CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

3rd Qualifying Round·13 Aug · 18:00 UTC·National Stadium Vasil Levski·✓ Completed
CSKA Sofia flagCSKA Sofia
13
Maccabi Tel Aviv flagMaccabi Tel Aviv

AI consensus

Consensus pick
CSKA Sofia
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 94% · D 6% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
CSKA Sofia2.36
Draw3.37
Maccabi Tel Aviv2.99

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
40%27%33%1-1✗ miss
50%27%23%2-1✗ miss
46%28%26%1-1✗ miss
55%25%20%2-0✗ miss
52%26%22%2-1✗ miss
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss
41%28%31%1-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%32%28%1-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
33%36%31%1-1✗ miss
57%25%18%2-1✗ miss
55%30%15%2-1✗ miss
39%31%30%1-1✗ miss
43%29%28%1-1✗ miss
48%27%25%2-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
50%27%23%2-1✗ miss
48%28%24%2-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 27% · A 23%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2-0
H 55% · D 25% · A 20%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 52% · D 26% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 28% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 32% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagDRAW1-1
H 33% · D 36% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 57% · D 25% · A 18%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 55% · D 30% · A 15%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 31% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 43% · D 29% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 27% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 27% · A 23%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 28% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
This page records every AI model's prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?
The match kicked off 13 Aug · 18:00 UTC at National Stadium Vasil Levski. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
No. The AI consensus picked CSKA Sofia, but the match finished 1–3 — Maccabi Tel Aviv. 94% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Of 17 models: 94% picked CSKA Sofia, 6% a draw, and 0% Maccabi Tel Aviv. The consensus pick was CSKA Sofia; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): CSKA Sofia 2.36 · Draw 3.37 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.99. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.