Crystal Palace
Lech Poznan| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H54%D23%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D31%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H66%D21%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H53%D26%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H61%D24%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H39%D30%A31% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Palace have Premier League-calibre attacking quality (Mateta, Sarr, Kamada, Guessand) and home advantage at a raucous Selhurst Park, but Pierre Sage's side have just three points from four league games and have conceded 11 goals, which gives a well-drilled, in-form Polish champion Lech Poznan a genuine route into the game.
Crystal Palace are a Premier League side at home but are struggling under new boss Sadge (two home league defeats) and missing Henderson and Mateta, while Lech Poznan arrive as back-to-back Polish champions with strong qualifying form. The likely close, competitive encounter points to a share of the points.
Crystal Palace boast superior squad depth and individual quality, and home advantage at Selhurst Park gives them a clear edge over Polish side Lech Poznan.
Selhurst Park and Premier League quality keep Palace narrow favourites with Kamada key in the final third, but a difficult start under Pierre Sage and Lech Poznan's structured 4-2-3-1 vertical press led by Sayyadmanesh makes the Poles a live threat and a draw well above baseline.
Crystal Palace are still adjusting to life under new manager Pierre Sage and sit 16th in the Premier League with poor home form, while Lech Poznan arrive as back-to-back Polish champions in excellent shape (4W-1L in their last five, including a 9-2 aggregate demolition of Thun in qualifying). The visitors carry real momentum under Niels Frederiksen's structured 4-2-3-1, but Palace's higher individual quality and Selhurst Park advantage, plus Lech's recent loss at Gornik Zabrze, points toward a tight, cagey contest likely decided by a single goal — with1-1 the most realistic scoreline.
Crystal Palace are under new management and struggling for form, while Lech Poznan possess attacking threats like Sayyadmanesh and a structured approach. The draw is a genuine possibility, reflecting the competitive balance and Palace's inconsistent start.
Palace are in a rough patch under new boss Pierre Sage (16th in the early PL table, defensive problems, just two wins in five), but they remain reigning Conference League champions with far superior squad quality (Kamada, Wharton, Mateta) and home advantage against a Lech side missing four players through injury and coming off a 2-1 defeat to Gornik Zabrze. Lech are Poland's back-to-back champions and dangerous enough to score and make a draw very live, so Palace's edge is trimmed well below typical Premier-League-vs-Ekstraklasa levels.
Crystal Palace face a severe injury crisis missing Mateta, Sarr, Henderson, Riad and Chilwell, with only 2 wins in 5 under new manager Sage. Lech Poznan arrive in better form (3 wins in 5) with key attacker Sayyadmanesh scoring freely, though they lost their last league game. Palace's home advantage is offset by their depleted squad, making a tight draw the most likely outcome.
Crystal Palace’s stronger squad and home advantage should give them control, even allowing for an unsettled start under Pierre Sage. Lech Poznan’s structured pressing and quick transitions pose a threat, but Palace are likelier to create the better chances.
Crystal Palace are at home but in poor domestic form (16th in the PL, 3 points from 4 games, conceding 2.2 per game), while Lech Poznan arrive as defending Polish champions in strong recent form with dangerous new signings like Sayyadmanesh and Luis Palma. Palace's leaky defense and Lech's vertical attacking setup under Frederiksen make this tighter than a typical home favorite scenario, but Selhurst Park advantage and superior squad depth should just edge it for the Eagles.
Palace hold a quality edge as a Premier League side on a European home night despite early Sage teething problems, defensive leaks and key absences (Mateta, Henderson). Lech arrive in strong domestic/qualifying form and will counter-threaten, making a tight home win or draw the realistic range.
Crystal Palace are in significant transition under new manager Pierre Sage with key injuries (Henderson, Mateta, Riad) and the worst defensive record in the Premier League, while Lech Poznan arrive in strong European form having scored 15 goals across four qualifiers and lost just once in 10 matches. Palace retain enough individual quality at home to avoid defeat, but their defensive fragility and Lech's potent attack on transition make a high-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Crystal Palace are in transition under new boss Pierre Sage with three defeats in four Premier League games and significant injuries (Henderson, Riad, Mateta, Sarr), while Lech Poznan arrive as Polish champions who scored 15 goals in qualifying and have failed to score in just one of their last 16 away matches. Palace's superior individual quality and strong home European record (unbeaten in last six) provide a slight edge, but their defensive frailties and Lech's potent transition attack make a draw the most likely single outcome.
Crystal PalaceLech Poznan