Celtic
Ferencvarosi TC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H60%D23%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H58%D23%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H51%D25%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H56%D25%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H56%D24%A20% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Celtic have home advantage at a raucous Celtic Park and a rebuilt squad under Martin O'Neill, but they dropped into the Europa League after a chastening qualifying exit to LASK, while Ferencváros arrive match-sharp from several rounds of European qualifying and won 2-0 in Glasgow in 2021. A narrow Celtic win is most likely, though the draw is very live.
Celtic's strong home form at Parkhead and superior squad depth make them clear favourites, though Ferencvaros's attacking threat in transition suggests the visitors can find the net.
Celtic hold a distinct quality advantage and the strong backing of Celtic Park, though Ferencvaros possess enough attacking quality in transition to find the scoresheet.
Celtic's Parkhead home advantage and greater squad depth makes them favourites in the league phase opener, but Ferencvaros arrive in strong scoring form and can exploit space in transition, pointing to a narrow home win with both teams scoring.
Celtic's strong home advantage at a near-capacity Parkhead combined with a dominant historical head-to-head record (4 wins in last 5 meetings) makes them clear favorites, though Ferencváros's European pedigree and tactical threat on the counter keeps this competitive, pointing to a narrow Celtic win as the most likely outcome.
Celtic's strong recent head-to-head record against Ferencvarosi TC (80% win probability in last 5 meetings) and home advantage in a high-stakes Europa League match make them clear favorites. However, Ferencvaros' tactical approach to exploit Celtic's full-backs and their own competitive form suggest a closely contested game with a notable draw probability.
Celtic have a 100% Scottish Premiership record under Martin O'Neill and Parkhead is a strong home advantage, but they arrive off a 3-0 cup defeat to Rangers with defensive absentees including Alistair Johnston. Ferencvaros are in excellent form (one loss in 20, a 7-0 win last weekend) and actually finished above Celtic in last season's UEL league phase, so the Hungarians are live outsiders and the draw has real value.
Celtic's home fortress at Parkhead and historical dominance over Hungarian sides (9 wins in 15 meetings) favor the hosts, but Ferencvaros arrive in superb form (1 loss in 15 games, 7-0 win last weekend) with a fully fit squad, while Celtic nurse 4-7 absentees including key players Jota and Johnston after a 3-0 Old Firm defeat.
Celtic’s strong home advantage and greater squad depth make them the likelier winners. Ferencvaros remain dangerous in transition, so an away goal and a competitive match are plausible.
Celtic's strong home advantage at a near-capacity Parkhead and superior squad depth make them clear favorites in this Europa League opener, though Ferencvaros' ability to exploit transition space against Celtic's inverted fullbacks suggests they can create chances. A narrow home win in an open, tactical contest is the most likely outcome.
Celtic remain formidable at Parkhead with a long unbeaten home run and superior squad depth despite the Rangers thrashing and LASK collapse, while Ferencvaros arrive in strong overall form after solid qualifying but have historically struggled away in the Europa League proper.
Celtic are strong at home in European competition, have won four of five domestic matches this season, and defend leads well (100% lead-protecting rate at Parkhead). Ferencváros showed quality in EL qualifying by beating Trabzonspor, making them a credible opponent, but Celtic's home advantage and attacking depth should prove decisive.
Celtic's formidable home record at Parkhead and their overall squad quality edge over Hungarian champions Ferencvaros make them clear favourites, though Ferencvaros's competitive European pedigree and historical resilience in this fixture keep the away and draw probabilities non-trivial.
CelticFerencvarosi TC