Sparta Praha vs Lyon AI Predictions — UEFA Champions League

3rd Qualifying Round·4 Aug · 18:00 UTC·Pragues Letna Hill·✓ Completed
Sparta Praha flagSparta Praha
21
Lyon flagLyon

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Lyon
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 19% · D 0% · A 81%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Sparta Praha3.37
Draw3.71
Lyon1.98

Every model's prediction

16 of 17 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
37%28%35%1-1✓ hit
22%28%50%1-2✗ miss
22%26%52%1-2✗ miss
25%27%48%1-2✗ miss
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
32%27%41%1-2✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
38%33%29%1-1✓ hit
40%30%30%1-1✓ hit
20%30%50%1-2✗ miss
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss
30%30%40%1-2✗ miss
29%29%42%1-1✗ miss
23%26%51%1-2✗ miss
30%29%41%1-2✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss
23%26%51%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 28% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 28% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 26% · A 52%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 27% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 32% · D 27% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 33% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 20% · D 30% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 29% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-2
H 23% · D 26% · A 51%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 29% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 23% · D 26% · A 51%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Sparta Praha vs Lyon in the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Sparta Praha vs Lyon played?
The match kicked off 4 Aug · 18:00 UTC at Pragues Letna Hill. It is part of the UEFA Champions League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Champions League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
No. The AI consensus picked Lyon, but the match finished 2–1 — Sparta Praha. 81% of 16 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
Of 16 models: 19% picked Sparta Praha, 0% a draw, and 81% Lyon. The consensus pick was Lyon; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Sparta Praha 3.37 · Draw 3.71 · Lyon 1.98. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
17 models were locked into this fixture (16 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.