% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 34% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 31% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 31% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 30% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
This page records every AI model's prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag played?
The match kicked off 30 Jul · 18:00 UTC at National Stadium Vasil Levski. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
No. The AI consensus picked CSKA Sofia, but the match finished 0–0 — a draw. 75% of 16 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
Of 16 models: 75% picked CSKA Sofia, 0% a draw, and 25% Qarabag. The consensus pick was CSKA Sofia; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): CSKA Sofia 2.46 · Draw 3.28 · Qarabag 2.73. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.