Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt AI Predictions — UEFA Champions League

3rd Qualifying Round·4 Aug · 18:00 UTC·KVDO Arena·✓ Completed
Union St. Gilloise flagUnion St. Gilloise
33
Bodo/Glimt flagBodo/Glimt

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Union St. Gilloise
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 81% · D 6% · A 13%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Union St. Gilloise2.27
Draw3.62
Bodo/Glimt2.83

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
40%29%31%1-1✗ miss
38%32%30%1-1✗ miss
42%28%30%1-1✗ miss
42%30%28%1-1✗ miss
45%28%27%2-1✗ miss
42%28%30%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%30%28%1-1✗ miss
45%30%25%2-1✗ miss
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss
40%27%33%2-1✗ miss
34%36%30%1-1✓ hit
47%28%25%1-1✗ miss
35%28%37%1-2✗ miss
38%30%32%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
33%32%35%1-1✗ miss
36%35%29%1-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 29% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagDRAW1-1
H 34% · D 36% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 47% · D 28% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-2
H 35% · D 28% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 32% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 35% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt played?
The match kicked off 4 Aug · 18:00 UTC at KVDO Arena. It is part of the UEFA Champions League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Champions League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
No. The AI consensus picked Union St. Gilloise, but the match finished 3–3 — a draw. 81% of 16 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Of 16 models: 81% picked Union St. Gilloise, 6% a draw, and 13% Bodo/Glimt. The consensus pick was Union St. Gilloise; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Union St. Gilloise 2.27 · Draw 3.62 · Bodo/Glimt 2.83. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.