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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — predictions and result

AZ Alkmaar
90-minute result2–1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
League Stage - 2AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar)

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H63%D21%A16%
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H64%D22%A14%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H60%D24%A16%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–0
H44%D28%A28%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H57%D25%A18%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

AZ are strong at the AFAS Stadion with a long unbeaten home run and consistent scoring, while Hapoel Be'er Sheva face a step up in quality and have been involved in low-scoring European games. Expect AZ to control the match, though their recent dip in form and occasional defensive lapses leave room for a Hapoel goal.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

AZ Alkmaar's strong AFAS Stadion record and consistent home scoring make them favourites, but Hapoel Beer Sheva arrive on a winning run and their Europa League games tend to be tight, so a low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

AZ Alkmaar boast a formidable home record at the AFAS Stadion, where they are unbeaten across their last 16 matches. Hapoel Be'er Sheva will struggle to contain the Dutch side's attacking output in European away territory.

Muse Spark 1.2

AZ's 16-match unbeaten run at AFAS Stadion and four-game home scoring streak makes them clear favourites despite 1 win in 4, while Hapoel's two straight wins have come in low-scoring Europa games with no head-to-head precedent to suggest an away upset.

MiniMax M3

AZ Alkmaar boast an outstanding 16-match unbeaten home run at the AFAS Stadion and average 11 shots per game, giving them a clear edge over Hapoel Beer Sheva, whose recent Europa League outings have all been low-scoring (under 2.5 goals), suggesting a tight but controlled home win.

Mistral Large 3

AZ Alkmaar's strong home form (unbeaten in 16, prolific scorers) and superior shot statistics (11.0 vs 7.0 allowed) outweigh Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent momentum, but the latter's disciplined low-scoring approach and lack of head-to-head data justify a significant draw probability.

Kimi K3

AZ are unbeaten at home in 16 matches (eight months) and dominate the underlying numbers (11 shots/5 corners per game vs Hapoel's concessions), making them clear favorites despite a recent wobble with losses to Sunderland and Feyenoord. Hapoel arrive on two straight wins but their Europa League games have been low-scoring, and the gulf in squad quality away from home should tell, though AZ's dip in form keeps draw and upset chances meaningful.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

AZ Alkmaar boast a 16-match home unbeaten run and create significantly more shots (11 vs 7), but recent losses to Feyenoord and Sunderland plus Hapoel Beer Sheva's two-game winning streak and low-scoring Europa League pattern (under 2.5 goals in last three) temper the home advantage.

GPT-5.6 Sol

AZ's strong 16-match unbeaten home run and greater attacking output make them clear favorites. Hapoel's recent wins merit respect, but their low-scoring European form suggests they may struggle to convert chances.

Qwen3.7 Plus

AZ Alkmaar's formidable 16-match unbeaten home run at the AFAS Stadion gives them a clear edge, but their recent slump — losing both their Europa League opener and last Eredivisie match — combined with Hapoel Beer Sheva's two-game winning streak and tendency toward low-scoring fixtures, keeps this tight. A narrow home win in a cagey, low-event match is the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

AZ Alkmaar hold a clear quality edge as a top Eredivisie side with a 16-match home unbeaten run and consistent scoring at AFAS Stadion, while Hapoel Beer Sheva's solid recent form and defensive resilience (including a 0-0 EL draw) make an away upset or draw possible but less likely against Dutch opposition.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

AZ Alkmaar's formidable home record (16 unbeaten) and significant quality advantage as Eredivisie runners-up should prevail, though their recent dip in form (1 win in 4) and Hapoel Beer Sheva's competitive European performances (low-scoring EL games) suggest a tight contest rather than a comfortable victory.

GLM-5.2

AZ Alkmaar boast a 16-match home unbeaten run and generate significantly more shots (11 vs 7 allowed) than Hapoel Beer Sheva, who have tended toward low-scoring Europa League outings. Despite recent defeats ending their long unbeaten streak, AZ's strong home form against an Israeli side with limited European pedigree makes them clear favorites.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAZ Alkmaar
1.31
DrawLevel at 90′
5.87
AwayHapoel Beer Sheva
8.96