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Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia — predictions and result

Shamrock Rovers
90-minute result2–1
Ararat-Armenia
2nd Qualifying RoundTallaght Stadium

Predictions

17 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–0
H45%D26%A29%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H50%D27%A23%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle2–1
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.5 FlashGoogle2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H46%D27%A27%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H46%D26%A28%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA3–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H41%D30%A29%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H42%D30%A28%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Shamrock Rovers host at Tallaght trailing 2-0 on aggregate and will attack aggressively to overturn the deficit, giving them the edge in this leg, though Ararat-Armenia may sit deep and hit on the counter, keeping the margin tight.

Claude Opus 5

Shamrock Rovers trail 2-0 from Yerevan, so they must attack at Tallaght where their European home record is solid, but Ararat-Armenia can sit deep and defend the cushion, making a low-scoring, tight second leg likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Shamrock Rovers overturned a 2-0 first-leg deficit against Floriana with a 5-1 home rout and have won five of their last six at Tallaght. Ararat-Armenia conceded three away at Riga in the previous round, and while Rovers are missing several attackers, their home momentum should carry them to a narrow win, though Ararat-Armenia's counter threat likely yields an away goal.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Trailing 2-0 from the first leg, Shamrock Rovers will be forced to attack aggressively at Tallaght Stadium. While their urgency makes a home victory likely on the night, Ararat-Armenia's comfortable aggregate lead allows them to sit deep and exploit spaces on the counter.

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Shamrock Rovers are formidable at Tallaght Stadium, having overturned a 2-0 first-leg deficit with a 5-1 home win in the previous round. While Ararat-Armenia's 2-0 aggregate lead gives them a cushion, their defensive vulnerability on the road—having conceded three goals away to Riga FC—suggests a home victory is highly likely.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Shamrock Rovers must attack aggressively at home to overturn a 2-0 aggregate deficit from the first leg in Armenia. While Ararat-Armenia can play a low block and threaten on the counter, Shamrock's home advantage and urgency should carry them to a narrow victory on the night.

Gemma 4 31B

Shamrock Rovers are chasing a 2-0 first-leg deficit at home, which will force them to attack, leaving them vulnerable to Ararat-Armenia's counter-attacks. While Rovers have home advantage and goal-scoring form (Watts and Byrne), Ararat-Armenia's lead allows them to play a disciplined, defensive game to secure a draw or narrow loss.

MiniMax M3

Shamrock Rovers are at home in Tallaght and must attack aggressively to overturn a 2-0 first-leg deficit, which favors them in 90-minute terms, but Ararat-Armenia's counter-threat (having already scored twice in the first leg) and the inherent risk of a side chasing goals make a clean sheet for the hosts unlikely.

Mistral Large 3

Shamrock Rovers are under pressure after a 2-0 first-leg defeat and will push for goals at home, but Ararat-Armenia's organized attack and away goal potential make this a tightly balanced fixture. A draw is highly plausible, though Rovers may edge it if they capitalize on home advantage.

Kimi K2.6

Shamrock Rovers must chase a two-goal deficit at Tallaght so will take the initiative, yet Ararat-Armenia’s comfort on the counter and the cushion from the first leg point toward a tense, level 90 minutes.

Kimi K3

Shamrock Rovers trail 0-2 on aggregate after losing the first leg in Armenia, but back at Tallaght they are modest favourites to win on the night as they push forward from the start. However, chasing a two-goal deficit leaves them exposed to Ararat-Armenia's counter-attacks, keeping the draw and away win very much live; a 2-1 home win (Ararat advancing) is the single most likely scoreline.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Shamrock Rovers have a strong recent record of overturning 2-0 first-leg deficits at Tallaght (5-1 vs Floriana) and have won five of their last six home games; Ararat-Armenia showed away vulnerability losing 3-2 to Riga in the previous round. Despite missing several attackers, Rovers' home momentum and the visitors' defensive frailty make a multi-goal home win the most likely 90-minute outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Shamrock Rovers should apply sustained pressure at home as they chase a two-goal deficit, but that urgency may create counterattacking opportunities for Ararat-Armenia. The visitors' commanding first-leg result and ability to play conservatively make a draw the likeliest exact scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Shamrock Rovers must attack to overturn a 2-0 first-leg deficit, but Ararat-Armenia's solid defensive setup and dangerous counter-attacking wingers should keep the tie tightly contested.

Grok 4.5

Shamrock trail 0-2 from the first leg and must attack at home, giving them the edge in a must-win scenario, though Ararat-Armenia's solid away defensive setup and the first-leg cushion make a draw or narrow away success plausible; 2-1 is the most likely decisive scoreline as Rovers push forward.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Shamrock Rovers have strong recent home form (5 wins in last 6 at Tallaght, including a 5-1 comeback vs Floriana from the same 2-0 deficit) and will attack aggressively, while Ararat-Armenia have shown defensive frailty away (conceded 3 at Riga); however, the visitors' two-goal cushion means they can afford to sit deep and counter, making a Rovers victory likely but not by the wide margin needed to advance.

GLM-5.2

Shamrock Rovers trail 2-0 from the first leg and must attack at home in Tallaght, which should produce goals, but Ararat-Armenia's cushion allows them to defend deep and counter, making a narrow home win the most likely single outcome without necessarily overturning the aggregate deficit.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeShamrock Rovers
1.75
DrawLevel at 90′
3.77
AwayArarat-Armenia
4.15