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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

Anderlecht vs PAOK — predictions and result

Anderlecht
90-minute result3–2
PAOK
3rd Qualifying RoundLotto Park

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H44%D28%A28%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H37%D28%A35%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H40%D29%A31%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–1
H46%D28%A26%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle1–0
H48%D28%A24%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H44%D28%A28%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H38%D28%A34%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H43%D27%A30%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D30%A32%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H38%D30%A32%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–0
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H44%D28%A28%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H38%D32%A30%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H42%D30%A28%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H40%D28%A32%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–0
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H37%D27%A36%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H36%D35%A29%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Anderlecht host the second leg holding a 1-0 aggregate lead, in good form under Vitor Bruno and at home, while PAOK are missing key attackers (Konstantelias, Despodov, Chalov) needed to overturn the deficit; PAOK must push forward which could open the game, but Anderlecht's edge and home advantage make them favorites in a tight contest.

Claude Opus 5

A tight first leg between two evenly matched sides: Anderlecht have home advantage and match rhythm from earlier qualifying rounds, but they've lost key creators in Hazard and De Cat, while PAOK carry more attacking quality (Konstantelias, Despodov) after last season's Europa League knockout run. First legs of this profile are often cagey, so a draw is a strong live outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Anderlecht hold a 1-0 aggregate lead and can sit compact at Lotto Park, while PAOK must chase and have enough attacking quality to score; a tight 1-1 after 90 minutes is the most likely single scoreline, with Anderlecht progressing on aggregate.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Anderlecht secured a crucial 1-0 away victory in the first leg and now hold the aggregate advantage returning to Brussels. With PAOK forced to push forward to salvage the tie, Anderlecht can adopt a pragmatic approach and strike on the counter, making a narrow home win or a tactical draw highly probable.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Anderlecht holds a 1-0 aggregate lead after a disciplined away performance in the first leg and boasts a strong defensive record with four clean sheets in their last five matches. With PAOK missing key attacking options like Chalov and Despodov, the hosts are well-positioned to control the tempo and secure a narrow home victory.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Anderlecht hold a 1-0 lead from the first leg and possess strong home form at Lotto Park to control this return fixture. While PAOK are forced to push forward to save the tie, Anderlecht's attacking quality should allow them to capitalize on open spaces and secure a narrow win.

Gemma 4 31B

Anderlecht has a slight home advantage and recent unbeaten form, but they are missing key players and lack balance. PAOK has strong European pedigree from last season and a potent attack, making a closely contested draw the most likely outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Anderlecht have home rhythm after Hammarby and workable depth despite losing Hazard (15 goals) and defensive absences (Hey, Sardella), but Belgian reports note lack of balance; PAOK missing key creators Konstantelias and Despodov blunts their attack despite last season's knockout pedigree, pointing to a cagey first leg with a slim home edge but high draw likelihood.

MiniMax M3

Tight Europa League qualifier between two evenly matched sides: Anderlecht carry home advantage and are unbeaten in their last five, but have lost Thorgan Hazard and key defenders (Sardella, Camara, Hey), while PAOK — last season's EL knockout-round side — are themselves missing key attackers Konstantelias and Despodov, leveling the tie and making a low-scoring draw the most plausible single outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams possess quality and tactical organization, with Anderlecht slightly favored due to home advantage and recent undefeated form, but PAOK's strong away record and attacking intent make them genuine contenders for a draw or win.

Kimi K2.6

Anderlecht’s superior first-leg xG and clinical early finishing under Vítor Bruno make them favorites at Lotto Park, while PAOK’s territorial dominance last week produced poor end product; a controlled 1-0 home win is the most likely exact score, though a draw remains a realistic fallback.

Kimi K3

Anderlecht hold a slim edge: they have competitive rhythm from the Hammarby ties, home advantage in the first leg, and face a PAOK side missing key attacking threats Konstantelias and Despodov and still early in their season. However, Anderlecht's own absences and the loss of Hazard's goals keep this tight, making the draw a live outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Anderlecht hold home advantage in this first leg but miss several defenders; PAOK bring proven European quality (beat Lille, Betis last season) and potent attackers Konstantelias and Despodov, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Anderlecht have a modest home advantage and workable squad depth, while PAOK appear more affected by absences among their attacking players. Both sides have undergone personnel changes, so a tight, low-scoring match is likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Anderlecht enjoy a slim home edge and are undefeated in five, but defensive absences and a lack of tactical balance limit their dominance; PAOK are missing key attackers Konstantelias and Despodov, pointing to a tight, low-scoring qualifier where a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Grok 4.5

Anderlecht hold a 1-0 first-leg lead after winning in Thessaloniki and are unbeaten with home advantage plus recent domestic and European wins; PAOK dominated chances in the first leg but lack finishing and key attackers, making a narrow home win or low-scoring stalemate the likeliest 90-minute outcomes.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Both sides carry notable absences — Anderlecht miss Hatenboer and others while PAOK are without Konstantelias and Despodov in attack — creating a likely cagey contest; Anderlecht's home edge and unbeaten recent run is offset by PAOK's proven European pedigree from last season's knockout run, making a tight draw the most probable outcome.

GLM-5.2

Anderlecht hold a 1-0 first-leg lead and enjoy home advantage, but PAOK dominated possession and chances in the first leg and have proven European quality, making a scoring draw the most likely 90-minute outcome as the visitors push for an equaliser on aggregate.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAnderlecht
2.94
DrawLevel at 90′
3.51
AwayPAOK
2.33