Claude Opus 4.8
Beşiktaş are a far stronger side with home advantage, four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifying, and greater squad depth against a Lithuanian side that struggled defensively versus Dinamo Zagreb.
UEFA Europa LeagueFull time
Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris — predictions and result
Beşiktaş90-minute result3–0
Kauno ŽalgirisPlay-offsTüpraş Stadyumu
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 3–0 | H80%D13%A7% | Correct | Exact |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H84%D11%A5% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H79%D15%A6% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 3–0 | H84%D12%A4% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 3–0 | H83%D12%A5% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 3–0 | H83%D12%A5% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 3–0 | H82%D13%A5% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H78%D15%A7% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H72%D17%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–0 | H70%D22%A8% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H73%D17%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–0 | H58%D27%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H78%D15%A7% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H72%D17%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H62%D23%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–0 | H70%D18%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H72%D19%A9% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Beşiktaş are vastly superior in squad quality, budget and European experience to a Lithuanian side, and have looked defensively solid with four straight clean sheets in qualifying; home advantage in Istanbul should make control routine even if their finishing has been modest.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Beşiktaş's superior squad depth, home advantage and four straight European clean sheets meet a Kauno Žalgiris side that was outclassed 7-1 on aggregate by Dinamo Zagreb, so a controlled home win is most likely. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their defensive solidity and first-leg game management rather than an all-out margin.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Beşiktaş boasts a massive quality advantage and a formidable home atmosphere in Istanbul, backed by a defense that has kept four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifying. Kauno Žalgiris will likely struggle to cope with the hosts' high pressing and superior attacking depth.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Beşiktaş enter as overwhelming home favorites, backed by superior squad quality and strong defensive form having kept four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifying. Kauno Žalgiris face a steep step up in class and will struggle to contain the hosts' high tempo and pressing in Istanbul.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Beşiktaş possess vastly superior squad quality and European experience compared to Kauno Žalgiris, who will struggle to withstand the intense atmosphere and attacking pressure in Istanbul.
Gemma 4 31B
Beşiktaş enters this tie with significant quality superiority and a strong defensive record, including four consecutive clean sheets. Kauno Žalgiris is expected to struggle against Beşiktaş's home intensity and tactical organization.
Muse Spark 1.2
Beşiktaş bring four consecutive clean sheets and compact home pressing to Istanbul against a Kauno Žalgiris side that struggled defensively versus Dinamo Zagreb, creating a large quality and home-advantage gap favouring a controlled home win.
MiniMax M3
Beşiktaş are a Turkish heavyweight at home against a Lithuanian side in Kauno Žalgiris who showed clear struggles against Dinamo Zagreb; their four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifying under Italiano point to a compact, well-organised block, while the home advantage and squad depth should allow them to control the tie and create enough chances to break down a vulnerable opponent.
Mistral Large 3
Beşiktaş hold a significant home advantage in European competitions, with a compact defensive structure and tactical flexibility that Kauno Žalgiris may struggle to break down. However, Kauno’s organized 4-1-4-1 system and recent European experience suggest they can avoid a heavy defeat, making a draw plausible but less likely than a Beşiktaş win.
Kimi K2.6
Beşiktaş have kept five consecutive clean sheets in a defensively solid start under Italiano, while Kauno Žalgiris were thrashed 5-0 by Dinamo Zagreb in their last European away outing, highlighting a yawning gap in quality that the Turkish side should exploit at home.
Kimi K3
Beşiktaş bring four consecutive European clean sheets, a compact structure under Italiano, home advantage in Istanbul, and far greater squad depth, while Kauno Žalgiris looked vulnerable against Dinamo Zagreb and step up sharply in opposition quality. The Lithuanians' 4-1-4-1 may keep things tight early, but Beşiktaş's pressure and quality should produce a controlled home win, with a low-scoring margin reflecting their defense-first form.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Beşiktaş's four straight clean sheets in qualifying, home pressing advantage, and squad depth outweigh Kauno Žalgiris's defensive 4-1-4-1 setup against a steep step up in European opponent quality.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Beşiktaş have the stronger squad, home advantage and a compact defensive structure backed by four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifying. Kauno Žalgiris may defend deeply, but their vulnerability against higher-level opposition should allow Beşiktaş to take control.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Beşiktaş enter this play-off first leg with four consecutive clean sheets in European qualifying and a compact defensive structure under Italiano, while Kauno Žalgiris struggled against Dinamo Zagreb and face a significant step up in class. The Turkish side's home advantage, squad depth for rotation, and defensive solidity point to a controlled victory, with a 2-0 scoreline reflecting their recent tendency to keep clean sheets while asserting attacking authority.
Grok 4.5
Beşiktaş enter with four straight European clean sheets and a compact home setup under Italiano that should dominate a limited Kauno side still adjusting after heavy defeats to stronger opposition; the quality gap and stadium intensity make a controlled home win the clear modal outcome while still allowing a realistic draw share.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Beşiktaş are the vastly superior side with four consecutive European qualifying clean sheets and strong home support, while Kauno Žalgiris struggled against Dinamo Zagreb in the previous round and face a significant quality gap. Beşiktaş's organized defensive structure and attacking depth at home should see them control this play-off first leg comfortably.
GLM-5.2
Beşiktaş's superior squad quality, home advantage, and four consecutive European clean sheets face a Kauno Žalgiris side that was beaten 5-0 away by Dinamo Zagreb, exposing a significant gap at this level. Italiano's controlled approach may limit the margin, but the attacking talent of Trossard, Vlahović and Cerny should comfortably break down the Lithuanian defence.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeBeşiktaş
- 1.17
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 7.08
- AwayKauno Žalgiris
- 12.95