Union St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D31%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H40%D29%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D32%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H36%D35%A29% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two well-matched overachievers in a cagey first leg: Union SG (Belgian champions and Cup winners) have home advantage and quality depth, but Bodø/Glimt arrive on a run of five clean-sheet wins and reached the UCL knockouts last season, and their only prior meeting ended 0-0, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw as very plausible.
Two well-matched clubs: Union SG have home advantage (albeit at a relocated Ostend venue) and just beat Club Brugge on penalties in the Super Cup, but they are only one competitive game into their season and have lost Scherpen and Burgess, while mid-season Bodø/Glimt arrive on five straight wins without conceding and with proven big-game European pedigree. First legs between such evenly matched sides often stay tight, so a score draw is a very live outcome.
Bodo/Glimt arrive with five straight competitive wins and clean sheets but are missing attackers Evjen and Mikkelsen, while Union's preparation has been uneven (including a 7-3 friendly loss) and they play at an alternate venue in Ostend. The only prior meeting ended 0-0, and a cautious first-leg stalemate fits both teams' profiles.
Bodo/Glimt arrives in excellent form with five consecutive clean-sheet victories and benefits from mid-season match fitness. While Union St. Gilloise are strong at home and recently won the Belgian Supercup, the visitors' defensive resilience makes a tight, low-scoring draw highly likely in this first leg.
Bodo/Glimt enters the match in superb defensive form with five consecutive clean sheets, but key offensive absences should limit their threat. Union Saint-Gilloise will have the home advantage but may struggle to break down the visitors' organized defense, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Union Saint-Gilloise hold home advantage for this opening third-qualifying-round leg and possess strong European home form in Brussels. Although Bodø/Glimt bring mid-season match fitness, their European performances traditionally show a noticeable drop away from home compared to their artificial pitch at Aspmyra.
Union Saint-Gilloise generally possesses a strong home record in European qualifiers, while Bodo/Glimt are dangerous on the counter but often struggle more away from their artificial turf. The home side's tactical structure in a 4-2-3-1 should give them a slight edge in control.
Competitive first leg between two strong European sides; Union SG has home advantage and a settled 4-2-3-1 shape, but Bodo/Glimt are an experienced, attack-minded side capable of grabbing an away goal, making a 1-1 draw the most plausible single scoreline with the result probabilities tilted slightly toward the hosts.
Union Saint-Gilloise, playing at home with a structured 4:2:3:1 formation and key defensive players, holds a slight edge over Bodo/Glimt. However, Bodo/Glimt's recent form in European competitions and potential for counter-attacks makes a draw a realistic outcome, while an away win cannot be ruled out.
Union SG’s home advantage and fresh competitive rhythm from the Belgian Super Cup give them a marginal edge, but Bodo/Glimt’s dominant mid-season form and injury-depleted attack keep the first leg tight, making a low-scoring 1-1 deadlock the most probable exact scoreline.
Union SG's home edge, defensive organization (Super Cup win over Club Brugge, Mac Allister/Sykes pairing) and Bodo/Glimt's key midfield absences (Evjen, Saltnes, Bassi, Mikkelsen) tilt this slightly toward the hosts, though Glimt's mid-season match sharpness, last year's UCL knockout pedigree and potent attack make this a genuinely tight tie where a draw is very live.
Both sides enter in excellent form — Union SG won the Belgian Super Cup and five of six friendlies, while Bodø/Glimt have six straight domestic wins with zero goals conceded. The first-leg context, Union's home advantage at Lotto Park, and Bodø's key midfield absences (Saltnes, Evjen, Mikkelsen, Bassi) point to a tight, cautious affair where a draw is the single most likely outcome.
Union Saint-Gilloise have home advantage and the greater squad depth, but Bodø/Glimt's extensive European experience and cohesive attacking style make this a competitive tie. A close, relatively low-scoring match is likely.
Bodo/Glimt's extensive Champions League experience from last season's Round of 16 run (including wins over Man City and Sporting) gives them an edge in this high-stakes qualifier, though Union SG's domestic treble and strong form make this extremely tight. Bodo's potent attack (Høgh, Hauge) could exploit their transition-heavy style against USG, but the Belgian side's home advantage and momentum from winning league, cup, and super cup keep this very close.
Union SG hold home advantage after a Super Cup win and solid Belgian pedigree, but Bodo/Glimt arrive in elite domestic form (five straight wins, clean sheets) with superior recent UCL knockout experience; a tight, cagey first leg draw is the clearest single outcome.
Bodo/Glimt bring elite European pedigree from last season's run to the R16 and are on a five-match winning streak in the Eliteserien, but have lost top scorer Hogh and have several injury absentees; Union SG are buoyed by Super Cup success and strong pre-season form but are effectively playing at a neutral venue, making a tight first-leg draw the most likely outcome.
Both sides are evenly matched European competitors entering their first continental fixture of the season; Union SG's home advantage is offset by a poor CL home record last term and the loss of key personnel, while Bodo/Glimt arrive in superb domestic form (six straight wins, zero conceded) but are missing four players to injury and sold top scorer Hogh, making a cagey first-leg draw the most likely outcome.
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt