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Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz — predictions and result

Bournemouth
90-minute result3–0
Sturm Graz
League Stage - 2Vitality Stadium

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H66%D20%A14%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H65%D21%A14%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H58%D22%A20%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H57%D22%A21%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H56%D23%A21%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H55%D23%A22%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Bournemouth's superior quality, home advantage and open attacking style should see them control the game against a Sturm Graz side that sits deep and struggles against elite opposition, though the Cherries' leaky defence makes a clean sheet unlikely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Bournemouth's home quality and European motivation should edge out a disciplined but vulnerable Sturm Graz, though the Cherries' habit of conceding makes a clean sheet unlikely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Bournemouth possess superior individual quality and tactical intensity playing at the Vitality Stadium, where their front-footed style should create ample scoring opportunities. While Sturm Graz can threaten on rapid counter-attacks against an expansive Cherries setup, the visitors will likely struggle to withstand Premier League pace over 90 minutes.

Muse Spark 1.2

Bournemouth's home lift and measured control (50.3% possession, 5.33 shots on target) against Sturm Graz's deep, low-possession block (34.2%) favours the hosts, but Bournemouth's open style (conceding in almost every game) and Sturm's resilience suggests a high-scoring home win with both teams scoring.

MiniMax M3

Bournemouth's home control (50% possession, 5.33 shots on target/match) and superior Premier League intensity should overcome Sturm Graz's deeper, counter-attacking setup, but the Cherries' chronically open defensive shape — five goals conceded by Chelsea, multiple goals conceded in nearly every domestic outing — makes a clean sheet unlikely against Seidl/Anywho's fast outlets, favoring an eventful 2-1 home win as the single most likely scoreline.

Kimi K3

Bournemouth's Premier League quality, home crowd, and confidence from beating Real Sociedad in Europe make them clear favourites against a Sturm Graz side that struggles against stronger opponents. However, the Cherries' open style and leaky defence (conceding freely to Chelsea, Brentford and Newcastle) mean a clean sheet is unlikely, so a narrow 2-1 home win is the most likely scoreline with the draw keeping an honest share given Bournemouth's inconsistent domestic form.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Bournemouth's home advantage, superior possession (50% vs 34%) and attacking output, plus Sturm Graz's historical struggles against elite opposition outweigh the Cherries' defensive frailty; expect an open, high-tempo game with both teams scoring.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Bournemouth’s superior tempo, chance creation and home advantage should give them a clear edge against Sturm Graz’s deeper defensive setup. Their open style and recent defensive vulnerability make a Sturm goal plausible, though the hosts remain likelier to prevail.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Bournemouth's Premier League intensity and home advantage should overwhelm a Sturm Graz side that struggles against elite opposition, though the Cherries' consistently leaky defense and open style make a clean sheet unlikely.

Grok 4.5

Bournemouth's home control, higher tempo and recent European uplift give them the edge over a deeper, counter-oriented Sturm Graz side that struggles against stronger opponents; open Cherries style points to a narrow high-scoring home win rather than a clean sheet.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Bournemouth's Premier League quality and home advantage should be decisive against a Sturm Graz side that struggles against top-level opponents and concedes territorial control (~34% possession), though the Cherries' open, attack-minded style and leaky defence (conceding in almost every match) make a clean sheet unlikely and keep the game competitive.

GLM-5.2

Bournemouth's Premier League quality and home advantage, combined with a European win over Real Sociedad already under their belt, make them clear favourites against an Austrian Bundesliga side that tends to struggle against stronger opposition. However, Bournemouth's well-documented defensive vulnerabilities (conceding in almost every match) suggest Sturm Graz can find a goal on the break, pointing to a high-scoring narrow home win rather than a clean-sheet rout.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBournemouth
1.20
DrawLevel at 90′
7.57
AwaySturm Graz
13.39