Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H17%D23%A60% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H18%D25%A57% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H15%D22%A63% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H16%D22%A62% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H20%D26%A54% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H20%D24%A56% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D25%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H16%D22%A62% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H15%D22%A63% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H18%D24%A58% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H23%D25%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H16%D24%A60% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
AZ are a markedly stronger side with Eredivisie-level quality and should control possession and chances against a Europa League debutant that has lost its opening two matches and looked defensively fragile. Ararat-Armenia's home crowd, a tricky Yerevan pitch and AZ's occasional away sloppiness keep a draw live, but an away win is comfortably the most likely result.
AZ Alkmaar are the stronger side and should control the game, while Ararat-Armenia have lost both UEL matches and look defensively vulnerable. The hosts can threaten on the break, but an away win is the most likely outcome.
AZ Alkmaar possess far superior technical quality and European experience compared to their Armenian hosts, who have struggled defensively in their opening league phase defeats. While Ararat-Armenia are capable of scoring at home, AZ should have enough attacking potency to secure all three points.
AZ Alkmaar hold a clear quality gap as an established Eredivisie side against debutants Ararat-Armenia on back-to-back defeats, but hosts have shown threat on the break at home and should score once in a narrow away win.
AZ Alkmaar are the clear stronger side from a stronger league and are favored despite the away trip, with multiple previews pointing to an away win that is not a landslide. Ararat-Armenia, debutants in the European main draw and without defensive security, can still threaten on the counter at home, supporting a generous draw share and a 2-1 away result as the single most likely scoreline.
AZ Alkmaar are the stronger side with better offensive and defensive metrics, but Ararat-Armenia’s home advantage and recent offensive flashes suggest a competitive match. The most likely outcome is an away win, though a draw is also a significant possibility.
AZ Alkmaar possess a clear quality edge over debutants Ararat-Armenia, who have lost both league-phase matches so far, but the Armenians' counter-attacking threat and home backing in Yerevan should yield a goal and keep the draw a live possibility.
AZ Alkmaar are the stronger side from a superior league and are favored to secure their first away win of the league phase, but Ararat-Armenia have shown attacking threat in Europe and should score at home in Yerevan.
AZ Alkmaar’s greater squad quality and European experience make them clear favorites, particularly against an Ararat-Armenia side with defensive vulnerabilities. The hosts can threaten on the break, making a narrow away win with both teams scoring the likeliest scenario.
AZ Alkmaar hold a significant quality advantage and are expected to secure a narrow away win, but Ararat-Armenia's threat on the counter-attack and AZ's defensive vulnerabilities suggest the hosts will likely score. A 2-1 victory for the Dutch side reflects this dynamic.
AZ Alkmaar are the clear quality favourites as a mid-table Eredivisie side against debutants Ararat-Armenia who have lost their opening two UEL games; hosts can score on the break but lack defensive solidity for an away win that is not expected to be a thrashing.
AZ Alkmaar are a far stronger, established European side facing Ararat-Armenia in their debut league-phase campaign after back-to-back defeats and with notable defensive fragility, though the hosts showed counter-attacking threat and should create chances at home. The talent gap points to an away win, but a competitive, open game makes 1-2 the likeliest scoreline with the draw given its fair share.
Ararat-Armenia have conceded seven goals in two EL matches and face an AZ Alkmaar side that already demolished Armenian opposition (FC Noah 4-1 aggregate) and Sparta Prague (6-1 aggregate) in Europe last season. AZ's away form is imperfect and Ararat can score on the counter, but the gulf in European pedigree makes an AZ away win the most likely outcome.
Ararat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar