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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

Benfica vs Celtic — predictions and result

Benfica
90-minute result4–1
Celtic
League Stage - 2Estádio da Luz

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–0
H64%D22%A14%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H63%D22%A15%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H61%D23%A16%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–0
H56%D25%A19%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H69%D20%A11%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H58%D26%A16%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–0
H56%D25%A19%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Benfica are markedly stronger at the Estádio da Luz, with better recent form (2.5 ppg, four clean sheets in six) and a possession-dominant setup that should pin a transitional Celtic side deep. Celtic's away record in elite European ties and defensive inconsistency make a narrow 2-0 home win the most likely outcome, though a low-scoring draw remains a credible fallback.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Benfica are stronger in form and far tighter defensively, and at home they should control possession and limit Celtic to a reactive shape. Celtic can stay compact, but Benfica's quality and the Estadio da Luz crowd make a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Benfica enter in strong form with four clean sheets in their last six matches and should comfortably control territory at the Estádio da Luz against a Celtic side that routinely struggles on European travels.

Muse Spark 1.2

Benfica's strong home form (2.5 ppg, 4 clean sheets in 6) and opening win vs Celtic's 1.5 ppg and 28th place start, plus expected territorial dominance at the Luz, points to a controlled low-scoring home win with Celtic forced deep and reactive.

MiniMax M3

Benfica are clear favorites at the Estádio da Luz with superior form (2.5 ppg vs 1.5), a tighter defense (4 clean sheets in 6 vs Celtic's 2), and home advantage in a matchup where both sides set up in 4-2-3-1 but Benfica are expected to dominate territory; a tight 1-0 home win is the most realistic single outcome, though a low-scoring draw is a credible secondary scenario.

Kimi K3

Benfica are dominant at the Estádio da Luz with four clean sheets in six and strong early league-phase form, while Celtic historically struggle away in Europe and lost their opener; expect Benfica to control possession and win comfortably, with the draw the main alternative if Celtic sit deep successfully.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Benfica's superior home form (2.5 ppg, four clean sheets in six) and territorial control against a Celtic side that lost their Europa League opener and sits 28th in the league phase make a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Benfica’s stronger form, defensive record and home advantage should allow them to control territory and restrict Celtic’s chances. Celtic may stay compact initially, but Benfica’s attacking quality should eventually create a comfortable margin.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Benfica's superior form (2.5 ppg vs 1.5), stronger defensive record (4 clean sheets in 6), and home advantage at the Estádio da Luz give them a clear edge. Celtic are expected to sit deep and react, but Benfica's possession-based approach and recent 2-0 win over Vitoria Guimaraes suggest they'll control the match and edge a tight, low-scoring affair.

Grok 4.5

Benfica's superior recent form, home strength at the Luz, and tighter defence favour a controlled low-scoring win, while Celtic sit deeper after their opening defeat and struggle to create consistently away in Europe.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Benfica's strong home record, superior form (2.5 ppg vs 1.5), and four clean sheets in six suggest they will control territory and possession against a Celtic side already winless after matchday one. A tight, low-scoring contest is expected with Benfica's defensive solidity likely to prove decisive.

GLM-5.2

Benfica's superior form (2.5 ppg, four clean sheets in six) and home advantage at the Estádio da Luz make them clear favourites against a Celtic side who lost their opening Europa League match and struggle away in Europe. Benfica's defensive solidity and possession control should limit Celtic's chances while creating enough to win comfortably.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBenfica
1.25
DrawLevel at 90′
6.62
AwayCeltic
10.82