Claude Opus 4.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva enter as the stronger side from a higher-ranked league, but Vikingur's home advantage in Iceland and decent recent form (they haven't failed to score) keep this tight, making a narrow scoreline or draw likely.
Vikingur Reykjavik
Hapoel Beer Sheva| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H47%D26%A27% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H31%D29%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H38%D31%A31% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Hapoel Beer Sheva enter as the stronger side from a higher-ranked league, but Vikingur's home advantage in Iceland and decent recent form (they haven't failed to score) keep this tight, making a narrow scoreline or draw likely.
Vikingur are unbeaten in 23 straight home matches (19W-4D) at Vikingsvollur and carry competitive sharpness from their Q1 tie against Győr, while Hapoel Beer Sheva enter cold — they lost the Israeli Super Cup 3-1 to Maccabi Tel Aviv last Thursday and won just once in pre-season. Hapoel's quality should earn an away goal, but the Icelandic champions' home fortress and mid-season rhythm give them the edge in the first leg.
Hapoel Beer Sheva possesses superior squad quality and European pedigree, but Vikingur Reykjavik's mid-season match fitness and home advantage on artificial turf should make it a highly competitive first leg.
Vikingur Reykjavik enters this home leg in peak match fitness during the Icelandic summer season, whereas Hapoel Beer Sheva is in their early-season phase and recently suffered a 1-3 Super Cup defeat. While the Israeli side possesses superior overall quality, the hosts' home advantage and physical readiness should help them secure a hard-fought draw.
Vikingur Reykjavik shows strong home form and scoring consistency, but Hapoel Beer Sheva typically possesses more European experience in these qualifying rounds. A tight contest is expected, with a draw being a highly probable outcome given the stakes of the second qualifying round.
Vikingur are on a remarkable 23-game unbeaten home run (19W-4D) and showed resilience by eliminating Győri ETO with a dramatic late winner, while Hapoel Beer Sheva — the technically stronger side — are coming off a 3-1 Super Cup loss to Maccabi Tel Aviv and historically play cautiously in first legs; the balance of Vikingur's fortress-like home form against Hapoel's superior squad quality and European experience points to a tight, evenly matched first leg most likely ending level.
Both teams have shown competitive form recently, with Vikingur Reykjavik demonstrating solid home performance and Hapoel Beer Sheva posing a consistent threat. The match is finely balanced, with a draw being the most likely outcome given their recent defensive solidity and attacking limitations.
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 19 and drawn four of their last 23 home matches across all competitions, and their mid-season sharpness after advancing past Györ gives them an edge over a Hapoel Beer Sheva side that has lost four of its last six matches and is still finding rhythm at the start of the 2026-27 campaign.
Hapoel Beer Sheva have the stronger overall squad and greater European pedigree, but Víkingur’s home advantage and mid-season sharpness should make this competitive. A low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline, with the visitors slightly more likely to produce a decisive result.
Vikingur's extraordinary 23-game unbeaten home run (19W, 4D) and Gylfi Sigurdsson's creative influence give them a meaningful edge at Víkingurvöllur, while Hapoel's dismal recent form (4 losses in 6, Super Cup defeat to Maccabi Tel Aviv) and the difficult travel to Iceland undermine their superior squad depth and European experience. A narrow home win in a high-scoring affair is the most likely single outcome, though Hapoel's quality keeps the tie finely balanced.
Vikingur's formidable home fortress (23 unbeaten) and momentum from edging Gyori 3-2 on aggregate give them the edge in the first leg, despite Hapoel's superior pedigree as Israeli champions and greater European experience; Hapoel's rusty pre-season and Super Cup loss tip a tight contest toward a narrow home win.
Vikingur boast a remarkable 23-game unbeaten home run (19W, 4D) and are already match-sharp from QR1, while Hapoel Beer Sheva enter cold after a poor pre-season and a 3-1 Super Cup defeat to Maccabi Tel Aviv. Hapoel's Israeli title pedigree keeps them competitive, but Vikingur's fortress at Víkingsvöllur and home crowd should edge a tight first leg.
Vikingur's extraordinary 23-game home unbeaten run and Hapoel's poor early-season form (lost 3-1 in Super Cup, L-L-W-D-L-L overall) favor the Icelandic side, but Hapoel's superior squad depth and European experience keep this tight in a first leg where caution is likely on both sides.