Bournemouth
AC Milan| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H37%D27%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H38%D33%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Milan carry the greater squad quality and are unbeaten on the road under Amorim, but Bournemouth have been excellent at the Vitality with back-to-back clean sheets and have won both European outings, making this close to a coin-flip with a high draw chance.
Bournemouth's strong home defensive momentum and back-to-back European clean sheets meet an AC Milan side unbeaten on the road under Amorim, making a tight contest likely. Amorim has never beaten Bournemouth, which further supports a low-scoring stalemate.
Bournemouth have been strong at home in Europe under Marco Rose, keeping successive clean sheets at the Vitality Stadium. However, Ruben Amorim's Milan boast superior individual quality and an unbeaten away record this season, pointing towards a closely fought draw.
Bournemouth's back-to-back home clean sheets (2-0 vs Sunderland, 3-0 vs Sturm Graz) and perfect Europa start meet Milan's unbeaten away record (W2 D3 this season, W4 D2 for Amorim in UEL league phase) and Amorim's winless run vs Bournemouth (D2 L1, including 4-4 last time), pointing to a balanced, low-scoring stalemate.
Bournemouth have shown excellent defensive solidity at home with back-to-back clean-sheet wins (vs Sunderland and Sturm Graz) under Marco Rose, and Amorim has never beaten Bournemouth in three attempts (D2 L1), most recently a chaotic 4-4. However, Milan's quality with Modric, Pulisic, and Rabiot, combined with Amorim's unbeaten UEL away record (W4 D2), keeps this genuinely tight, justifying a high draw probability and a narrow home win as the single most likely scoreline.
Bournemouth are in strong defensive form at home and riding high confidence after consecutive clean sheets, while AC Milan are unbeaten away in the group but have struggled historically against Bournemouth under Amorim, with a tendency for chaotic, high-scoring draws. Both teams are evenly matched, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
Milan bring the stronger squad (Maignan, Modrić, Pulisic, Rabiot) and are unbeaten on the road this season under Amorim, who has never lost an away Europa League group/league-phase match, making the Rossoneri slight favorites. However, Bournemouth have won both European home games with consecutive clean sheets and carry real momentum at the Vitality, so a tight, low-margin contest with a live draw is expected.
Bournemouth have won their first two Europa League home games with clean sheets and five goals scored, but face an AC Milan side unbeaten away under Ruben Amorim (W4 D2 in UEL league phase) who bounced back from a opening loss with a 4-0 win in Salzburg; Amorim has never beaten Bournemouth in three prior meetings (D2 L1), making this a tightly balanced contest with a slight edge to Milan's superior European pedigree and squad depth.
Bournemouth’s strong home defending and two opening European wins make them difficult to beat, but Milan have the greater individual quality and remain unbeaten away this season. A tight, balanced contest is likely, with Milan holding a slight edge overall.
Bournemouth's formidable home defensive record (back-to-back clean sheets) and Marco Rose's European momentum are offset by AC Milan's superior squad depth under Ruben Amorim, who remains unbeaten in away Europa League group/league phase fixtures. Amorim's historical inability to beat Bournemouth as a manager and Milan's inconsistency (losing MD1 at home to Benfica) keep this finely balanced, but Milan's quality in attack (Pulisic, Rabiot, Gonçalo Ramos) gives them a narrow edge in what should be a tightly contested draw.
Bournemouth's strong home defensive run (consecutive clean sheets) and perfect EL start give them an edge at Vitality, but Milan's quality and Amorim's unbeaten away UEL record make a tight, low-scoring draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
Bournemouth's perfect European start and back-to-back home clean sheets give them real belief, but Milan under Amorim are unbeaten on the road this term (W2, D3) and boast superior squad quality with Modrić, Pulisic and Rabiot controlling games. Two evenly matched, defensively solid sides point to a tight contest where a 1-1 draw is the single most likely scoreline, with Milan's edge in class slightly offset by home advantage.
Milan's superior squad quality and Amorim's unbeaten away record in the UEL league phase (W4, D2) give them the edge, but Bournemouth's back-to-back home clean sheets and perfect European start so far keep this competitive enough that a draw is a real possibility.
BournemouthAC Milan