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UEFA Europa LeagueFull time

AC Milan vs Benfica — predictions and result

AC Milan
90-minute result0–2
Benfica
League Stage - 1San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H45%D27%A28%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H47%D27%A26%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H39%D27%A34%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H45%D26%A29%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H32%D28%A40%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H41%D29%A30%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H37%D28%A35%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H42%D26%A32%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Milan's home advantage at San Siro and a deeper squad (Maignan, Rabiot, Modric, Pulisic, Ramos) makes them modest favourites, but Benfica arrive in excellent scoring form with seven straight wins and can punish Milan's sluggish first-half tendencies, so a tight, high-quality contest with real draw risk is likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Milan's San Siro advantage and attacking quality are balanced by Benfica's seven-match winning run and free-scoring form, making an even contest likely. Both sides look capable of scoring, so a 1-1 draw is the most probable single scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

AC Milan boast home advantage and superior squad depth at the San Siro, though Benfica's prolific early-season scoring form ensures a fiercely competitive European opener.

Muse Spark 1.2

Milan have home advantage at San Siro but are integrating multiple new starters and have shown clumsy first halves, while Benfica arrive with seven straight wins and 25 goals including a 6-2 qualifying aggregate, making an evenly-matched, both-teams-to-score game where 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline despite Milan's narrow aggregate edge.

MiniMax M3

Two in-form European giants clash at San Siro: Milan have elite individual quality (Modric, Pulisic, Ramos) and home advantage, but Benfica arrive with extraordinary momentum —7 straight wins and 25 goals scored, with Pavlidis leading the line. Milan's noted first-half defensive lapses balance Benfica's away-day challenge, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most plausible single outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are in strong form, but Benfica’s relentless attacking momentum (25 goals in 7 matches) and AC Milan’s occasional defensive fragility in early halves tilt the balance slightly toward Benfica. However, Milan’s home advantage and depth keep the hosts competitive, making a narrow home win or draw the most likely outcomes.

Kimi K3

Milan hold a modest edge at the San Siro with a fully fit, talent-rich squad (Pulisic, Chukwueze, Rabiot, Modric, Ramos), but Benfica arrive in blistering form — seven straight wins with 25 goals — making this a genuinely tight contest where a score draw is the single likeliest scoreline.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Benfica arrive with formidable momentum — 25 goals across seven consecutive victories including qualifying — while Milan, though at full strength at San Siro, have shown early-game vulnerability that Benfica's dynamic attack is well-equipped to exploit.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Milan's home advantage and squad quality give them a narrow edge, but Benfica's seven-match winning run and prolific attack make this a closely balanced contest. A score draw is the likeliest individual scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

AC Milan's home advantage at the San Siro is offset by Benfica's red-hot form (7 consecutive wins, 25 goals scored) and Milan's ongoing integration of new signings like Hutchinson and Cissé, making this a finely balanced clash between two potent attacking sides.

Grok 4.5

Milan are unbeaten under Amorim at San Siro with historical dominance over Benfica, while the visitors arrive in blistering form (7 straight wins, high-scoring) but with mixed away qualifying results; a tight home win edges it over a high-scoring draw.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Milan's home advantage at San Siro and historical unbeaten record against Benfica in six competitive meetings is offset by Benfica's exceptional current form of seven consecutive wins with 25 goals scored, though their mixed away record in European qualifying (W1, D1, L1) tempers expectations; both teams are integrating new systems, making a tightly contested draw the most likely single outcome.

GLM-5.2

Milan's home advantage at San Siro and a fully fit squad featuring Modrić, Pulisic, and Ramos gives them a slight edge, but Benfica arrive in scorching form with 25 goals across seven straight wins, making this a closely contested affair where a draw is very live.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeAC Milan
2.05
DrawLevel at 90′
3.63
AwayBenfica
3.47