Beşiktaş
Marseille| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H54%D24%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H56%D24%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Beşiktaş arrive in strong domestic form (win at Fenerbahçe, 3-0 v Erzurumspor) with Vlahović and Trossard firing and a fierce home atmosphere at the Tüpraş Stadium, while Marseille travel on the back of three straight Ligue 1 defeats and defensive fragility under Génésio. Marseille's squad depth keeps them live, so the margin is narrow with a real chance of a level game.
Besiktas have won six straight home matches with five clean sheets and regain Vlahovic, while Marseille arrive on three consecutive defeats and are missing Kondogbia, pointing to a home win and a likely clean sheet.
Beşiktaş hold a distinct advantage playing at home in Istanbul with their high-tempo vertical transitions, though Marseille's attacking firepower should keep this an intensely competitive opening fixture.
Beşiktaş bring five wins in six Europa League games and a flawless home record to Vodafone Arena, with vertical transitions and set-piece focus built around Vlahovic and Trossard to exploit Marseille's aggressive high line away from home.
Beşiktaş's strong recent European form (5 wins in 6), flawless home record, and a tactical reset under new manager Vincenzo Italiano with key attacking pieces (Vlahovic, Trossard) returning give them a clear edge at the Vodafone Arena. Marseille remain a quality Ligue 1 side with an aggressive frontline, however, making this a tight contest where a narrow home win is the most likely outcome but a draw is well within range.
Beşiktaş enter the match in strong form with five wins in their last six Europa League matches and a tactical setup designed to exploit Marseille's aggressive style. However, Marseille's European experience and Beşiktaş's historical struggles beyond the quarter-finals balance the scales, making a draw a credible outcome.
Beşiktaş are flying under Italiano (9 wins in 11, 11 goals in their last five, unbeaten at home) and recall Vlahović — four goals in his last two — alongside in-form Trossard, while Marseille arrive in Istanbul on three straight Ligue 1 defeats with a leaky defence (multiple goals conceded in three of their last five), making a home win the clear most likely outcome despite Marseille's individual talent keeping the draw and away win live.
Beşiktaş are in formidable home form (6 straight wins, 15-2 aggregate) under Vincenzo Italiano with Vlahovic and Trossard firing, while Marseille have lost three consecutive Ligue 1 matches conceding six goals and miss Kondogbia and Nnadi in midfield.
Beşiktaş’s strong European form, flawless recent home record and quick-transition approach give them a narrow edge in a difficult Istanbul environment. Marseille’s overall quality and aggressive attack should still make this closely balanced, with a score draw the likeliest exact outcome.
Beşiktaş enter with strong European form (five wins in their last six) and a flawless home record at the Vodafone Arena, bolstered by the return of Dusan Vlahovic and in-form summer signing Leandro Trossard under Vincenzo Italiano's transition-focused system. Marseille possess an aggressive frontline capable of scoring, but Beşiktaş's home advantage and tactical preparation for quick vertical transitions give them the edge in what should be a competitive opener.
Beşiktaş enter with flawless home form (6 wins, 15-2), rock-solid European qualifying (5-1-0, one goal conceded) and Vlahović returning in form under Italiano, while Marseille are in early-season crisis (three straight Ligue 1 losses, poor away record and finishing). Home edge and defensive solidity make a controlled Beşiktaş win the clearest outcome.
Beşiktaş's outstanding European form under Italiano (WWWWWL), Vlahović's return, and the intimidating Istanbul home atmosphere give them a clear edge, though Marseille's quality squad ensures this stays competitive. Marseille's lack of European match fitness this season and the difficulty of away trips to Turkey tip the balance toward the hosts.
Beşiktaş are in excellent form (3 consecutive wins including a derby victory at Fenerbahçe, 2nd in the Süper Lig) with Vlahović scoring freely and Italiano's tactical setup well-suited to exploiting transitions, while Marseille arrive in crisis having lost three straight Ligue 1 matches with a historically poor away record (7 losses in 11 Ligue 1 away games in 2026, failing to score in 6).
BeşiktaşMarseille