Claude Opus 4.8
Benfica are vastly superior in squad quality and playing at a fortress-like Estádio da Luz (5-0 win over St. Gallen last time out), while Hearts arrive in poor form after multiple defeats including a 6-0 thrashing by Sturm Graz.
UEFA Europa LeagueFull time
Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian — predictions and result
Benfica90-minute result6–1
Heart Of Midlothian3rd Qualifying RoundEstádio da Luz
Predictions
17 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 3–0 | H80%D13%A7% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H79%D14%A7% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 3–0 | H75%D17%A8% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 3–0 | H82%D13%A5% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 3–0 | H85%D11%A4% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 3–0 | H80%D13%A7% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 3–0 | H78%D14%A8% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H72%D17%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–0 | H65%D25%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–0 | H75%D18%A7% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H84%D11%A5% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H70%D18%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–0 | H72%D17%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H72%D18%A10% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Benfica are a vastly superior side at a fortress-like Estádio da Luz and are further into their pre-season rhythm, while Hearts arrive on the back of three straight defeats and a squad still adapting to Vrancken's system. A comfortable home win with Hearts likely set up to contain is the most probable outcome.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Benfica are unbeaten at home since February and thrashed St Gallen 5-0 in the last round with Pavlidis scoring four, while Hearts have lost all three matches under new boss Vrancken — conceding six without reply to Sturm Graz in CL qualifying — and are missing key players Borchgrevink, Kingsley, Halkett and Ageu.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Benfica boast significantly higher squad quality and formidable home advantage at the Estádio da Luz. With Hearts struggling early in their campaign after three consecutive defeats, the Portuguese giants are heavy favorites to secure a comfortable victory.
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Benfica are overwhelming favorites at the Estádio da Luz against a struggling Hearts side that has lost all three of its competitive matches this season, including a 6-0 aggregate defeat to Sturm Graz. With Benfica coming off a dominant 5-0 home win over St Gallen, they should secure a comfortable victory.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Benfica enter this European tie in dominant form at the Estádio da Luz, having recently swept past St Gallen 5-0 in Lisbon. Hearts are struggling under new manager Wouter Vrancken following three consecutive defeats and significant defensive issues, making a comfortable home victory for the Portuguese giants the overwhelmingly likely outcome.
Gemma 4 31B
Benfica possesses a significant quality gap over Hearts, who enter this tie in poor form with three consecutive defeats to start their season. Playing at the Estádio da Luz further amplifies the advantage for the Portuguese side.
MiniMax M3
Benfica are overwhelming favorites at the Estádio da Luz against a Hearts side that has lost three consecutive matches to start their domestic season and is in clear transition under Vrancken. Marco Silva's new-look Benfica are implementing a progressive style well-suited to dominating weaker opposition, while Hearts' away form, lineup changes, and tactical shift suggest they will struggle to contain the home side.
Mistral Large 3
Benfica, as a top-tier European side with superior squad depth and tactical sophistication, are heavy favorites at home against a Hearts team struggling with form and confidence after three successive defeats. The stylistic similarities may limit Benfica's dominance, but their individual quality and home advantage make them clear favorites.
Kimi K2.6
Benfica possess a significant quality advantage and strong home record at the Estádio da Luz, while Hearts arrive on the back of three consecutive defeats and low confidence. A comfortable home victory with a clean sheet is the most probable outcome.
Kimi K3
Benfica at the Estádio da Luz are a class above a Hearts side that has lost its first three matches of the season and is still adjusting to a new coach's system. Benfica's aggressive midfield press and deep-lying playmakers should dominate possession and territory, though early-season rust and Hearts' compact block make a modest winning margin more likely than a rout.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Benfica are a top-tier Portuguese side at home in the Estádio da Luz with a clear quality gap over Hearts, who have lost their first three competitive matches of the season. Marco Silva's team controls games through patient build-up and aggressive midfield pressing, making a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Benfica's substantial squad-quality advantage and home support should allow their patient, progressive attack to control the tie. Hearts arrive after three successive defeats and are likely to struggle to create chances against Benfica's aggressive midfield block.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Benfica are overwhelming favorites at the Estádio da Luz against a Hearts side that has lost three straight matches including a 6-0 aggregate demolition by Sturm Graz in Champions League qualifying. Despite Benfica's somewhat mixed pre-season as they search for cohesion under Marco Silva, the quality gap between the Portuguese giants (with players like Pavlidis, Schjelderup, and Prestianni) and a Hearts squad valued at under €28m is enormous, and the home crowd should drive a comfortable first-leg victory.
Grok 4.5
Benfica are clear favorites at home with superior quality, recent 5-0 thrashing of St Gallen featuring a rampant Pavlidis, and a big UEFA coefficient gap; Hearts arrive on a three-match losing run including a 6-0 aggregate Champions League exit and lack the firepower to trouble da Luz regularly.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Benfica are heavy favourites at the Estádio da Luz where they haven't lost since February, and they demolished St Gallen 5-0 at home in the previous round; Hearts arrive in Lisbon winless under new manager Vrancken after three consecutive defeats to start the season, facing a significant quality gap against the Primeira Liga runners-up.
GLM-5.2
Benfica are a significantly stronger side playing at the Estádio da Luz, while Hearts have lost their first three matches of the season and face a steep quality gap in Lisbon. A comfortable Benfica win is the most likely outcome, though Hearts may sit deep and keep the scoreline respectable.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeBenfica
- 1.07
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 10.49
- AwayHeart Of Midlothian
- 26.09