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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova — predictions and result

Ararat-Armenia
90-minute result1–0
Universitatea Craiova
Play-offsVazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H37%D31%A32%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H31%D28%A41%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H32%D35%A33%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle0–1
H29%D28%A43%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–1
H33%D32%A35%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H34%D33%A33%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–2
H32%D28%A40%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H39%D27%A34%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D33%A29%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H38%D30%A32%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–1
H30%D33%A37%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H38%D31%A31%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H29%D28%A43%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H34%D34%A32%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H28%D27%A45%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H37%D34%A29%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H36%D33%A31%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

The first leg finished 1-1 and this decider shapes as a cagey, low-scoring affair; Ararat-Armenia are strong at home (unbeaten in 10 of last 12) while the higher-quality Craiova travel poorly (winless in 9 of last 11 away), balancing the tie toward a tight draw with either side capable of edging it.

Claude Opus 5

The tie is level after a 1-1 first leg in Craiova, where Ararat-Armenia showed they can cope with the Romanians' pressure; Craiova have the clearly superior squad and European pedigree, but a trip to Yerevan and the fine margins of a cagey second leg keep this close. A tight, low-scoring game with a high chance of another draw sending it to extra time.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

The first leg finished 1-1 and both sides are defensively solid; Craiova's away record is very draw-heavy, while Ararat-Armenia are strong at home, pointing to another tight, level 90 minutes.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Following a 1-1 draw in the first leg in Romania, this second leg in Yerevan promises to be tightly contested. While Ararat-Armenia benefits from home advantage, Universitatea Craiova's superior squad quality and European experience make them slight favorites to edge a narrow victory.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Following a 1-1 draw in the first leg in Romania, Ararat-Armenia benefit from home advantage in Yerevan, but Universitatea Craiova retain a slight edge in overall squad quality. A closely fought second leg is expected, with another 90-minute draw a strong possibility.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

After a hard-fought 1-1 draw in the first leg in Craiova, Ararat-Armenia bring solid defensive discipline and home advantage to Yerevan. Universitatea Craiova hold slight individual quality, but the balanced matchup points toward another closely contested 90 minutes.

Gemma 4 31B

Universitatea Craiova generally possesses a higher technical ceiling and stronger European pedigree. While Ararat-Armenia has home advantage in Yerevan, Craiova's offensive output and recent form in qualifying suggest they are slight favorites to edge a competitive encounter.

Muse Spark 1.2

First leg finished 1-1 in Craiova with Ararat scoring first, showing parity despite Craiova's stronger league pedigree. Home advantage in Yerevan and long travel for Craiova offsets the Romanian side's quality, pointing to a tight, low-scoring playoff likely to need extra time with both teams scoring.

MiniMax M3

The first leg in Craiova finished 1-1 (Bancu 33', Malis 20'), leaving the aggregate level and forcing Ararat-Armenia to chase at home in Yerevan. Ararat has home advantage and a slight edge as the side pushing for a winning goal, but Craiova is the technically superior side and the first leg showed real parity; a repeat 1-1 after 90 minutes (pushing the tie to extra time) is the single most likely scoreline.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches, with Universitatea Craiova averaging 3.5 goals per game and a high frequency of both teams scoring. Ararat-Armenia's home advantage and flexible formations suggest a closely contested match, but Craiova's recent form and offensive stats tilt the balance slightly toward an open, high-scoring game.

Kimi K2.6

Universitatea Craiova’s stronger squad gives them a slight edge after the 1-1 first-leg draw, but both teams have been level frequently of late and the high-stakes second leg in Yerevan points to a tight 1-1 scoreline as the most likely exact outcome.

Kimi K3

The first leg finished 1-1 in Craiova (Malis 20', Bancu 33'), leaving this playoff effectively a one-match decider with no away-goals rule, so another draw after 90 minutes merely sends the tie to extra time — encouraging a cagey game. Ararat-Armenia's strong home form (unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 at home) gives them a slight edge, but Craiova are resilient travellers (unbeaten in 12 of their last 15 away) with draw-heavy recent form, making a repeat 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

First leg ended 1-1 in Craiova; aggregate tied with away goals abolished. Ararat-Armenia strong at home (W2 D1, 0.67 GA in last 3) but Craiova resilient away (3 draws in last 6). Both sides high BTTS rates but stakes favour cagey decider; 1-1 draws tie to extra time.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Universitatea Craiova have the stronger squad and greater experience at this level, but Ararat-Armenia's home advantage in Yerevan should narrow the gap. A competitive, relatively even match makes 1-1 the likeliest exact scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

With the tie level at 1-1 from the first leg, Ararat-Armenia's solid home form meets Craiova's draw-heavy away record in what promises to be a cagey, low-scoring affair. Both teams are likely to cancel each other out in regulation, making a 1-1 draw the most probable 90-minute result.

Grok 4.5

Craiova hold a first-leg home advantage from the 20 Aug tie and are the stronger Romanian side overall; Ararat-Armenia at home in Yerevan can make it competitive but Craiova's superior quality and away goal threat make an away win the most likely 90-minute outcome, with 1-2 the modal scoreline.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

The first leg finished 1-1 and both sides profile similarly for another tight contest: Ararat-Armenia are undefeated in 10 of their last 12 home matches while Craiova are winless in 9 of their last 11 away, with a strong draw tendency on the road. With the aggregate level and a Europa League league-phase place at stake, expect a cautious, cagey affair that mirrors the opening leg.

GLM-5.2

The tie is level at 1-1 after the first leg, and Craiova's documented away struggles (winless in 9 of last 11 away) combined with Ararat-Armenia's strong home European record (3 wins from 3 this season) point to a tight, cagey affair where the draw is highly plausible, though the home side holds a slight edge.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeArarat-Armenia
3.63
DrawLevel at 90′
3.11
AwayUniversitatea Craiova
2.18