Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz — predictions and result
Bournemouth
90-minute result3–0
Sturm Graz
League Stage - 2Vitality Stadium
Predictions
12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Bournemouth's superior quality, home advantage and open attacking style should see them control the game against a Sturm Graz side that sits deep and struggles against elite opposition, though the Cherries' leaky defence makes a clean sheet unlikely.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Bournemouth's home quality and European motivation should edge out a disciplined but vulnerable Sturm Graz, though the Cherries' habit of conceding makes a clean sheet unlikely.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Bournemouth possess superior individual quality and tactical intensity playing at the Vitality Stadium, where their front-footed style should create ample scoring opportunities. While Sturm Graz can threaten on rapid counter-attacks against an expansive Cherries setup, the visitors will likely struggle to withstand Premier League pace over 90 minutes.
Muse Spark 1.2
Bournemouth's home lift and measured control (50.3% possession, 5.33 shots on target) against Sturm Graz's deep, low-possession block (34.2%) favours the hosts, but Bournemouth's open style (conceding in almost every game) and Sturm's resilience suggests a high-scoring home win with both teams scoring.
MiniMax M3
Bournemouth's home control (50% possession, 5.33 shots on target/match) and superior Premier League intensity should overcome Sturm Graz's deeper, counter-attacking setup, but the Cherries' chronically open defensive shape — five goals conceded by Chelsea, multiple goals conceded in nearly every domestic outing — makes a clean sheet unlikely against Seidl/Anywho's fast outlets, favoring an eventful 2-1 home win as the single most likely scoreline.
Kimi K3
Bournemouth's Premier League quality, home crowd, and confidence from beating Real Sociedad in Europe make them clear favourites against a Sturm Graz side that struggles against stronger opponents. However, the Cherries' open style and leaky defence (conceding freely to Chelsea, Brentford and Newcastle) mean a clean sheet is unlikely, so a narrow 2-1 home win is the most likely scoreline with the draw keeping an honest share given Bournemouth's inconsistent domestic form.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Bournemouth's home advantage, superior possession (50% vs 34%) and attacking output, plus Sturm Graz's historical struggles against elite opposition outweigh the Cherries' defensive frailty; expect an open, high-tempo game with both teams scoring.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Bournemouth’s superior tempo, chance creation and home advantage should give them a clear edge against Sturm Graz’s deeper defensive setup. Their open style and recent defensive vulnerability make a Sturm goal plausible, though the hosts remain likelier to prevail.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Bournemouth's Premier League intensity and home advantage should overwhelm a Sturm Graz side that struggles against elite opposition, though the Cherries' consistently leaky defense and open style make a clean sheet unlikely.
Grok 4.5
Bournemouth's home control, higher tempo and recent European uplift give them the edge over a deeper, counter-oriented Sturm Graz side that struggles against stronger opponents; open Cherries style points to a narrow high-scoring home win rather than a clean sheet.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Bournemouth's Premier League quality and home advantage should be decisive against a Sturm Graz side that struggles against top-level opponents and concedes territorial control (~34% possession), though the Cherries' open, attack-minded style and leaky defence (conceding in almost every match) make a clean sheet unlikely and keep the game competitive.
GLM-5.2
Bournemouth's Premier League quality and home advantage, combined with a European win over Real Sociedad already under their belt, make them clear favourites against an Austrian Bundesliga side that tends to struggle against stronger opposition. However, Bournemouth's well-documented defensive vulnerabilities (conceding in almost every match) suggest Sturm Graz can find a goal on the break, pointing to a high-scoring narrow home win rather than a clean-sheet rout.